It is no longer news that Gaza, seven days after a temporary ceasefire, is back in a state of hostilities. However, the fighting methods between Israel and Hamas still deserve our attention, because these contests are not only the ground battlefield in Gaza, but also the first and psychological warfare.
Today, we will analyze the ecstasy unleashed by Israel against Hamas, the reason why it is an ecstasy is to make Hamas wonder whether Gaza still has room for its own existence in the future, or to make Hamas seem to see the hope of the next ceasefire, but it is not clear whether there is any hope for continuing to resist.
And once Hamas's will to resist is broken, it can greatly reduce the losses of the Israeli army in the subsequent military operation.
Israel's recent news on Hamas can be summed up in a few items, but the results are relatively contradictory.
1. Israel has told Saudi Arabia, Egypt and other countries to establish a buffer zone in northern Gaza. Israel seems to want to tell Hamas that all it wants is to create a buffer zone in northern Gaza, so that as long as Hamas abandons its policy of radical armed resistance, there is room to survive.
Second, Israel has announced that it will pursue the killing of Hamas members worldwide after the end of the fighting in Gaza. This in itself is evidence that Israel recognizes that Hamas is still in existence for a long time, but that it will not work to go abroad, and that Israel will retaliate with state terrorism.
This could be described as a serious deterrent to Hamas's current leadership, and Israel would face serious legal obstacles to killing people in other countries when it was actually implemented, as it would directly challenge the sovereignty of other countries.
Third, Israel, through a source, has announced that it plans to use the means of war to completely eradicate Hamas in another year. This seems to tell Hamas not to think of using protracted war to achieve any political ends, because Israel is preparing for protracted war. In fact, Israel is continuing to promote the war in Gaza and is facing heavy economic burden and international pressure.
Fourthly, the Israeli army began military operations in southern Gaza. The Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces, Herzi Al-Khalwi, announced that the intensity of the offensive in southern Gaza would not be lower than that of the Israeli army in northern Gaza. This shows that Israel regards the temporary ceasefire as an intermission, and that its plan to continue destroying Hamas is still in progress.
Hamas, on the other hand, stressed that Israel refused to continue the hostage-swapping ceasefire plan, while at the same time accusing the United States of allowing Israel to create a humanitarian disaster. That said, Hamas still believes that the exchange of hostages for peace is an effective way to end the war in Gaza in the future, but this is probably wrong.
If we look again at Israel's objectives: the release of hostages, the elimination of Hamas and the prevention of a "terrorist regime" in Gaza, it is clear that Hamas has miscalculated the situation. Israel's unleashed prospect of future governance in Gaza seems to leave room for imagination for Hamas's continued existence, which is nothing more than an early abandonment of Hamas's resistance, with the real aim of fully occupying southern Gaza at a smaller cost.
Hamas's current dilemma is: first, the price of any temporary ceasefire is the release of the hostages, which happens to be an intermission or recuperation for the Israeli army, and the time is on Israel's side; Second, as long as the release of the hostages does not meet the needs of the Israeli side, the fighting will continue, and the Israeli army will be better prepared and have fewer and fewer bargaining chips in its hands.
Hamas claims that Israeli military actions are obstructing ceasefire negotiations, but the problem is that Israel's purpose is not ceasefire negotiations at all. You can justify the fundamental gap between Hamas now wanting to use hostages to negotiate a ceasefire in reality, while Israel is using a temporary ceasefire to save the hostages, with one side aiming for war and the other side aiming to eliminate the other.
In general, in the Gaza war, Israel is playing a kind of psychological warfare, that is, to make Hamas unable to understand Israel's strategic intentions, but as outsiders, we must be clear: Israel will definitely find a way to completely eliminate Hamas this time, and all other negotiations will serve this purpose, which is very cruel, but this is the reality. List of high-quality authors