Reading guide:
In the past 10 years, the A** field has been the world's "bear" for several times, including both years with high economic growth and years with low economic growthThere are both high and low years of currency delivery. In general, the trend of the a** field has little to do with the macroeconomic situation of the year, and the market expectations, especially short-term expectations, play a major role in the elongation cycle.
Text|Brother Kunpeng.
In the last half month, if the market can not have an explosive counterattack, this year's A** field core index may be at the bottom of the world's major ** indexes, why ** and experts from the beginning of the year said that the U.S. stock market is going to collapse, but at the end of the year the U.S. stock market not only did not collapse, but also hit a record high, and the trend of A-shares continued to break the bottom line of investors' psychology, the CSI 300 and the Shanghai 50 index continued to hit new lows, and the Shanghai 50 index even hit a new low in the past 7 years last Friday.
In the past 10 years, the main A-share indices have fallen in the forefront of the world several times, including years with high economic growth and years with low economic growthThere are both high and low years of currency delivery. If you follow the macroeconomic **a** field trend, there is almost no regularity,This is probably the main reason why at the end of each year the brokerage is not much for the next year, and even some brokerages are almost every year is a contrarian indicator.
More miserable than A-shares is Hong Kong stocks, if there is no big reversal in the last two weeks, the Hang Seng Index will close out of 4 consecutive negatives, setting a record for the longest bear market in nearly 40 years, and three years ago institutions shouted "across the Hong Kong River, seize the pricing power", many institutions in the Hong Kong stock market history high three years ago to recruit Hong Kong stock researchers.
The problem with A-shares lies in the endEven in the past few years, Hong Kong stocks have been brought to the ditchThe essential problem is "too young, immature, imperfect, unhealthy, underdeveloped". There have been a few years when the white horse stock was crazy, the institution shouted that the market should be de-** because of the interest appeal, and shouted that the future of the a** field is the world of white horse stocks, and the result is that the level of the institution in the past few years is not higher than the ** to **, the former "Mao Index" and "Ning Index" fell Mom does not know, it turns out that many institutions are chasing the rise and killing the fall, betting on the bet, everyone is just "watching the sky and eating". Hong Kong stocks have also performed poorly since mainland funds went south, and I don't know whether Hong Kong stocks should have fallen in the first place, or whether mainland institutions have resonated with A-shares at the same frequency after they went.
Can A shares be **?In Brother Kunpeng's view, it is okay to be short-term, but it is not easy to have a long time period, because the short-term can be basically achieved by technology, and the long-term is based on some macro factors, but the trend of the a** field has little to do with macro factors, even if there is a relationship, the macro variables are too complex, and it is difficult, not to mentionThe long-term trajectory of decision-making and action of "a person who is not very sane" is almost impossible because you are thinking rationally, and he is not thinking rationally.
There is not much time and space left for the market, the Shanghai Index is a "life and death line" near 2830-2860 points, Hong Kong stocks and A shares are resonating at the same frequency, A shares are good, Hong Kong stocks are good, Hong Kong stocks can rise, A shares can also rise, fortunately, Hong Kong stocks have some good signs.
Like the content of Brother Kunpeng, please in the bottom right cornerLikes, "watching", and **support.
Disclaimer:The content of this information is for reference only and should not be used as the sole reference factor for investment decisions, and does not represent the views of the employer. The market is risky, so you should be cautious when investing!Any unauthorized use such as excerpting, copying, and mirroring is prohibited. If you need **, please contact us with the author and source!