After the U.S. withdrawal, Afghanistan was in turmoil. With the withdrawal of 17,000 military contractors, there is a gap in the maintenance, logistics, training and other work of the army's equipment, and the combat effectiveness of the Afghan army has become the focus. **Reporting experts assess in four aspects, will it be captured by the Taliban?
For the past seven years on the battlefield in Afghanistan, the Afghan army has been fighting the Taliban, with only limited support from the U.S. military. At present, the capitals of Afghanistan's 34 provinces are not controlled by the Taliban, and there are 350,000 Afghan forces, including 180,000 ** army special forces. Experts believe that the Afghan army has shown itself well in past battles and its ability to fight the Taliban cannot be underestimated.
The Afghan army has a large amount of ** equipment, while the Taliban are mainly purchased through the black market, and the performance is uneven. Afghanistan** said it had enough strength to stand up to the Taliban and defend the country and its people. Judging by the Afghan army's war reports, more than 5,900 Taliban members were killed and wounded in June alone, showing its strength in the ground fighting.
However, historical experience reminds us that the regime was volatile after the withdrawal. In the case of the Soviet Union's withdrawal from Afghanistan in 1989, the regime it supported after the withdrawal was gradually defeated, resulting in the occupation of 80% of the land by militants. The only combat-ready unit of the Afghan army also declared its separation from power after the withdrawal. The lessons of history teach us that withdrawal could lead to a power vacuum, creating opportunities for the rise of extremist groups.
The rise of the Taliban is closely linked to Pakistan. In the past, the Taliban were actually propped up by Pakistan. In the Taliban's army, there are a large number of Pakistani volunteers, and even Pakistani officers serve as commanders. Although the Taliban controlled 70 percent of Afghanistan in 1997, the Northern Alliance in Afghanistan has succeeded in uniting ethnic groups to form a force against the Taliban.
Currently, Afghanistan faces three key variables. First, the surrender of a large number of Afghan troops could strengthen the power of the Taliban. Second, the Taliban may get more American** to improve their combat effectiveness. Finally, with the victory of the Taliban, more may join them. Although the current Taliban is relatively moderate, the future remains uncertain.
Therefore, the potential of the Taliban should not be underestimated at this time. Although they currently have only 80,000 men, they are not without the possibility of victory against an Afghan army of 350,000. In the coming months, the Taliban could usher in a dramatic change that could have far-reaching implications for Afghanistan's future.
This article provides an insightful analysis of the current situation in Afghanistan, especially what may change after the withdrawal of US troops. Through a combination of military power, historical experience, and geopolitics, the author presents a range of possibilities for Afghanistan's future and offers some key perspectives on this complex and sensitive regional issue.
First of all, the article gives an exhaustive account of the strength of the Afghan army. Pointing out that it has excelled in past battles and is strong against the Taliban. However, with the withdrawal of US troops and military contractors, vacancies in military facilities and logistical support could pose a threat to the military stability of Afghanistan. This is a point of concern and an issue that needs to be addressed urgently in Afghanistan.
Second, the article focuses on historical experience, using the Soviet Union's experience in Afghanistan as an example to highlight the regime instability and power vacuum that a withdrawal could bring. This reminds us that the stability of the country after the withdrawal depends not only on the strength of the army, but also on the stability of the political system and the level of governance. The lessons of history tell us that in the absence of effective governance, it can create opportunities for the rise of radical groups and pose a serious threat to regional and international security.
Regarding the role of the Taliban, the article points out its close ties with Pakistan, which has played a key role in the Taliban's rise. This provides a complex backdrop for future developments, and Pakistan's attitude and support will play a key role in resolving the Afghan issue.
Finally, the article provides an in-depth analysis of three key variables for the future. The author stresses that the surrender of the Afghan army, the Taliban's acquisition of more American** and the possibility of more people joining the Taliban are all important factors that will lead to the change in the situation. This analysis reminds us that the evolution of the situation depends on multiple dynamic factors, rather than a single balance of forces.
Overall, this article provides readers with a comprehensive understanding of the situation in Afghanistan through facts and history. However, in the face of such complex regional issues, the future development is still full of uncertainties, which requires us to remain vigilant and seek more cooperation and solutions to ensure future peace and stability in Afghanistan.
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