Pig prices are in a quagmire, the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises has increased sharply, and pig prices will rise again
Reading guide] in mid-December, after a short period of pig prices in the domestic pig market, pig prices fell again"Quagmire"Although, the bottom of the pig price support is strong, but the end of the year to create a column sentiment has gradually warmed up, the market long and short intertwined, pig prices show a hovering trend, now, New Year's Day is approaching, what is the prospect of pig prices?**Will it still be**?Concrete analysis is coming!
According to market feedback analysis, on December 26, the average price of lean ternary pigs in other places was 1421 yuan kg, the same as yesterday, the pig price stopped the continuous trend, the market mentality has improved slightly, however, due to the social pig ** loose, the pig slaughter is relatively active, pig prices are still facing a certain upward pressure!
From the perspective of provincial and municipal divisions, among the 28 regions monitored in the country, among them, the pig price in Hubei, Henan, Gansu, Yunnan and Guizhou is 005～0.15 yuan kg;Jiangxi, Beijing, Tianjin, Inner Mongolia, Liaoning pig prices **005～0.$1. Pig prices in most parts of the north and south are sideways**, and the national average pig price is 14 with Guangxi2 yuan kg is similar, and the pig price in Xinjiang is 128 yuan kg, ** is at a new low in the country, and the pig price in Zhejiang is 157 yuan kg, ** at the national high. At present, in the traditional high and low provinces and regions, Heijiliao market **136~13.8 yuan, in the traditional ** area, Sichuan and Chongqing market**14 1425 yuan, Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets**155~15.7 yuan, while the pig price in the Liangguang area is 142~14.$9. In the early stage of the epidemic-prone areas, Shandong **15 yuan, Henan**147 yuan kg, ** are higher than the national average!
From this analysis, on December 26, pig prices fell into"Quagmire"At present, the pig market is long and short, and the specific analysis is as follows:
On the one hand, in the monitoring of terminal demand, due to the intensification in the south and the approaching New Year's Day, the downstream market demand increased slightly, and the operating rate of slaughterhouses was at a high level, and the operating rate of sample slaughterhouses was 4076%, an increase of 051 percentage points, an increase of 033 percentage points, the operating rate of slaughterhouses is running at a high level, and the average daily slaughter volume will increase significantly, providing strong support for pork consumption in the market51 percentage points, a decrease of 033 percentage points, the operating rate of slaughterhouses is running at a high level, and the average daily slaughter volume will increase significantly, which has strong support for pork consumption in the market
On the other hand, on the pig supply side, in the near future, the breeding end is relatively active, the bullish sentiment of the cluster pig company and the first farm is loose, and the mentality of the outer column is strong, however, from the latest feedback, the breeding end of the pig house ** recognition of the emotional differentiation, the social surface of the pig is relatively active, but the cluster pig company has a certain optimistic price mentality, and the mentality of the boss of some standardized pig companies has become stronger!
Therefore, based on the change of market sentiment, by the New Year's Day before the market stock support is stronger, the southern region of pickled meat consumption is still continuing, is expected in the next 3 5 days, pig prices are generally stable and strong, but near the end of the year, some pig enterprises slaughter mentality is still strong, pig prices rebound space is relatively limited!Personally, I think that during the New Year's Day holiday, pig prices may be at 142～14.5 yuan kg hovering, during the New Year's Day pig price to stabilize the weak and strong, but after the New Year's Day holiday, with the weakening of the demand increment, the root cause of the south is basically completed, although, the end of the year of the slaughter pressure has been reduced, but the pressure of oversupply still exists, pig prices or there is a trend of weakening the bar!
Pig prices are mired in the quagmire, the time is getting shorter and shorter, what is the prospect?December 26 Pig Price!What do you think?The above is the author's personal opinion, ** on the Internet, the content is for reference only!