The Russian-Ukrainian war has been fought so far, and Russia in the minds of many military fans has lost the aura of "military second power", after all, no one thought before the war that Russia would be dragged into the quagmire by a third-rate country that is not even complete in its defense industry.
However, this is not actually a war between Russia and UkraineRather, it is Russia's war against NATO as a whole
So, if we replace Russia with China, will we have a chance of winning?
In fact, modern warfare is foughtThe family background and financial resources of both partiesIf there is not enough military budget, I am afraid that the cost of a war can bankrupt the country.
The main reason why Russia is fighting so the Russian-Ukrainian front line is that Russia's total GDP is less than 5% of NATO's, and it is also subject to strict economic sanctions from NATO.
However, if Russia is replaced by China, then NATO's economic sanctions may not be so easily effective.
You must know that China is currently the world's second largest economy, with a total GDP 10 times that of Russia, and controls about 30% of the world's manufacturing capacity, known as the "world's factory".
If NATO imposes economic sanctions on China,Then it itself will suffer a serious backlash
Take the United States, the boss of NATO, as an example.
Although the United States has frequently proposed to distance itself from China economically in recent years, and even discussed the possibility of decoupling from China's economy, the United States has been very honest in its actions, importing a large number of cheap manufactured goods and daily necessities from China every year, after all, Made in China is synonymous with high quality and low price.
If the United States announces decoupling from China, thenThe bottom of the United StatesI'm afraid I will be the first to say no.
Since NATO cannot sanction China economically, it will be basically unable to affect China's domestic production activities after the outbreak of war.
In view of the fact that China's current manufacturing output value is equivalent to that of the United States and the European Union combined, this means that once China enters the state of wartime production, then the PLA will obtain a steady stream of various advanced productsThe massive amount of technical equipment is enough to overwhelm NATO
It can be seen that what Russia cannot do, China can do.
On the military side, the shortcomings and problems exposed by the Russian army have actually been well avoided by the PLA. Judging by the performance of the Russian army on the battlefield in Ukraine,There are three biggest problems for the Russian army
First, the technical level of naval and air forces is backward and the level of informatization is relatively poorSecond, the pre-war preparations were insufficient, and the combat mentality of the officers and men was paralyzed and carelessThe third is the lack of production capacity, especially the lack of high-tech equipment.
Let's start with thatAir and sea forces,The PLA has actually surpassed the Russian army in an all-round way.
In the past 10 years, the People's Liberation Army has launched new warships at a speed like "dumplings", and has entered service with a large number of cutting-edge fighters represented by J-20, J-16 and J-10C, and the radar and data link they are equipped with are far ahead of the Russian army in terms of performance.
It is no exaggeration to say that the level of informatization of the PLA has at least reachedNo less than the level of the US military
Let's seeCombat mentality,In fact, this has a lot to do with the national character. The character of the Russians is fierce and brave, but there is a general lack of caution;And the Chinese, as an ancient nation with more than 5,000 years of historical wisdom, have a mentality towards warIt has always been very cautious
In "The Art of War", there is a cloud: "Soldiers, the major affairs of the country, the place of death and life, and the way of survival, must not be ignored." "Therefore, the lessons of the Russian army's recklessness are bound to be learned by the PLA.
One last lookCapacityproblems.
Since the start of the war, the problem of the lack of precision guidance in the Russian army has become an open secret, after all, it is precisely because of this that the Aerospace Forces, which have high hopes, have performed in actual combat.
However, due to China's inElectronic information industryIt has a deep technical foundation and can produce ordinary chips in large quantities at a low cost, so the precision guidance of the PLA can basically achieve "large quantities and full tubes".
The so-called politics is actually the result of a joint decision between the economy and the military. As far as NATO is concerned, the main reason why it has been able to politically compress Russia's strategic space is that it relies on its far superior economic and military strength.
But if the opponent is replaced by China, then NATO's political method of "step-by-step eastward expansion" will not work, as long as it dares to step on China's open red lineIt will inevitably be resolutely counterattacked by China
It is worth mentioning that NATO is ostensibly a military alliance, but this so-called "alliance" is actually not monolithic.
European countries are well aware that NATO is actually a tool used by the United States to control itself, so countries like France, which insist on independence, are actually not interested in NATO. If China can take advantage of this to make a big fuss, then it is very likelyDivide and disintegrate the NATO camp
However, such measures have had no effect on China.
In the world, the patriotic enthusiasm of the Chinese people ranks among the highest, and no external force can change this fact. Especially in the event of the outbreak of war, every Chinese will contribute their strength with the most unpretentious patriotism.
With this strandThe power of unityNo force can stand in the way of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.
All in all, if China and Russia are exchanged, then as long as we learn the lessons of Russia's poor performance and work together as one, then China in this stateIt is impossible for any force to defeat
Resources. 1] The United States has repeatedly touched China's red line, and China must not make Russia's mistake again: it must fight a quick battle!China Net Military.
2] China needs to learn a lessonRussian media: The war is like this, the Russian army is performing very poorly, and China may be able to avoid the China Network military.