China is a large country with a large population, and the population is the labor force, which has been fully reflected in China's previous economic development. In recent years, China's economic growth has been inseparable from China's demographic dividend. The reason why China has been able to rise is because of the population that far exceeds that of other countries, coupled with the hard-working Chinese people. But now China has encountered a more serious problem, the demographic dividend is gradually decreasing, and the arrival of an aging society has made the social burden more and more heavy. And nowadays, many problems caused by overpopulation are gradually becoming prominent. In contrast, other countries with smaller populations appear to be at ease. According to **, China's population will shrink to half of its current size in a few decades. At this time, some people think that if the Chinese population is halved, they will definitely live a happier life, but is this really the case?Over the years, we have all been well aware of the increasing social pressures we are facing. A lot of people are being pushed forward and feel like they've lost their joy. And this pressure is on a series of things such as medical care, education, and mortgages and car loans. Many people's patience is being worn out, and their anger towards society is getting heavier. We can see that there are more and more road rage on the road, especially in traffic jams, many people are yelling. Maybe these people weren't like this before, but under the huge pressure, they are very sensitive to many things around them, and if they are not careful, they will have various negative phenomena such as emotional out-of-control. Suffice it to say, if there is a choice, who wants to be the alternative in the eyes of people?
At this time, I feel that the real reason for the involution of Chinese society is that there are too many people in China, which is also the inner thoughts of many people. Because now we can see the lives of people all over the world without leaving our homes. Like the developed countries of Eastern Europe. Basically, it belongs to the existence of less people and more money, why do many people desperately want to immigrate to those countries?It's nothing more than because it's very comfortable, all kinds of high welfare policies, only you can't think of it, and there is nothing they can't do. However, these high-welfare policies can be implemented because the country's earning capacity is still good, and partly because the number of citizens that the state needs to bear is very small. You know, this is a very simple calculation problem, any huge number divided by 1.4 billion, basically not much. What's more, the gap between the rich and the poor in China is still relatively large, and basically most of the wealth is in the hands of a relatively small number of groups. In China, if you can achieve a monthly income of 10,000 yuan, you are already a very powerful high-income person. So don't look at the fact that everyone is a millionaire, but the real situation is that there are workers with a monthly salary of 3,000 everywhere. If it really comes to the point where millionaires are everywhere, then money is not worth much. If this is the case, if China's population declines to a certain extent, will it be able to achieve a high-welfare society like Eastern European countries?This requires a specific analysis of the specific situation, to know that the degree of aging in China is becoming more and more serious, according to the analysis, by 2030, the elderly over 60 years old in China or will exceed 400 million. At that time, the age structure of society will change dramatically. And now our country is still facing a very serious problem, that is, the birth rate of newborns is very low, knowing that China is a large country with a population of 1.4 billion, under such a huge population base, the birth rate of newborns has fallen again and again, which is much lower than the world average.
We all know that when estimating the number of newborns in the year, it can be measured by the number of records established by the hospital, because pregnant women need to be registered during prenatal checkups, and the hospital will arrange a series of follow-up examinations after the filing. However, this year, the number of pregnant women in China is directly less than 8 million. If you look at such data, the birth population this year is lower than the birth population during the Anti-Japanese War, but what was the environment at that time, but now in the era of peace, there are such dazzling data, I feel that Chinese do not like to have babies. You must know that India's population growth rate in the past two years has been very violent, and the children are making a bang. But why is this happening in China?You must know that family planning has long been a thing of the past, and now it has become the main theme to let go of the second child and encourage childbirth. In many villages, the slogan of "fewer children and a happy life" has not been removed, and as a result, the slogan encouraging the birth of babies has begun to be brushed up. But how many people are really willing to have a baby?In the past, many people were willing to have babies, in fact, because the cost of having babies was still relatively low, and there was also a concept at that time that the more children they had, the more labor they would bring to their families. But now it's different, the cost of raising a baby is not generally high, especially if you want your child to have a better school, you need to buy a school district house. And this is only the foundation, in order to be able to make the child develop in an all-round way, all kinds of cram school training classes must not be left behind. But even if the child is admitted to university in the end, he will face the problem of not being able to find a job, after all, the current employment situation in China is very difficult, and even if he is employed, he is still trembling, because he may face the risk of unemployment after the age of 30.
So in this case, without being completely sure, you are not willing to let your child be born to suffer?According to the Lancet, by 2100, China's population will eventually be just over 700 million. If this happens, will it alleviate some of the current conditions?The first is whether the competition for jobs will not be too fierce. After all, many people today blame China's large population for not being able to find a job and having high unemployment. But this situation may be difficult to appear, you must know that many of China's current industries are labor-intensive industries, relying on China's demographic dividend driven by the industry, itself is relatively meagre profits. If the Chinese population plummets by half, it will certainly increase the cost of manpower. Many companies cannot afford the high cost of labor and will definitely choose to settle in other countries with cheap labor. Many companies will naturally leave the Chinese market, when the time comes, the company will leave, taking away a large number of jobs, and the number of companies left behind will definitely decrease a lot, and finally, supply and demand are still balanced, or fierce competition is needed.
Just like Japan and South Korea, the two developed countries, aren't they also involuted countries?What are the populations of these countries?And at that time, China's housing prices may be cut in half, because there are signs of a surplus of houses in China at the moment. Even if many county houses have long been unwanted, but the overall house price is still relatively stable, because the house is still just needed, but a person's own needs are limited, when the Chinese population plummets, the circulation attribute of the house will be greatly reduced, and the largest wealth of many families is the house, the *** of the house will make the assets of many Chinese families seriously shrink. After all, when I bought a house at that time, I paid real money**. Many people still think that the population is small, whether it is transportation or other aspects will be much more convenient, but at that time, the entire economic environment may have a big problem, if the population is halved, what will happen to China's manufacturing enterprises?
As we said above, many foreign-funded companies will run away, after all, these companies themselves come to China for cheapness. It can be seen that it is really likely to have a negative impact on China's economy at that time. But whether it's population growth or population decline, it's the general population that really matters. Just like the takeaway express delivery that we are accustomed to now, if the population drops sharply, the cost of express delivery will definitely rise, and the efficiency may be further reduced. Therefore, it is good for us to maintain Chinese mouth in a stable area, and stability is the last word. Of course, China is also constantly looking for solutions to problems, and has been carrying out in-depth research. Now that China is building a high-quality development pattern, it is also promoting China's transformation from a country with a large population to a country with a large number of talents, so even if the subsequent population declines, it will not affect the overall situation. So do you think you can accept it if China's population really declines in the future?