Since the collapse of the USSR, the external situation in Russia has never been so bad.
In the context of the long-standing stalemate in the Russian-Ukrainian war, Russia's main forces have basically been transferred to the battlefield in Ukraine, and once NATO enters the war at this juncture, Russia is bound to fall into an embarrassing situation that is difficult to support alone.
Well, if the worst for Russia happens,Will China help?
In fact, from the point of view of NATO,It lacks the courage to take the initiative to attack Russia
On the one hand, even if Russia is empty of its own troops, its strategic missile forces are on combat duty, and if Russia is pushed into a hurry, then it is difficult to guarantee that Russia will not pour nuclear warheads on the heads of NATO countries
On the other hand, NATO does not dare to bet on the possibility of China entering the war, and if China and Russia join forces, NATO will face the most serious strategic crisis.
Let's take a look at how powerful the Russian nuclear ** is, which makes NATO jealous.
According to the Swedish International Peace Research Institute, Russia currently has more than 5,600 nuclear warheads and more than 770 nuclear vehiclesIt is the country with the largest stockpile of nuclear weapons in the world
In addition, Russia has a complete three-in-one nuclear counterattack system, and it is basically impossible to be deprived of nuclear counterattack capabilities by the first wave of attacks, so if Russia is invaded, it can carry out fierce nuclear retaliation against NATO.
As for the cooperative relationship between China and Russia, although on the surface the two countries are not alliesBut it's better than an ally
After learning the lessons of the Korean War, NATO did not dare to bet on whether China would end up in the war because of an attack on Russia.
Considering that Russia has vast strategic depth, NATO's naval superiority is basically difficult to give full play, and if China and Russia choose to join forces, then NATO's invasion of Russia will most likely end in a fiasco.
From this point of view, even if NATO has a huge force of up to 3.5 million, and Russia's active force is less than 1.2 million, NATO troops still dare not easily cross the Russian border.
It is an obvious fact that although the Russian-Ukrainian war has been fought for almost two years, NATO still does not dare to send a single soldier to the battlefield in Ukraine, and even to send military aid to Ukraine must be boiled in warm waterlest it provoke the wrath of Russia
However, assuming that in another parallel world, the leaders of NATO all countries have lost their basic sanity and choose to go to all-out war with Russia, will China intervene?
In fact, this question is not difficult to answer, for China, Russia is currently the most powerful and trustworthy strategic partnerThere is no forbidden area and no ceiling for cooperation between the two countries, so it is absolutely impossible for China to sit idly by and watch Russia under NATO siege.
However, it should be pointed out that this does not mean that China will definitely send troops to help Russia.
Geographically speaking, Beijing is more than 5,800 kilometers away from Moscow, and if the PLA goes to the European theater to face NATO, thenSuch a long logistical lineUndoubtedly, he committed a taboo in the army.
Unless Russia retreats its vital forces to Central Asia, the likelihood of China sending troops directly into the war should not be too high.
So, can China really effectively help Russia resist NATO without sending troops?
This problem is clearly underestimatedThe strength of the fighting nation
Looking back at Russia's centuries-long history, although it has been invaded by Britain, France and Germany many times, and the situation in the early days of the war was not optimistic, Russia has always relied on its great resilience to turn the tide of the war step by step, and finally turned defeat into victory.
From this point of view, if NATO does invade Russia, then as long as China can do a good job of logistics, such as providing economic blood transfusions to Russia, Russia can gain a strong anti-aggression capability.
In addition, China, as the "world's factory", can also provide RussiaA steady stream of military production capacity, from tanks, armored vehicles, artillery to fighter jets, these massive technical equipment are enough for the Russian army to experience what it means to be "rich in battle".
However, it is clear that China's assistance cannot be free, and fortunately, Russia understands the importance of reciprocating the favor.
After the start of the war between Russia and Ukraine, Russia began to implement the "Look East" strategy, took the initiative to strengthen economic and trade cooperation with China, and exported a large amount of oil and natural gas to China at the lowest price, making no small contribution to China's energy strategic security.
And as the war lasts longer,Russia's offer is also more favourable
Just in May 2023, Russia announced its opening to ChinaThe right to use the port of VladivostokThis is the first time since the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Russia, after all, Russia has deliberately restricted the investment of Chinese companies in the Far East for a long time in the past.
However, it is precisely because Russia realizes that the Russian-Ukrainian war may last for a long time that it has taken the initiative to show more sincerity to China for cooperation.
From this point of view, if a war does break out between Russia and NATO, China would do well not to rush into it, but wait for Russia to take the initiative to ask for help, so as to maximize the benefits.
In fact, considering that Russia is extremely large, it is impossible for NATO to take Russia with a "blitzkrieg", so we can stay on the sidelinesWait for Russia to offer the right price
As long as China and Russia reach deep cooperation, NATO's so-called size advantage will no longer exist.
In terms of population, the sum of China and Russia is equivalent to 15 times;In terms of GDP, the sum of China and Russia is equivalent to about 55% of NATO;In terms of the total strength of the armed forces, the sum of China and Russia is basically the same as that of NATO, both of which are more than 3.5 million.
Obviously, from any point of view,China and Russia join forces to fend off NATOThere is no problem.
Resources. 1] Forge ahead vigorously and open a new chapter of Sino-Russian friendship and cooperation and common development Guangming Network.
2] Sino-Russian relations have escalated again!What is the significant impact of close cooperation in the three major areas on the future world pattern China Network Military.