It's not easy to create likes, follow and share!
Today is Monday, December 11As of last night, the purchase price of most enterprises in Shandong has returned to 13 yuan catty, a number of companies a day two or three rises, the northeast region of the price reduction range also began to weaken, the market circulation of grain sources weakened, many analysts believe that the market has entered the first tight stage, corn to rush 14 yuan catty, is it true?On the contrary, it should maintain a sustained trend of wheat, which seems to be a bit powerless, and many grain holders are worried that the main body of grain will fall again, the willingness to ship will rise, and the market circulation grain source will increaseHow should the main body of food holding work?
First of all, the view of corn remains unchanged, although the grain storage in the Northeast has expanded the rotation of the purchase, but from the purchase price and purchase standards, not to talk about the two words of the city, at most in the stability of corn, the last two days in the Northeast deep processing in front of the arrival of the situation is better, the center of gravity is still moving downward, more critically, after this round of snowfall, a lot of grain sources in the Northeast must make a choice, the market is facing pressure at any time, even if there is a stable bottom of the grain storage, in the short term still do not see the opportunity!
As for North China and Shandong, although Shandong has opened a comprehensive ** mode, but from the arrival situation can also get the answer, the current stage of the main mentality of the grain is unstable, with the first temperature on the amount is a matter of time, to yesterday's arrival, less than 100 units of arrival for enterprises at all no pressure, but the unloading speed is slow, not to mention rising to 14, even if it is ** to 135 yuan Jin of ** manufacturers in front of the arrival is bound to increase greatly, and it is inevitable that the enterprise will "wave the knife to harvest". It is expected that throughout the middle of the year, Shandong's ** probability will show strong fluctuations, you must know that the demand side has the pricing power at this stage, so you must lower your expectations!
As a traditional sales area, the south has been hit by a greater impact this year, especially the impact of swine fever, downstream demand continues to be weak, coupled with the rampant substitutions, the wait-and-see mood of enterprises at this stage is obvious, and there is no basis for large-scale increases in the short term
At present, it is the mainstream trend to sing short on corn, but there are three misunderstandings in this, one is that the trend of corn before and after the Spring Festival is definitely different, and you can't judge the Spring Festival after the Spring Festival by the ** before the Spring FestivalSecond, the current inventory of middlemen is low, which does not mean that it will be lower after the year, for most of the merchants, when the bottom will definitely be built, after the transfer of grain sources, corn will really have the confidence of the first!The third is that the current corn ** fell below the planting cost, which is exaggerated, it can only be said that there is no profit, but it is not enough to talk about falling below the cost, not to mention that as long as farmers do not sell grain, it is easy to fall and difficult to rise, which is to move back in the risk, and it is also to pile up and sell grain, the more it will be harvested!Therefore, it is recommended that the main body of grain should stop expecting big **, and seize the small ** of each wave stage!
After entering the middle and late months, corn has the basis of the first month, but the increase is limited, after entering January, even if there is the stimulation of the Spring Festival stocking, but the ** of the enterprise is bound to cause the outbreak of concentrated volume, so we think that there is no judgment on corn before the Spring Festival, and it is recommended that the boss who is willing to ship reduce psychological expectations, don't think about anything 15 yuan, even want to be a home to sell 14 yuan is difficult, but North China, that is, Shandong, will not fall to 11 yuan jin position, but the northeast region is more likely
Note: The above analysis of the current corn and wheat market** represents a personal view only. It is for reference only, not as an investment basis, and different opinions are welcome to leave a message to discuss. Investment is risky,** caution is required