1. The three-K rule
After entering the era of the registration system, the market is now more and more in a group mode, with institutions holding together in trend stocks and free capital in small tickets, each with its own field.
More**, I expect to go to the Moutai model:
**, platform, **platform, again**.
Such a model, in fact, can be collectively referred to as the triple K model.
In the case of certainty, shrink and buy low, and then pull up and hold shares along the 5-day line, and after falling below the important trend line, go out and wait for the next round of opportunities, and so on.
Of course, we also need to add the main force to this model, add quantitative, add market policy factors, and its own cycle, so that it is a complete system.
For now, I will give you a preliminary explanation of the three-k rule, that is, after the formation of three dojis, here can be preliminarily asserted as the bottom, and you can try and make mistakes on the fourth day.
Similar to the first day to stop the fall, the second day to confirm the low, the third day to consolidate the bottom,Fruit can be grown on the fourth day.
Its maturity is inseparable from the thinking of all of us, just like the artificial intelligence that is now on fire, it is actually just a model, and all the questions it answers need someone to tell him whether this is right or wrong.
And again, when I first discovered this detail, I needed to verify it with the whole market, everyone's thinking, and we strengthened it and perfected it together.
This is the fruit of the labor of the participants, and it is also the result of the efforts of the fans!
As shown in Fig
These tickets have entered a blue stop K stage, a yellow ** stabilized K stage, and finally came to the red volume K stage.
WhileThe best place for us to intervene is the red volume area, the so-called standing at the tuyere, pigs will take off, and this tuyere is the stage of rapid volume lifting.
We have been studying the idea here for too long, and its success rate has also made more and more friends join the Xi session, and we have formed a very good positive cycle here.
Before that, I said that my original intention of writing *** was to study and improve cognition with a group of like-minded friends.
As I replied to last night with this message:
Because of love, we have been doing **.
Because of faith, we've been doing research.
Because of faith, at a certain moment we are on the same page.
2. The rule of 36
3% of this allusion comes from?
They first came from T-factories all over the country, which was to sell high and buy low back and forth, and disperse them into 1% fluctuations to the handling fee, 1% fluctuations to the boss, and 1% profits to themselves, which is the origin of 3%.
The old-school T-doing thugs also do T at this threshold, that is, if I earn 3%, I will take profit.
This must have come as a surprise to many friends, because many friends do T, all of themHope for the lowest point ** and sell the highest point, rather than earning only this 3% range in the process.
If you are a little patient and study the pull up of the next intraday movement, you can find that most of the pull up of a single single pull, that is, so high, is not what many friends conjectureAs soon as you pull, you will go straight to the limit:
This is some abnormal movement in the intraday, in fact, we can also see from it, whether it is down or up, a single transaction is basically at 15% to 3% range, not too much.
The reason for this change is mainly that the handling fee has been reduced in recent yearsThe quantized model saves a lot of labor costs and deformation after familiarizing with the routine.
That is, if you all think that it can reach this price, I will place a pending order below this price.
And the normal idea of placing orders is to think that the higher the better, and then come to pull up and cover this over.
*Bar, it's always anti-human, what professionals study every day is how to sell chips to ** with a better **, and ** every day is thinking about how to lose to the main force with a higher **.
Take a closer look and you'll know why you're losing.
It is impossible for us to run every time we make a transaction, and it is impossible for the main force to enter and exit these big funds at any time. SoJudging that they really want to pull up, the threshold is 3% and 6%.
You see, this ticket can be pulled up to 3% and stand firm at 3%, does this mean that the main force has carried the first batch of the most unpatterned, and the little fluctuation will smash the plate to do t funds and quantitative funds?
Looking at three chasing six, if you carry this round, does it also mean that you can stand firm at 6%, and you can see a higher line?
In the same way, if it goes down, if it falls below 3%, it means that the main force really wants to sell, even if there is a quantification to take over the market, to suck low, and smash it out. Not to mention a further 6%.
At this point, you can compare Caitong**, Hualin**, and CITIC**, and you can understand this line of thinking when you look at it.
But what,Lao Suo came from an institution, and everything he talked about was logicalThis three-six theory is ineffective for game-type sub-IPOs.
Similar to when we flip a coin, you flip three or five times is certainly not a 50% probability of heads and tails, but the more you toss, the closer you will get to the 50% truth.
If you know the truth of 3% and 6%, in fact, many times you will not be too greedy to do t. Because under normal circumstances, even if we use 100 shares to trade T, the handling fee is about a little more than 10 yuan.
That is to say, 200 yuan to buy a lot, and then make a t, 10 yuan handling fee. That's about 07% processing fee.
In the actual operation of t, as long as we pull up more than 1 point, we can t drop first. Here you don't have to worry about selling flying, because the bottom warehouse and the maneuver of the t are separated, even if the t flies this time, the bottom bin can still continue to eat meat.
