**The Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11-12. At this meeting, the main points for the deployment of 2024 are as follows:
1.Macro policy.
Implement the policy of structural tax reduction and fee reduction.
Party and government organs should Xi living a tight life.
We should give full play to the dual functions of monetary policy tools, revitalize the stock, improve efficiency, and guide financial institutions to increase support for scientific and technological innovation, green transformation, inclusive small and micro enterprises, and digital economy.
It is necessary to enhance the consistency of macroeconomic policy orientation. Strengthen the coordination and cooperation of fiscal, monetary, employment, industrial, regional, science and technology, environmental protection and other policies, incorporate non-economic policies into the assessment of the consistency of macro policy orientation, strengthen policy coordination, and ensure that the same direction is exerted and a joint force is formed.
Strengthen economic propaganda and guidance, and sing the theory of China's economic brightness.
2.Scientific and technological innovation.
It is necessary to promote industrial innovation with scientific and technological innovation, especially to use disruptive technologies and cutting-edge technologies to give birth to new industries, new models, and new kinetic energy, and develop new quality productive forces.
Accelerate the development of artificial intelligence.
We will build a number of strategic emerging industries such as biomanufacturing, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy, open up new tracks for future industries such as quantum and life sciences, widely apply digital intelligence technology and green technology, and accelerate the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries.
3.Expand domestic demand.
It is necessary to stimulate consumption with potential, expand productive investment, and form a virtuous circle in which consumption and investment promote each other.
Actively cultivate new consumption growth points such as smart homes, cultural and entertainment tourism, sports events, and domestic "trendy products".
It is necessary to improve technology, energy consumption, emissions and other standards as the traction, and promote large-scale equipment renewal and consumer goods trade-in.
4.Reforms in key areas.
It is necessary to plan major measures to further deepen reform in an all-round way. It is necessary to plan a new round of reform of the fiscal and taxation system and implement the reform of the financial system.
5.Expand openness.
Relax market access for service industries such as telecommunications and medical care.
Earnestly solve the problems of cross-border data flow and equal participation in procurement.
Build the brand of "Invest in China".
Effectively break through the blockages for foreigners to do business, study, Xi, and tourism in China.
6.Mitigate risk.
It is necessary to coordinate and resolve risks such as real estate, local debts, and small and medium-sized financial institutions, severely crack down on illegal financial activities, and resolutely adhere to the bottom line of preventing systemic risks.
7."Three rural" work.
In order to ensure national food security and ensure that there is no large-scale return to poverty as the bottom line, focusing on improving the level of rural industrial development, rural construction and rural governance, strengthening the two-wheel drive of science and technology and reform, strengthening measures to increase farmers' income, and concentrating on doing a good job of doing a number of practical things that can be felt by the masses, and building livable, workable and beautiful villages.
We should explore the establishment of an inter-provincial horizontal interest compensation mechanism in grain production and marketing areas, and reform and improve the system of balancing the occupation and compensation of cultivated land.
8.Coordinated development.
Promote the construction of a new type of urbanization with county towns as an important carrier, and form a new pattern of urban-rural integrated development.
Implement urban renewal actions to build livable, resilient, and smart cities.
Optimize the distribution of major productive forces and strengthen the construction of national strategic hinterland.
9.Ecological civilization.
Build a Beautiful China Pilot Zone and create a highland for green and low-carbon development.
10.People's livelihood security.
Insist on doing our best, doing what we can, and holding on, accurately, and firmly adhering to the bottom line of people's livelihood.
Give more prominence to the priority orientation of employment and ensure the stability of employment for key groups.
Accelerate the improvement of the birth support policy system, develop the silver economy, and promote the high-quality development of the population.
11.Enhance the sense of responsibility and mission.
Seize all favorable opportunities, take advantage of all favorable conditions, get a good grasp of what you see, do as much as you can, and strive to cope with the uncertainty of changes in the situation with the certainty of your own work.
12.Pay attention to the four relationships.
Attention should be paid to grasping and handling the relationship between speed and quality, macro data and micro feelings, economic development and improvement of people's livelihood, and development and security, and constantly consolidate and enhance the positive trend of economic recovery.
13.Accurately grasp the policy orientation.
In the implementation of policies, we should strengthen the synergy and linkage, amplify the combination effect, lay a good amount of advance and leave redundancy in the policy reserve, and pay attention to the effectiveness and enhance the sense of gain in the evaluation of policy effects.
* |new economist
On December 13, at the 2023-2024 China Economic Annual Meeting held at the China Center for International Economic ExchangesHan Wenxiu, deputy director of the Finance Office in charge of daily work and director of the Agricultural OfficeHe said that China's economic development is facing many favorable conditions and important opportunities, and on the whole, the opportunities outweigh the challenges.
Han Wenxiu said that China's macro policy space is still sufficient, the price level is low, the debt level is not high, and there is still a lot of room for fiscal policy and monetary policy.
