According to ING's revelations, the Fed will cut interest rates 5 times in 2024, which has attracted widespread attention in the market. It should be noted, however, that European institutions are more active, if not radical, than those in the United States. They are more optimistic about cutting interest rates, hoping to stimulate the recovery of the economy in this way. This also reflects the concern of European countries about the direction of the US economy, hoping to ease the pressure on the global economy by cutting interest rates.
At this time, we can't help but think, why is there such a **?Why has the market been keen to talk about rate cuts?In fact, this has a close relationship with the forces behind the dollar. As we all know, the US dollar is the world's major currency, and its movements have an important impact on the global economy. Therefore, whether the US dollar will cut interest rates is a major event, which is not only related to the development of the US economy, but also involves the interests of various countries and the balance of the global economic system.
On this issue, there is a perception that the Fed is not an independent decision-maker, but is influenced by the big capitalists and big chaebols behind it. The forces behind these are not necessarily concerned about the normal operation of the US economy, but rather value their own interests. As a result, they may have discussed and made decisions before the Fed Board of Governors meeting, and then informed the Fed chair to make a statement accordingly. Such a statement is, of course, speculative and speculative, but to a certain extent, it also reflects the complex game of interests and power struggles in the real world.
However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has continued to stick to his position in recent statements, saying that it is too early to speculate on when rate cuts will begin. This suggests that, at least so far, the Fed does not have a clear plan and decision. This also shows that the issue of interest rate cuts is very complex, involving the trade-offs and compromises of the interests of all parties. Therefore, we cannot rely solely on institutional **, but need to comprehensively consider the possible impact of various factors on interest rate cuts.
On this issue, we also need to clarify a core logic, that is, the decision of the dollar to raise and cut interest rates is closely related to the development of the US economy. Economic growth in the United States is an important factor in determining whether the Fed will choose to raise or cut interest rates. As a result, the recent astonishing performance of US economic growth has indeed given some institutions that are expected to cut interest rates confused and reflected.
In addition, 2024 is the first year for the United States, and normally, the United States will adopt a moderate interest rate policy to avoid excessive influence on voters. This is also one of the factors that is difficult for the big capitalists and the big chaebols to control and intervene. Therefore, we need to take into account the special circumstances of the ** year, and we cannot simply associate the rate cut with the ** year.
To sum up, there is still a lot of uncertainty about whether the Fed will cut interest rates in 2024. Although there are various institutions in the market, we cannot rely on these completely, but we must consider all factors. At the same time, we must also be aware that the big capitalists and big chaebols behind them have an important impact on the fate of the dollar, and their decisions are not only about the United States, but also about the world. We need to remain vigilant and rational, while keeping an eye on economic developments and making sound investment decisions.