There have been some bad situations this week, especially the GEM for 4 consecutive days, which has brought a certain negative impact on the market atmosphere. Specifically, the GEM has 231% * at 1848 points;Shen Cheng refers to ** 176% * at 9385 points;The Shanghai Composite Index is 091%, * at 2942 points. It can be seen that the three major A-share indices have all shown a trend of **. This situation has raised some questions and expectations for the movement of next Monday.
There are two clues this week, which may have a certain impact on the trend of next Monday. The first is the worrisome pattern on the weekly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, which is a weekly hammer star with a long upper shadow. This pattern is usually a sign of coming, especially the Upper Hammer on the weekly chart. We also note that the upper hammer star quickly turned around after touching the 5-week line**, indicating that the current 5-week line is putting some pressure on the index. Therefore, we need to pay attention to the influence of the upper hammer star on next Monday**. It is worth mentioning that at present, all the weekly lines on the weekly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index are running downward, and there is a certain deviation rate between these five important weekly lines, or even no intersection. This indicates that the weekly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index shows a certain divergent trend. In addition, there are clearly three important bottoms on the weekly chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, which are gradually rising as ** advances, which means that market funds are more inclined to take on when they are close to the bottom. Judging from this rising bottom, the Shanghai Composite Index has run out of space, which may be a turning point.
Secondly, there is another clue to the phenomenon of divergence. If the Shanghai Composite Index goes further, there will definitely be a serious divergence on the weekly chart. In particular, the divergence of the ChiNext is more severe, even more pronounced than that of the Shanghai Composite Index. We can see that the GEM has been in the ** state for 5 consecutive weeks, and the non-rootless negative line has been continuously closed on the weekly chart, indicating that the ** time and space of the GEM are not small. The weekly lines on the GEM weekly chart also show a clear downward flat trend, a typical bearish arrangement. However, it is noteworthy that since March this year, the momentum indicators on the weekly chart of the GEM have continuously closed sesame points, and even in the five trading days of this week, the situation of sesame points has further intensified. From my point of view, this means that the momentum of the GEM has begun to weaken. If the GEM goes further** next Monday or next week, or even falls below 1840 points, it is bound to form a divergence. This divergence is not the same as the divergence on the daily and hourly charts, but on the weekly chart level. The continuous sesame dots and continuous ** show that both in space and time, the bearish power of the GEM has been almost released, and there is at least a certain amount of ** space. To sum up, I think the next GEM may usher in a wave of *** Although I can't be sure whether it will be next Monday or after, this is just my opinion and is for reference only.
After reviewing the situation of this week, we have some expectations for next Monday's trend, and then we will further analyze the trend of ** in combination with the past trend and market conditions, and look forward to future developments.
1. Trend observation of the Shanghai Composite Index
Judging from the trend of the Shanghai Composite Index, in the past year or so, the index has shown a sideways trend, although it is still **, but according to the current situation, it can be speculated that the downside of the Shanghai Composite Index has been insufficient. In addition, we also note that in the past few bottoms, as ** advances, the points of these bottoms have gradually raised, which indicates that market funds are more inclined to undertake when they are close to the bottom. Therefore, although the index is still ** in the current situation, according to this rising bottom, there may be a certain turnaround.
2. Observation of the trend of the GEM
The trend of ChiNext is more pronounced than that of the Shanghai Composite Index. The continuous ** and the formation of a bearish arrangement trend indicate that the trend of the GEM is more obvious. However, it is worth noting that the continuous sesame points of the kinetic energy indicator and the gradual increase in time and space in the ** state indicate that the ** momentum of the GEM has begun to weaken. If the GEM falls below 1840 points next Monday, or the following time, a serious divergence will be formed. This divergence is different from divergence at other levels, it is more significant, and may mean that there is a certain amount of space on the GEM.
3. **Trend outlook
Combined with the above observations and analysis, we can look forward to the future**. Although we can't be sure of the specific time point, it is very likely that there will be a wave of *** on the GEM next, based on the following points: First, the downside of the Shanghai Composite Index is limited, and the bottom is gradually rising;Secondly, the momentum of the GEM shows a weakening trend, and the release of kinetic energy is almost the sameFinally, the GEM falls below 1840 points next Monday or in the following period, and a serious divergence is likely. Of course, this is just my opinion, just for reference.
To sum up, there is still uncertainty about the trend of next Monday, but based on the past trend and market conditions, we can do some analysis and outlook on the future trend of **. Whether it is for the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index or the ChiNext Index, they are likely to usher in a wave in the near future*** Of course, this is just a personal opinion, and for investors, more comprehensive and in-depth analysis and research are needed to formulate an investment strategy that suits them. Investment is risky, and investors should make prudent decisions.