Macron's tentative move.
Macron has recently made frequent remarks and carried out a series of "tentative" actions against Russia. He not only called Putin in public, but also said that his ** number has never changed, and even said that if Putin wants to go to France, he will agree to a certain extent. On this basis, Putin will hold a peace talks with Zelensky in Ukraine in order to turn the situation in Ukraine. Macron wants to test Putin's attitude to the situation in Ukraine by sending a signal to Putin at the celebration of the 80th anniversary of the Normandy landings. But where does Macron's confidence come from?
Macron is confident in part because he believes Putin will make concessions to participate in the celebrations, but also hopes to test Europe's ties with Russia. As the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is nearing its end, Macron wants to prepare in advance, and he also wants to know Russia's opinion on this, so that France can play a greater role in the world. In addition, France and Russia have quite good relations, and Macron's invitation to Putin to France is on the one hand to further strengthen the ties between France and Russia, and on the other hand, it is also to explore the tone of European countries.
Russia's position is elusive.
In the face of Macron's tentative attack, Russia's response has been somewhat unpredictable. Although Russia has previously said that the war in Ukraine will end next year, its relationship with Europe has become very delicate. Europe is equally skeptical of Russia. Macron wants to use Putin's visit to France to facilitate contacts and exchanges between Russia and Europe, so as to ease relations between the two sides. France is a relatively independent country in Europe, and it will become an intermediary in promoting the improvement of France's position in the world.
However, Macron's tentative move also hints at Europe's usual arrogance. They want Russia to bring itself to its knees, and they see Putin's visit as Russia's diplomatic focus, because they believe that Russia's diplomatic center of gravity is still in Europe. However, at this time, Russia's attitude towards China has become more and more serious. The high degree of complementarity between China and Russia makes it no longer necessary for Russia to worry about sanctions from the West, so what qualifications and guts does Europe have to compete with China?
The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war is evolving.
Macron's tentative move has also made the outside world worry about the contradictions between Russia and Ukraine. Judging by the recent situation, the war between Russia and Ukraine may be coming to an end. And Macron's tentative move has also made a subtle change in the situation. But at the same time, Macron, with Europe's usual arrogant posture, introduced Putin into France in order to change and change Europe's perception of the matter.
To a certain extent, the complementarity between China and Russia is largely due to the reasons of the Western countries themselves. And now, they are humiliating themselves, and I don't know what the mood of the United States and Spain is. I prefer to guess that Putin's non-participation in this "celebration" has taught a lesson in European "arrogance"!
Conclusion: Europe's uncertainty about Russia and Europe's usual arrogant posture are well illustrated by Macron's tentative move. Macron invited Putin to France as a way to influence and change Europe's perception of France, while also trying to improve its standing in the world. However, at this point in time, Russia is increasingly attaching importance to its ties with China. China and Russia have a strong complementarity, which has enabled Russia to get rid of its dependence on Europe and embark on its own path of independent development. Macron's attempt can only be seen as a proud move by Europeans. At the same time, Macron's series of measures also reflects the evolving situation between Russia and Ukraine: Russia and Ukraine may soon reach an agreement, and a new round of reshuffle in Europe is likely. In short, I think it would be better for Putin not to participate in this so-called "celebration" and to teach Europe a lesson in "arrogance".