The corn market fluctuates frequently, and after a wave, it is rapid, and farmers and investors do not know how to respond. On December 27, 2023, the Northeast market is still not obvious**, but it has shown a downward trend, while the North China market** 4 to 5 times a day, which is continuous, which is confusing. The characteristics of this year's market are: once the first grain sales vehicles will appear;The reverse is true.
This kind of "game warfare" is dizzying - *fast as flying, **fast as fast!It is expected that after this short ***, **will continue**, and the time will be similar to the last time. Interestingly, after the new grain was launched, it was very fast, but the time was short;The second *** was menacing, lasting more than 20 days, and then again**, but for a shorter time;The third *** has just begun, and it is expected to last more than 20 days, and then it will begin**.
This kind of market change, is it to sell or to keep?How can you seize opportunities in the midst of volatility?After the new grain is put on the market, the fluctuation of ** is like a staircase, rising for a while and falling for a while, as if revealing the debate between farmers and businessmen about the future market trend. Each time is accompanied by a change in duration and amplitude, and each time is also proportional to time and amplitude.
This trend is completely in line with the downward trend, showing the mood and rhythm of farmers and businessmen, who cannot escape the laws of the market. Although the supply of corn is large and the demand has decreased, this does not affect the consumption of corn. In fact, this is the judgment of the main body of grain storage on the future ** expected by emotional changes. To put it in layman's terms, it is to choose to collect grain or wait and see according to the future expectations.
Now, the drying tower and the business have a wait-and-see attitude towards the short term, but the expectations for April and May next year are basically the same. This consistency has led to a sluggish market demand. In the spring of next year, everyone will enter the market to store grain, indicating that demand will usher in good development prospects. But is it really the demand that has changed?In fact, no, the rigid demand is still the same, and the change only lies in the amount of channel inventory. Why did the third drop take longer?
First of all, the first grain source in the market is increasing day by day, and the approach to the Spring Festival has made some grain sellers begin to increase one after another, resulting in a trend of falling prices. Secondly, after the new grain is on the market, the speed of grain collection cannot keep up with the speed of grain sales, and this sense of urgency leads to the uncertainty of the follow-up. Therefore, it is expected that the price drop time before the year will be relatively long, but it may usher in ** before the Spring Festival and then **end**. However, there is an important variable here – increased reserves.
Some people believe that the biggest advantage in the market is that all purchasing entities and grain storage entities do not store grain, and believe that the policy will solve this problem and ensure that farmers do not lose money. Many people pay too much attention to the fundamentals and ignore the policy side, and the market logic is actually policy-oriented, not determined by the fundamentals. Farmers lose money in farming, and this is a question worth pondering.
There are rumors in the market that the Northeast region will open a 4.5 million tons of corn storage plan, but this is just a plan, everything is a "rumor", and there is no red-headed document. Whether it is a rotation or a one-time increase in reserves, the total of various magnitudes is about 20 million tons.
December 27, 2023 The latest corn in the country**: Heilongjiang Pengcheng Commerce: 20 moisture 103 yuan, 30 moisture 089 yuan, up 1 point. What is the impact of this series of measures and changes on farmers to grow grain and make money?In the 5,000-year-old agrarian society, how many lands have made a lot of money?What has changed in corn ** in various places today?Corn ** dynamics in North China, Northeast China, and East China, let's take a look.
Daqing Yipin corn ** 10 yuan, and Qiqihar Fufeng corn ** 5 cents. Jilin Baicheng directly under the library corn ** were 116 yuan, 1087 yuan and 1007 yuan;Inner Mongolia Hulunbuir Fufeng corn *** 1 point. Hebei Ningjin Yufeng corn ** 5 cents, while Shandong Baoling Bao corn ** 5 cents to 1285 yuan. Shandong Zhonggu starch corn *** 5 cents, Fuyang Bio and Heyang Bio corn ** also ** 5 cents.
Judging from the fluctuations of corn ** in various places, what do you think of such ** changes?Shandong's agricultural products fluctuate frequently, and the ** of Golden Corn, Ensign Industrial, Yishui Dadi, Shengtai Pharmaceutical and Tianli Pharmaceutical all show ** trend. Golden corn has reached 3 times, Ensign Industry has 2 times, and Yishui Dadi, Shengtai Pharmaceutical and Tianli Pharmaceutical have also appeared in different amplitudes. What do these changes reveal about Shandong's agricultural product market?
In the face of such ** fluctuations, how should we deal with it?