On November 20, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has lasted for 45 days, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict has lasted for 634 days.
The two conflicts are increasingly linked. At the same time, as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict continue to escalate, both the United States and Israel are beginning to face strong opposition and have begun to consider how to exit with dignity – but just today, the situation has taken a new turn.
On the whole, there is still a stalemate, that is: more important than the battle for the front line is the battlefield where the smoke of gunpowder is invisible.
1. The situation has made waves again: Ukraine and Israel may suddenly get a major piece of good news: Argentina has begun to change its position, and the strategic capabilities of the United States should not be underestimated In 2017, we put forward the concept of a century of great changes.
In April of this year, France's Macron put forward the view that the times are facing a major turning point.
On November 18, local time, Biden personally published an article in the Washington Post: The world is at a turning point, and the choices in the European and Middle East crises will affect the future of the United States. The U.S. now insists that its support for Ukraine is an investment in its own security, as it can prevent future conflicts on a larger scale.
Obviously, it would be unwise to underestimate the determination of the United States to fully support both wars at once.
What's more, just today, there is a major change in the entire international situation: yes, Argentina has already begun to announce a change of position.
Milley reportedly fell behind in the first round of the election, but eventually managed to reverse and is now inaugurated as Argentina's new **. Subsequently, he quickly nominated Diana Mondino as the *** long-term candidate.
Even more striking is the fact that the candidate made an important statement about Argentina's foreign policy: Buenos Aires (the capital of Argentina) will not join the BRICS and will also stop cooperating with China, Brazil and Russia.
The news immediately attracted the attention of the whole world.
Especially considering that Milley's campaign proposals are to dollarize the economy (abandon the national currency), privatization, including in the fields of education and health care, and refuse to cooperate with China, Brazil and Russia in favor of the United States and Israel, and also oppose Argentina's accession to the BRICS.
In other words, don't get your hopes up anymore.
The abrupt turn of Argentina seems to have become a fact!
Regardless of whether there is a conspiracy behind it, judging from the results alone, there is no doubt that at present, due to the continuous escalation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the de-dollarization wave and the de-colonization wave in South America, and the process of regional strategic autonomy will encounter a considerable challenge.
This is clearly in favor of the United States and not in favor of Russia and the great powers of the East.
You know, just five days ago, the United States was actually not going well in the international political game.
The reason is simple, on this very day, Turkey** Erdogan issued the strongest warning to Israel since the conflict: Israel is spreading terror against Gaza, and Israel is a terrorist state. No matter how many cores you have, your end is not far off.
Moreover, he also stressed: Netanyahu should be tried at the International Criminal Court in The Hague for the racial *** committed in Gaza.
At the same time, in Latin America, there was also a wave of severance of diplomatic relations with Israel: on the same day, Belize suddenly announced the severance of diplomatic relations with Israel. And this is actually only the second country to publicly announce the severance of diplomatic relations with Israel. The first is Bolivia, also a Latin American country. At the same time, Colombia, Honduras and other countries have also announced the recall of their ambassadors....
Obviously, if this trend continues, the United States may face even greater trouble. But now that Argentina has made a big turn, the United States has seen a huge opportunity and a powerful grip, and from the perspective of the entire international situation, the process of a multipolar world has variables, and the geopolitics of South America may show signs of deterioration next.
In other words, for Israel, this means that the wave of broken diplomatic relations in Latin America may stop.
And for Ukraine, this means that the United States may be more confident in playing the ultimate game with Russia.
As for the United States, it may not be in a hurry to start negotiations with Russia – the pragmatic, informal signals of dialogue that the United States has sent to Russia have been more like a limit to the premise of containing the crisis.
That is, the United States may also be ready for a long war. Russia, on the other hand, may need to make a heavy choice: the Palestinian-Israeli conflict cannot be expected to contain too much attention from the United States.
So, is this judgment correct?
2. Sensitive period: The US Secretary of Defense made a surprise visit to Kyiv, and the head of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service broke the news On November 20, local time, according to US Secretary of Defense Austin confirmed on the social platform X, he has arrived in Ukraine and will meet with Ukrainian leaders.
The visit focused on further strengthening the strategic partnership between the U.S. and Ukraine, including ensuring that Ukrainian forces have the combat capabilities they need to survive the winter and resist future Russian threats, the U.S.** report said.
Obviously, in a way, in the last two days, Zelensky's claim that "Ukraine will have to retreat if Western allies stop aiding" and Podolyak's public statement that "Kyiv is worried about the ability to confront Russia for a long time" - at least, the United States has heard.
Heavier.