This year, China will issue an additional 1 trillion yuan of treasury bonds, introduce a package of plans to resolve local debt risks, reduce the deposit reserve ratio, etc., and these policy effects will continue to be released next year.
In addition, the comprehensive deepening of reform has injected new impetus into development, China has the unique advantages of a complete industrial system and strong supporting capabilities, and has accelerated technological breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, quantum technology, biomanufacturing and other fields. The green development of low-carbon, energy-saving and environmental protection as the standard promotes the accelerated transformation of production and consumption, which will provide greater dividends and a broader stage for China's economic development.
1.This year, China's automobile exports will exceed 5 million, setting a new historical record
* Han Wenxiu, deputy director of the Finance Office in charge of daily work and director of the ** Agricultural Office, introducedThis year, China's contribution to global economic growth is about 30 percent, and it is still the largest engine of the world economy. The share of China's exports in the international market remained at a slightly higher level of 14%.
Han Wenxiu said that this year, the exports of major major countries have declined, while China's import and export volume has been basically flat year-on-year, or even slightly increased, the share of exports in the international market has remained at a slightly higher level of 14%, the scale of foreign exchange reserves has remained above 3 trillion US dollars, and the RMB exchange rate has been basically stable.
China has the unique advantages of a complete industrial system and strong supporting capabilities, and occupies an important position in the global industrial chain and chain. The automobile, shipbuilding and other manufacturing industries have shown strong international competitiveness.
This year, China's automobile exports will exceed 5 million, a new historical record, new breakthroughs in scientific and technological innovation, and many milestone innovation achievements have emerged.
2.The main expected goals of economic and social development this year are expected to be successfully achieved
Han Wenxiu said that in 2023, the main expected goals of China's economic and social development are expected to be successfully achieved, and this year, China's economy will develop in waves and zigzags, and generally show a pattern of high growth rate, low prices, stable employment, and basic balance of payments.
The economy grew by 4 percent year-on-year in the first quarter5%, up 6 percent in the second quarter3%, up 49%。Now many institutions ** annual economic growth of 5About 2%, the year-on-year economic growth rate of the whole year is low, medium and high, and stable.
3.We cannot detach ourselves from reality and rush to achieve results
Han Wenxiu said that to strengthen and improve macroeconomic regulation and control, we must persist in seeking progress while maintaining stability, promote stability with progress, and establish first and then break down.
Seeking progress while maintaining stability is to take stability as the overall situation and foundation, and to introduce more policies that are conducive to stabilizing expectations, growth, and employment, and prudently introducing contractionary and inhibitory measures.
To promote stability through progress is to take progress as the direction and driving force, actively forge ahead in changing the mode, adjusting the structure, improving quality, and increasing efficiency, so as to consolidate the foundation for stability and improvement. To establish first and then break down is to take into account stability and progress as a whole, and to take the initiative to stand up when it should be established. What should be broken should be resolutely broken on the basis of standing. At the same time, it is necessary to work steadily and steadily, grasp the timing, degree, and effect, and not deviate from reality and rush for success.
4.Strengthen and improve macroeconomic regulation and control, and strengthen the consistency of macroeconomic policy orientation
**The level is a thermometer of the macroeconomy, it is not good to be too high or too lowIn order to keep prices at a moderate and moderate level, finance should increase support for the real economy, do a good job in science and technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance, so as to promote the steady decline of comprehensive social financing costs and form a virtuous circle between economy and finance.
Han Wenxiu also said that it is necessary to strengthen the consistency of macroeconomic policy orientation, and practice has shown that in addition to direct economic policies, many non-economic policies also have a direct or indirect impact on economic operations, so it is necessary to adhere to the concept of systems, not only to strengthen the coordination and cooperation between fiscal, monetary, employment, industrial, regional, science and technology, and other policies, but also to include non-economic policies in the assessment of the consistency of macroeconomic policy orientation, so that all kinds of policies can better coordinate and enhance their synergy.
5.Arrange a moderate deficit, local special bonds, budgetary investment, and transfer payments
Han Wenxiu said that it is necessary to arrange a moderate deficit, local special bonds, budgetary investment, and transfer payments, and implement structural tax and fee reduction policies.
The key is to optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, use the money on the cutting edge, improve the efficiency of the use of fiscal funds and the effect of policies, strictly supervise the transfer of payment funds, strictly enforce financial and economic discipline, strictly control general expenditures, and firmly adhere to the bottom line of the three guarantees at the grassroots level, so that the people's livelihood is guaranteed and the finance is sustainable.
6.Low-risk areas should be able to promote high-quality development as quickly as possible
Han Wenxiu said that focusing on promoting high-quality development, doing a solid job in key economic work, and continuing to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas, it is necessary to adhere to the system concept, coordinate and resolve risks such as real estate, local debt, and small and medium-sized financial institutions, improve relevant basic systems, accelerate the construction of a new model of real estate development, and effectively implement a package of plans to resolve local debts.
In particular, major economic provinces should really take the lead and make greater contributions to stabilizing the national economy.
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