The long-term combat readiness of the United States against China has becomeMilitaryand the consensus of political circles. AlthoughUnited States**In public, he expressed his desire to maintain peace and cooperation with China, but the US political circles were very interestedChina and the United StatesWarThe possibility remains apprehensive. The article points out that in the strategic consulting community, there are three mainstream views on:China and the United StatesWarpossibilities.
The first point of view is that the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) has conquered Taiwan in a flash lightning, and the US ** team cannot respond in time and can only acquiesce to China's reunification with Taiwan. However, this view ignores the strategic will of the United States and its presence in the Asia-Pacific regionMilitaryExist.
The second view is that the United States led its allies to prevent China from crossing the sea and attacking Taiwan, which ultimately led to the failure of China's military reunification. However, this view fails to take into account that China has powerful allies in its neighbors, such as Russia, North Korea, and Pakistan.
The third view is that the conflict will escalate and eventually lead toChina and the United Statesnuclear war, thus destroying the whole world. But the historic nuclear powers are facing potential nuclear powerWarWhen threatened, they usually exercise restraint and do not easily escalate to nuclearWardegree.
To be more accurate**China and the United StatesWarThe author proposes a fourth possibility, namelyChina and the United StatesA long routine erupted in betweenWaruntil one party can't bear it anymore and gives up. This analysis is subject to UkrainianWarInspiration. According to historical experience, when two great powers beganWarAnd without the use of nuclear **, a long-term war of attrition is almost inevitable.
The article further analyzes China's long-term roleWarmay have advantages in . First of all, China has a large population, which allows it to be able to:Warto maintain a lasting combat effectiveness. Second, China's regime is stable and has a centralized decision-making mechanism that allows it to make strategic decisions quickly and mobilize domestic resources. In addition, the Chinese people have the concept of hardship and hard work, in the long runWarmore capable of persevering.
In the face of such an adversary as China, the United States usually takesWarThere are three strategies: a war of annihilation, a war of attrition, and a war of **War。Annihilation tactics are to defeat an opponent in one fell swoop by concentrating forces, egWorld War IIInitial German vs. FrenchWar。The strategy of attrition is to exploit the long termWarExhaust your opponent's resources and combat power to achieve victory in the end. PeopleWarThe strategy is to indirectly deplete the opponent's strength by supporting ** people and forcing the opponent to failure.
However, these strategies are in:China and the United StatesWaris not applicable. Regardless of the strategy,WarIt is quite possible to upgrade to nuclearWarto the extent that this would be disastrous for either party. The United States only by restricting the means and geography of the warring, only throughMilitaryOnly by attritioning each other in the contest of fields can it be possible to prevent China's unification by force.
On the whole, the author is interested in:China and the United StatesLong-termWarThe analysis is more objective. Despite the fact that the United States is inMilitaryChina has an advantage in strength, but China has a certain advantage in terms of long-lasting combat capability and geopolitical advantages in its neighborhood. Whether from the point of view of historical experience, or from the situation at home and abroad,China and the United StatesbetweenWarThere are extremely high risks and costs.
However, there is one point in the author's argument that I disagree. The author believes that the United States will only have to endure a long timeWarcan prevent China's reunification by force. However, China resolutely defendsThe Taiwan questionThe Taiwan Strait issue is more than just a oneMilitaryThe contest is an important milestone in the road to the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. The support and determination of the Chinese people far exceeds the imagination of the outside world, and they can bear itWarthe sacrifices and hardships that come with it.
In summary,China and the United StatesLong-termWarWhile the possibilities exist, they should not be overlookedWarIt would come at a huge cost to both sides. In the face of this reality, the two sides should strengthen dialogue and cooperation, resolve disputes through peaceful means, and maintain regional peace and stability. This can only be achieved by working togetherChina and the United StatesThe common prosperity and development of the two countries.