As soon as the price of pork falls to the end, when will the price rise?Farmers will not raise it

Mondo Three rural Updated on 2024-01-28

2023 is a year of pain and struggle for farmers, because:Hogs**Stuck in a trough, the entire industry has seen a lot of losses. Currently nationwideHogsThe average price is only about 7 yuan per catty, whether it is the first area or the low-price area, it cannot cover the cost of breeding. As a result, many farmers are facing the dilemma of high debt, and even said that they will no longer continue to raise pigs no matter what happens next year. What is the reason for such a low pig price?

First of all, the failure of the pig cycle is causedHogsOne of the main reasons for the big ups and downs. Pig cycle refers to the process of increase and decrease of sows from inventory to elimination, under normal circumstances, when the pig price is the first, the enthusiasm of pig raising increases, resulting in an increase in the number of sows, which in turn bringsHogsGrowth in reproduction. However, an overdoseHogs**Resulting in an oversupply in the market, **start**. At present, the national sow herd has exceeded expectations, the market is oversupplied, and meat prices are depressed, which is at presentHogs**Reasons for not being able to cover costs. In order to revive the market, a large number of culling sows will need to be reducedHogsProduction, however, will take time, and hopes for a market recovery remain vague.

Secondly, the disorderly expansion of capital also givesHogsBreeding brings a certain impact. Started in 2019,HogsThe market ushered in an outbreak, **because of the sharp decline in the number of African swine fever in the early stage**. The skyrocketing profits of pig farming have attracted a large influx of capital, not only Internet companies, but also real estate companies. Stimulated by state financial subsidiesHogsThe production capacity has expanded rapidly, and the proportion of large-scale breeding has exceeded 50%.

However, with the expansion of large-scale breeding capacity, competition in the industry has intensified, resulting inHogs** The ups and downs. In particular, the large-scale breeding group has concentrated the production capacity of countless free-range farmers, whether it is to reduce production capacity or increase production capacity is an order of magnitude, which makes itHogs** The volatility is even more dramatic. At the same time, large-scale farming has brought changes in technology and production costs, but it is also easy to become the culprit of competing with the people.

Hogs**of** directly affects the trend of pork**. At present, pork ** is declining seriously, letOrdinary peopleEating meat became a luxury. In China, where pork is the staple food, pork is unaffordable for many people, especially those with low incomes. Pork has long been a must-have on the table of Chinese, not only as a nutritious food, but also as a source of well-being and good luck. Therefore, the fluctuation of pork ** does not only affect peopleEconomyThe burden also brings a certain amount of pressure to people's lives.

In addition, pork ** rightcpiThe impact of the CPI is also not negligible. As one of the important commodities, the ** of pork will directly lead tocpiand then affect the wholeEconomyStable operation. In recent years,cpiThe performance is not optimistic, and the rapid growth of pork has become a pushcpiOne of the main factors. Therefore, controlling the fluctuation of pork ** is essential for maintaining the stability of overall prices as wellMacroeconomicsThe steady development of the is of great significance.

HogsThe aquaculture industry faces a range of challenges, including oversupply in the market, disease outbreaks, and capital expansion. These challenges make the following:HogsFarming has become a high-risk, low-profit industry, and many farmers have chosen to quit or not expand their scale. In addition,HogsThere are also ecological pressures and animal welfare problems in farming, which also requires the joint efforts of the industry and related departments.

In the face of the problem of oversupply in the market, there are some measures that can be takenRegulationHogsAquaculture capacity, limiting the expansion of large-scale farming, while encouraging the development of free-range farmers. In addition, strengtheningFarming techniquesR&D and training to improveHogsThe efficiency and quality of breeding is also an important way to solve the oversupply. For the outbreak of epidemic diseases, we can strengthen epidemic prevention and control and regulatory measures, improve the health standards of the breeding environment, and strengthenVaccinesR&D and use to reduce the epidemic pairAquacultureimpact.

In terms of capital expansion, it can guide the rational flow of capital, strengthen supervision, and avoid disorderly expansion and the formation of monopolies. At the same time, we can also increase support for farmers, providing loans and subsidies to alleviate farmers' lossesEconomypressure to protect their basic interests. Solving the challenges faced by pig farming requires the joint efforts of all parties, including **, industry associations, farmers, etc. It is only through cooperation and coordination that it can be maintainedHogsStability of the aquaculture industry andSustainabilityto provide people with safe, high-quality pork products.

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