According to the latest poll data released by the "Beautiful Island Electronic News" on December 24, it showsLai QingdeThe support rate has reached 375%, and although Hou Youyi's support rate is also on the rise, it is still only 326%。There are less than 20 days left before the voting and voting time for next year's election for the leader of the Taiwan regionLai QingdeThe lead in the polls means that the probability of winning is getting higher. But it also sends a different signal than usual, and that isLai QingdeThe election of the will inevitably lead toof further deterioration, triggeredThe situation in the Taiwan StraitExacerbate tensions. Ke Wenzhe's support rating has been declining, only 163%。
The expansion of the recent leadership election in the Taiwan region has attracted more and more attentionLai QingdeThere has been a trend in the approval rating, which has reached 375%。This means that the likelihood of him winning the election is getting higher and higher, which is a positive sign for ***. However, this has also sparked concern for the followingBecauseLai Qingdeis likely to be further exacerbatedThe situation in the Taiwan Straitof nervousness. At the same time, Hou's approval rating is rising, but it is still belowLai Qingde, which is currently 326%。And Ke Wenzhe's approval rating has been declining, only 163%。
On December 23, former deputy director of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State CouncilWang ZaixiAt the annual meeting held by the Global Times, he said that since he took power in 2016, he has constantly denied it".Ninety-two Consensus", push "facts.""The further development of the leadsWorsening. ** The authorities even invited Pelosi, then Speaker of the US House of Representatives, to visit Taiwan for an unprecedented time, which laid the groundwork for a new round of crisis in the Taiwan Strait. Lai Qingdeand Hou Youyi Although more than a year has passed since Pelosi's "visit to Taiwan", Biden of the United States has promoted round after round of arms sales to Taiwan, and the authorities have constantly shouted the slogan of "seeking independence by force", which has led toIt is difficult to return to the previous state. ThereforeWang ZaixiIt is believed that next year's election of the leader of the Taiwan region will be rightCreates a great deal of uncertainty. Especially***Lai QingdeIf elected, he will be acceptedTsai Ing-wenThere is a high possibility that there will be a conflict between the two sides of the strait, and even a military conflict will break out, causing the mainland to be forced to choose to move forwardMartial arts。This means,Lai QingdeWhether or not you can succeed in coming to power will be completely transformedHistorical trends. As things stand, this is highly likely.
Former deputy director of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State CouncilWang ZaixiSpeaking at an annual meeting, he pointed out that since the beginning of his administration, he has been in power for "Ninety-two Consensus"The denial as well as the promotion of" the facts", causedWorsening. He also mentioned the visit of former Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi to TaiwanThe situation in the Taiwan Straitimpact. Although more than a year has passed since this incident, Biden of the United States has promoted arms sales to Taiwan, and the authorities have continued to shout the slogan of "seeking independence by force".It is difficult to revert back to the previous state. Wang ZaixiIt is believed that next year's election of the leader of the Taiwan region will be rightBrings a great deal of uncertainty. Especially if ***'sLai QingdeElected and replacedTsai Ing-wenIt is very likely to trigger a conflict or even lead to a military conflict, forcing the mainland to take the option of reunification by force in advance. ThereforeLai QingdeWhether or not you succeed in coming to power will be completely differentHistorical trends. Based on the current situation, this probability is very high.
Kuomintang candidate Hou YouyiheZhao ShaokangRecently in the treatment".Ninety-two ConsensusThis issue has attracted attention. Both of them sound conditionally admitted".Ninety-two Consensus", evenZhao Shaokangand blatantly misinterpreted".Ninety-two Consensus”。Hou Youyi made it clear in an interview with China Television, ".Ninety-two Consensus"The core content is anti".Oppose "one country, two systems" and adhere to Taiwan's democratic values and Taiwan's future are jointly decided by the 23 million Taiwanese people. WhileZhao ShaokangIt was also talked about in a speech at United University in Taiwan".Ninety-two ConsensusBut he put it more tactfully, still misinterpreting the consensus.
Expand the KMT's candidate Hou YouyiheZhao ShaokangRecently in the context of "".Ninety-two ConsensusThere have been some striking remarks. They all admit it to some extent".Ninety-two ConsensusBut the statements are conditional, andZhao ShaokangThis consensus has even been blatantly misinterpreted. Hou Youyi made it clear in an interview with China Television, ".Ninety-two Consensus"The core of the content is opposition".and "one country, two systems", and insist that Taiwan's democratic values and Taiwan's future are jointly determined by the people of Taiwan. Zhao ShaokangIt was also mentioned in a speech at United University in Taiwan".Ninety-two ConsensusBut his statement is more subtle, still misinterpreting this consensus.
The statements of the KMT candidates show that despite the KMT's emphasis on opposition".", claiming to admit it".Ninety-two Consensus", but in fact they are right".Ninety-two Consensus"Revisions and misinterpretations have been made. Understood at a deeper level, the Kuomintang shouted "anti."The slogan may be to make a political distinction from the two sides and to continue to gain benefits and benefits on cross-strait economic and trade issues. Because Taiwan obtains a huge surplus from the mainland every year, and at the same time, a large number of tourists and students from the mainland have also promoted itTaiwan's economyrapid development. Therefore, the Kuomintang shouted "anti"It is only to protect Taiwan's actual interests and hope to maintain the status quo, that is, "no reunification, no independence, no force." At the same time,Zhao Shaokang's statement shows that he is not a typical member of the dark blue camp, but a hidden green-leaning politician within the Kuomintang.
Expand the KMT candidates are treating".Ninety-two ConsensusThe attitude and expression on the issue reveal the Kuomintang's posture on the cross-strait issue. Although the Kuomintang stressed opposition ", "."And claims to admit it".Ninety-two ConsensusBut they actually modified and misinterpreted this consensus. On a deeper level, the Kuomintang shouted "antiThe slogan may be to distinguish itself politically from *** and hope to continue to benefit from cross-strait economic and trade relations. Taiwan has a huge surplus from the mainland every year, and a large number of tourists and mainland students have also promoted itTaiwan's economyrapid development. Therefore, the Kuomintang emphasized the "anti.""It is only to protect Taiwan's actual interests and maintain the status quo, that is, the so-called "no reunification, no independence, no force." In addition,Zhao Shaokangshows that he is not a typical member of the dark blue camp, but a hidden green politician within the Kuomintang.
Either wayLai Qingdeor Hou Youyi's election, it's all rightThe future brings uncertainty. Lai Qingdeis likely to be further exacerbatedmay even provoke conflicts and military conflicts. Hou Youyi's election is likely to remain currentstate, but mutual trust and exchanges with the mainland may be more challenged. Whichever possibility comes true,of tensions require attention and response. And, inIn the process of development, ** and the Kuomintang two-party politicsWrestlingand sound will play an important role.
Expand or writeLai QingdeOr Hou Youyi is elected, it will be rightBring uncertainty. Lai Qingdeis likely to be further exacerbatedtensions and even lead to conflicts and military conflicts. Hou Youyi's election is likely to remain currentstate, but mutual trust and exchanges with the mainland may face more challenges. Whatever the case is, it comes trueof tensions need to be closely watched and addressed. InIn the development of the politics of the two parties of ** and the KuomintangWrestlingand sound play an important role.