China is the main country of automotive urea in South Korea, and South Korea has fallen into a tense situation after China recently suspended urea exports. They convened an emergency meeting in the hope of face-to-face talks with China, but no attempt to get an explanation was successful. Instead, China issued a new ban suspending export inspections of ammonium phosphate and did not give a specific time for the resumption of inspections. South Korea's dependence on ammonium phosphate in China is as high as 95%, which is comparable to that of urea. South Korea is unaware of the crisis of the emergency, and they only have enough stocks for three months. If China does not resume exports during the busy agricultural season next year, South Korea's domestic demand for fertilizer** will be affected, which will be passed on to South Korea's agricultural costs and agricultural products**, which in turn will affect South Korea's agricultural competitiveness.
South Korea's predicament is entirely self-inflicted. They are too dependent on China, but Yoon Suk-yeol** has not stopped encircling China. If South Korea has friendly relations with China, it will be prepared for unexpected situations. However, the current tensions between China and South Korea and China's intentions have become the object of speculation in South Korea, which makes it impossible for South Korea to sleep peacefully. If China does not resume exports, South Korea will find itself in an even more difficult situation. In addition, China's ban on South Korea may also be unsettling for the United States. These two raw materials (urea and ammonium phosphate) can also be used to make military **, such as making ammunition have greater ** capabilities. At present, with the outbreak of the conflict between Palestine and Israel, we can clearly see that the United States and the European Union have been unable to provide assistance to Ukraine. Every day, the U.S. Congress debates whether to aid Ukraine or Israel, or to solve domestic problems first. And the EU also sees the distress of the United States and is unwilling to shoulder the huge burden alone. Of course, this is not to say that the United States has abandoned aid to Ukraine. Recently, Biden made it clear that he does not accept the abandonment of aid to Ukraine, as this would bring the United States to its knees to Russia, which will continue its aggression against NATO allies. For example, Graham, a well-known anti-China congressman, also claimed that giving up aid to Ukraine would be a death sentence on the Taiwan issue, and this failure will make the United States continue to fail on the Taiwan issue. In this case, in order to reduce the pressure on the United States, South Korea has a greater responsibility. According to Russian media reports, in the past 40 days, South Korea has provided Ukraine with about 330,000 rounds of 155-mm artillery shells, more than the entire European Union and second only to the United States. However, with China's two bans on South Korea, I don't think the United States will be happy either. If South Korea's artillery aid is not in place, coupled with a harsh winter, the situation in Ukraine will be even more dangerous. If Ukraine fails, the United States will also be left without a place to be ashamed. South Korea will definitely be uncomfortable, and they will not hesitate to risk Russia's retaliation to aid Ukraine, but if South Korea's aid to Ukraine is not satisfied with the United States, the ultimate responsibility may be shifted to South Korea, so that South Korea has to bear the loss.
Summary: This article describes the impact of China's two bans on South Korea and South Korea's dilemma. South Korea is in trouble mainly because they are too dependent on China and have unfriendly relations with China. The implementation of this ban has not only affected South Korea's agriculture**, but also caused problems for South Korea's cooperative relationship with the United States. At the same time, the article also touches on the issue of U.S. assistance to Ukraine and Israel, showing the complexity of the current international situation. South Korea's role in this should not be underestimated, and they have taken on some of the pressure from the United States to share the burden by aiding Ukraine. However, South Korea's predicament remains, their artillery aid may not be able to meet Ukraine's needs, and China's ban is also unsettling for the United States. Overall, this paper aims to analyze and describe the complexity of the current Sino-South Korean relationship and the dilemmas facing South Korea, while also highlighting the competing interests and interdependence of various parties in international politics.