The leadership of the Struggle Democratic Party (DPP) in the Indonesian Parliament has been challenged by the Greater Indonesia Movement Party. According to a number of polls, the Greater Indonesia Movement Party is closing the gap with the Democratic Party of Struggle, and has even surpassed the latter.
According to the results of a poll released by the Indonesian Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) last Wednesday (December 27), the Struggle Democratic Party, led by the former American and Canadian Vati, scored 164 Yes, with the Greater Indonesian Movement Party (PTA) led by Defense Minister Prabowo following with 14 support6, the gap is only 18 percentage points.
The Democratic Party of Struggle is also the party to which Jokowi belongs in Indonesia. In the past decade, that is, in two parliamentary elections, the party has taken advantage of Jokowi's popularity to become the largest party in the lower house of parliament. However, with Jokowi believed to be Prabowo's election** and Jokowi's eldest son, Gibran, Prabowo's running mate, support for some voters has flowed from the Struggle Democratic Party to the Greater Indonesia Movement Party.
On February 14 this year, some 205 million voters will elect representatives and new members of parliament** in Indonesia.
After the first debate of the three candidates vying for the top spot on December 12 last year, the Center for Strategic and International Studies conducted a poll of 1,300 voters from December 13 to 18.
In the same poll, Prabowo's approval rating reached 437. Former Chief of the Jakarta Special Administrative Region Anies received 261 Popular support, the candidate of the Democratic Party of Struggle and former Governor of Central Java, Ganchar, won with 194 is at the bottom of the list.
After the debate of the deputy candidates of the three teams on December 22, the polling agency "Political Indicators" also invited 1,217 voters to participate in the survey through a telephone interview.
According to the results of the survey, in the parliamentary elections, the Struggle Democratic Party won 191 Yes, the support of the Greater Indonesia Movement Party is 182％。
Political indicators" also pointed out when the poll results were released last Tuesday (26th) that after the Democratic Party of Struggle put Ganchar as its candidate, although the poll support rate rose for a time, it has shown a trend in recent months. On the other hand, the support of the Greater Indonesian Movement Party has been on the rise in the past year or so.
A poll conducted by Compass in early December showed that the support of the Struggle Democratic Party was to 183, overtaken by the Greater Indonesia Movement Party, which won 219 Popular support.
The Struggle Democratic Party currently holds 128 of the 575 seats in the lower house, while the Greater Indonesia Movement Party has 78 seats.
In the coming term, Prabowo will lead a coalition of nine parties, with 261 seats held by Prabowo's camp if the current seats in parliament are included. The Anies camp currently holds 167 seats, while the Struggle Democrats and Coalitions have a total of 147 seats.
After Jokowi's eldest son joined the rival camp, the fighting Democratic Party distanced itself from Jokowi and even went on the offensive, suggesting that Jokowi was manipulating justice in order to build his own political dynasty. Unexpectedly, this move backfired, causing the fighting Democratic Party to lose more support.
In an interview with The Jakarta Post, Arya Fernandes, director of the Department of Political and Social Change at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that the PTA is gradually closing its distance, and the Democratic Party of Struggle needs to wake up and readjust its strategy.
If they still want to dominate the parliamentary elections, the Fighting Democrats now have to consolidate their base anyway. ”