Pig prices plummeted by 20! Pig prices may stop falling and rebound
The market can't go up, and we have to put pressure on it with foreign aid.
While we were talking, foreign help came.
This foreign aid is none other than God.
There were big waves, and the next night it was already winter, and it snowed for a few days in the north, and everything was white.
But who would have thought that it was just a piece of cake, and now the main meal is coming.
According to the weather forecast, the next wave of the strongest cold wave since this winter will sweep most of the country, when many places in the north will be cold to breaking records, while the south will be more absolute, directly staging a hot and cold confrontation.
For example, temperatures in many areas south of the Yangtze River will drop by as much as 20 degrees Celsius in 48 hours.
What is this concept?
You may be wearing short sleeves the day before and a jacket the next day.
Not only did the temperature drop, but the rain also followed, and the center of gravity of precipitation continued to shift southward.
This means that another major change is about to take place in many parts of the country.
When it comes to weather changes, two things are sure to come to mind: Is corn going to rise in price again? Will pig prices also be **?
The situation of corn is a bit complicated and must be highlighted in this article, so this time we will focus on pig prices.
A few days ago, we published an article entitled"Pig price ** fired the first shot"Article! Will it really go up this time? The article mentions that this pig price ** is not exactly the same as before.
How could it not be exactly the same?
Before, I was always rocking up and down, up and down. And this time?
It's also there, but the difference is that it's an uptrend that's about to disappear.
Immediately afterwards, pig prices have recently appeared in a pattern of several consecutive days.
On December 15, the national average of ternary pigs was 1471 yuan kg, the lowest price of the year set last week at 1356 yuan kg compared to the cumulative ** 115 yuan kg, an increase of 848%。
Although pig prices have indeed begun to weaken again as pig prices continue to rise, the next big changes in the weather will be very beneficial to pig prices.
On the one hand, after the sudden change in the weather, transportation and logistics were forced to be blocked, and the transportation of live pigs was blocked again, and the pressure on live pigs was alleviated.
On the other hand, demand increases after the temperature drops.
Record temperatures in many parts of the north have also led to increased demand for downstream enemas and other products, leading to a slight increase in abattoir runs in northern China and elsewhere.
The south is even better, as the temperature drops, the southern treatment of the disease is quickly opened, and the pig price will play a supporting role.
Although it is inevitable that pig prices will continue to bump back and forth, it is unlikely that they will fall below the previous low, because the next pig market is good, and the possibility of pig prices rising may rise.
First of all, after this wave of cooling, around mid-to-late December, there will be a wave of strong cold air that will continue to hit, and the temperature in some areas will continue to drop, and the local cooling range will still be above 10.
Doing the math, December is already halfway through, which means this wave of cold air is probably the coldest it has ever been.
This is beneficial to the hog market and is conducive to the continuous growth of downstream demand.
Secondly, according to the tradition of the past, activities such as pickling will gradually reach their peak around the winter solstice.
Although the demand is generally weak this year, but the weak demand does not mean that there is no demand, coupled with the loss of confidence of farmers after the pig price continues to be the first pig price this year, the pressure on the mentality of the city has been significantly reduced, and the second fattening has also declined sharply.
This means that the rhythm of market supply and demand has not been disturbed, and the gradual opening of downstream demand is conducive to supporting pig prices.
Third, New Year's Day and Spring Festival are favorable.
After pickling, it is followed by the New Year's Day and the Spring Festival, although the festival effect of previous festivals this year is said to be inflated, such as the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, which have large pork consumption, also performed poorly.
But New Year's Day and the Spring Festival are not exactly the same thing, especially the Spring Festival is the most important traditional festival in China, the demand for the Spring Festival to buy **, as long as the ** is not chaotic, the pig price will stabilize and rise, ** is very promising.
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