Heavy snow continues, and corn yields hit a new high!Who's manipulating in the shadows?The mystery is revealed
This year, there has been an unusual situation in the grain market.
Shandong's grain changes very quickly, but it is also very regular, that is, "moving with the carriage", the number of vehicles increases, and the number of vehicles decreases
But this time, Shandong's corn did not come according to the established rules.
Under normal circumstances, with the change of climate, transportation will be affected, and the amount of corn will also decrease, so this time, Feng Yu is going to increase the price.
And this heavy snow is mainly concentrated in North China and the Huanghuai area, and Shandong has not been spared, but not long after this heavy snow has just begun, Shandong's grain has begun, and it has been.
When he saw the amount of corn, he was startled, and at once it increased by more than a thousand, more than eighteen.
If he guessed correctly, the last sales record was 1,737 units in late November, but in this blizzard, sales reached 1,882 units.
As a result, Shandong's corn **straight line** once fell to 7 yuan a kilogram, and in just one day, all the gains were beaten back to 13 yuan a kilogram.
As for the Northeast, it was not affected by this blizzard, and their decline was not as big as that of Shandong, but it was also constantly falling, like a blunt knife cutting around them, making them very uncomfortable.
So, although the weather has deteriorated, there is still a lot of corn.
This is unusual.
Even if this year's grain output exceeds 10 million tons, even if the grain price is **, farmers will reduce their enthusiasm for replenishing the pen because of lack of profits, but now the number of pigs is still very large, plus the ** of corn, wheat and rice substitutes have been eliminated, and corn has reoccupied the feed market.
Even if the demand in the market drops, there is no need to collapse, right?
So, who exactly "strangled" it?This is a valuable question.
This time the corn *** can be summed up in one word:
The first sentence is: "When you fall, you fall into the well." ”
Who exactly does he mean by "many"?
One is the grain purchasing company.
Maybe it's because the grain ** is too high in the past two years, they have been holding back a bad breath, and now they finally have an excellent time to lower the **, looking like they don't want to return, just want to be able to sell a happy look.
The second is merchants and grain merchants.
And businessmen in between, when the expectation of corn is getting stronger, will take a wait-and-see attitude. However, when the pessimism about corn became stronger and stronger, he turned around and fiercely suppressed the bottom **.
In addition, this year's grain production has increased significantly, and the pressure on supply is very great, and the businessmen are waiting and watching and have not made a move, which makes the pressure to sell more and more. If something unexpected happens, then **will**.
And the third one belongs to the "middle prefix", which is the so-called "medium".
Although the "Zhongzitou" company did not directly reduce the price, but when the market was looking forward to it, the ** of this "Zhongzitou" was indeed surprising.
In other words, this is also a kind of suppression of corn. As soon as the ** of the "Chinese word prefix" came out, the popularity of the bullish corn skyrocketed.
As a result, he was pushed and shoved by "everyone", like a jade mountain collapsing.
The second term is called the "prisoner's dilemma".
The "prisoner's dilemma" refers to a non-zero-sum game in which two suspects are arrested and then held in two rooms for trial. If both parties deny it, they will each be sentenced to one year in prison;If both parties plead guilty, they are sentenced to 8 years' imprisonment;If one party denies and one party admits it, the guilty plead is released, and the denier is imprisoned for 10 years.
That would be the best outcome if both sides denied it, but in reality, very few people do.
This mentality is like that of a grain seller now.
Logically speaking, everyone knows that the more you sell, the lower the yield, and the farmers will increase their prices and increase their output. But in reality it is very difficult, even if you don't want to **, there will be people who will**, and everyone will be afraid of being bought by others, so that a situation of captivity is formed, and at that time, everyone will take out their own things, so that the yield of corn will skyrocket.
Therefore, the current corn ** has come out of the relationship between supply and demand, from the initial emotional control, to an extremely weak state, which is very dangerous.
Although it is inevitable that the center of gravity of corn will move downward, if it really continues, it will not be good for the whole market, because the violent fluctuations will intensify people's psychological expectations, leading to the abnormal development of the whole market, and no one will get benefits.
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