When will the Russia-Ukraine conflict end?This should be a concern for many people. Against this background, two clear signals are coming from Russia that the war will end in the spring of 2024. The first signal, a few days ago, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said at a military meeting that the Russian army would "fully complete" its military objectives against Ukraine in 2024.
It is worth noting that this is the first time since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict that the Russian top leadership has hinted at the end time of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. After Shoigu's statement, recently, Zaporozhye Oblast Governor Balitsky told ** that he believes that the Russian army's special military operation in Ukraine will end in the spring and summer of 2024.
Balitsky's exact words are that he is a military man who knows everything well, and it is quite certain that the Ukrainian front line is going to collapse. One is the Russian defense minister, and the other is the governor of the Zaporizhzhia region under the control of the Russian army, and the statements of the two tend to be consistent, both pointing to the end of the war in Russia within 2024.
Judging from these two signals, we can feel that the possibility of ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024 is relatively large. However, once the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is over, the United States is bound to free up some of its forces, and the United States will deploy this part of its forces to the United StatesIt is reasonable to assume that it is most likely the Asia-Pacific region.
These two events are tantamount to a wake-up call to China, reminding China to prepare in advance. Not long ago, both houses of the U.S. Congress passed the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2024, in which a large amount of Taiwan-related content appeared.
The US Congress has demanded that the United States formulate a series of comprehensive training and assistance plans for the "Taiwan military," and that Congress will make special appropriations for the "Taiwan-related plans." Therefore, a preliminary conclusion can be drawn that in 2024, US military assistance to the Taiwan region and related cooperation will only increase, not decrease.
As everyone knows, the Taiwan issue is China's core interest, and it is absolutely impossible for China to make concessions on the Taiwan issue. Then, despite China's repeated firm statements or warnings, the United States still passed the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2024 with a large number of "Taiwan-related contents", which is itself a provocation.
It is not clear whether the United States wants to start a war in the Taiwan Strait, but what is certain is that the United States' idea is to help the "** elements" resist reunification by force. Judging from the current signs, it is very clear that the United States is going all out to arm the Taiwan region and turn it into a "hedgehog."
This approach is very disgusting, in fact, it wants to force Chinese mainland to do it first, and then consume the PLA as much as possible through landing battles, urban street battles, etc., so as to play the strategic intention of bloodletting Chinese mainland. As long as the war in the Taiwan Strait drags on for a long time, Russia and Israel will now be a lesson for us, and even if the two sides of the strait are finally reunified, the price to be paid will be even greater.
To sum up, I personally believe that the Taiwan issue cannot continue to drag on, and the longer it drags on, the more prepared the elements and the United States will be, and the more difficult it will be for future reunification. There is an old Chinese saying that goes, "If you are constantly interrupted, you will suffer from it." The big question now is when it is best to make a decision, and it is worth thinking about seriously.