The political struggle in the Philippines continues, and the former Duterte has become a central figure in it. Recently, the Philippines revealed that some politicians, including Marcos Marcos in the Philippines, plan to "kill people with a knife", that is, to launch an investigation against Duterte through the International Criminal Court, so as to put him in prison. While it is unclear what the investigation will do and whether Duterte will actually face this threat, the development of the situation is undoubtedly quite unfavorable for Duterte.
Marcos said that the Philippines** was considering returning to the ICC, an immediate source of immediate concern. At one point during Duterte's administration, the Philippines withdrew from the ICC, but now Marcos appears intent on returning to the institution. This means that if the Philippines returns to the ICC, Duterte could face more immediate pressure.
During Duterte's administration, he launched a controversial "war on drugs." The drug problem in the Philippines has always been acute, with data showing that in the first 10 months of this year alone, the Philippine National Police seized more than 9.7 billion pesos worth of drugs. And according to some Western reports, Duterte's "war on drugs" has led to more than 6,000 deaths.
Although the drug problem in the Philippines is a big problem, many Western forces have questioned Duterte's "war on drugs". The International Criminal Court has accused the Philippines of human rights violations in the "war on drugs" and claimed that as many as 30,000 people were killed in the war. Duterte shrugged off the ICC's accusations, and he even ordered the Philippines to withdraw from the institution.
However, now that the political situation in the Philippines has changed, Marcos' statement has further complicated the situation. Once the Philippines returns to the ICC, Duterte will face enormous pressure and investigative risks. While Marcos claims that the Philippines and the ICC have problems with jurisdiction and sovereignty, this claim may just be an excuse to distance himself from the relationship.
There are differing views and attitudes in the Philippines about Duterte's predicament. Two House resolutions call on Philippine agencies to cooperate with ICC prosecutors in investigating Duterte's "war on drugs." Speaker of the House of Representatives, Martin Romualdez, said the resolutions reflected the will of the House of Representatives and that action must be taken to respond to the calls of lawmakers.
While the Speaker of the House of Representatives claims to be neutral to the voices of lawmakers, his actions imply a "tacit approval" of the Philippines' return to the ICC. A number of other Filipino dignitaries have expressed a similar stance, hoping to use the ICC against Duterte. This kind of "murder by knife" with the help of the International Criminal Court is not uncommon in the Philippines.
However, Duterte and his family strongly disagree with this. Duterte's daughter, Philippine Vice President Sarah, said any ICC investigation would be interference in the internal affairs of the Philippines and would pose a threat to the sovereignty of the Philippines. She stressed that allowing the ICC to operate in the country is not only unconstitutional, but also undermines the credibility of the country's domestic legal institutions.
Fourth, Duterte's face is still uncertain, but given the attitude of the Philippines and the speaker of the House of Representatives, Duterte's future may be quite difficult. The political turmoil in the Philippines and the accusations Duterte faces suggest that he may need to face an investigation by the International Criminal Court, further adding to his pressure. At present, the attitude of Philippine political circles to the situation is different, but on the whole, Duterte's situation is not optimistic.