Usually, if we add more, we still have to pay attention to it, don't say that you have risen this time, and you think you can be a little more greedy, so you can put it there.
In the current A-shares, in fact, many of them can be lost if they rise by 3%.
3. Explanation of some classic questions
1. What is this double-needle bottom-probe?
The double-needle bottom probe is reflected in the consolidation K of the entire three-k rule, and the first needle determines that the bottom is near this, and the second needle determines the real bottom.
There is a problem of the order of these two needles, and there must be a test of the bottom first, and then the bottom is confirmed.
And they all have two things in common:
The first has a very long lower shadow, that is, the whole ** is long like a hammer.
The second most of the double needles are the lowest point, which may not be at the same price, but the opening price and the ** price are approximate, that is, the entire ** main ** range is the same.
This is a characteristic.
2. How to analyze whether to buy or not?
This problem is a common problem for most friends, who are optimistic about it, but they dare not go on it, for fear of making mistakes and losing money.
Is it a lack of stock selection ability? Actually, no, many friends choose stocks that are actually better than Lao Suo, and the returns are greater.
In fact, the crux of the matter here is that once you are bitten by a snake for ten years, you are afraid of the well rope.
If you spend a long time in losses, then you will not have too many expectations of the market, but often scare away when it falls, and sell off when it rises.
The premise of changing this situation is to first improve your confidence, which is the following three steps:
The first step is to know that it is a good stock, and we are afraid of chasing high, so let's first take a small ** trial and error, and wait for the trend to be clear.
The second step is that if you can't hold it after buying it, then let's see how its teammates go. For example, if PetroChina has been rising, will Sinopec be weak? The two of them must complement each other.
The third step is to continue to improve their confidence, then this time is to look at the trend of the entire sector, the so-called strong stocks have never been mavericks, it will inevitably drive the entire sector and the younger brother.
When you follow what has been said above and complete a three-step process, your confidence will rise and you will no longer be trembling. In the end, as long as you succeed once, you can eat big meatLater, the mentality of the whole person will also change fundamentally.
There are too many such examples in the previous Xi class, especially those partners who have grown up to become class representatives.
3. What do you think about call auction?
What do you think about call auction? Everyone is curious about this, because quantification is rampant at the moment.
* This side is often the case, there is a good, or bad, when the day of the bidding, there are funds to make a direct choice.
Before I talk about this question, let me talk about a very simple, basic thing: the time of the call auction and the corresponding rules.
In 915 to 920 During this time, our pending buy and sell orders can be cancelled at any time, so you can see that some tickets are pulled up to the limit with very little money, or smashed to the fall limit.
Why would the money in it do that? The intention is to advertise. And to do this at this time, in fact, it is to use some electricity and traffic, and it does not cost money.
But in this era of popularity, there is **, this significance is not trivial. Therefore, you can pay attention to these test plates, but don't get too involved.
Then go to 920 to 925 At this time, the funds are not so free, because at this time the order can not be cancelled, and the pending order will be based on the opening price as the scale, and a matching transaction will be carried out, so this is the key to determining the good and the bad.
What we have to see is how much capacity this ticket can appear during this time, and it is best that the total turnover is more than 10 million.
Only more than 10 million can it represent that there is a main force involved, or the market is very large. Otherwise, it's all a pediatric.
Again, here is the opening price after the auction, ** relative to the expected how to judge, how to view, it is particularly long to say.
And it can also be roughly summarized as the following sentence, that is, the paragraph that Lao Suo said in the Xi class during the holiday:
I've always thought :Novices consider bidding, that is, do a good job of rushing up and fallingThe next day after exceeding expectations, only this model is done.
Masters consider bidding, that is, think more from the perspective of the sector and the main line, rather than just looking at one stock.
4. How to study the chip peak?
Lao Suo should not talk too much about this issue, because each partner has a different understanding of the establishment of the values of the whole city.
Maybe student A is studying emotion, and student B is learning value investment, so everyone will have different ideas when dealing with the same technical indicators.
In this regard, Lao Suo will talk about a universal law for the problem of chip peaks:
1. The application of chip peak is best for small-cap stocks with a market value of less than 10 billion, not for more than 10 billion.
2. The change of chip peak is best combined with the turnover rate, and do not think alone.
3. The chip peak with high concentration in the high position must be vigilant. What does that mean? Let's disassemble it one by one.
Most of the plates are a little bigger, and the chip peaks are like this:
And the peak of chips below the market value of 10 billion, most of them are like this:
The reason for this pattern is the circulation plate.
The formation of the chip peak comes from buying and selling, and the ** stock is very scattered because of the intricacy of various funds, and there is no capital that can absolutely control everything.
And when you go to study the chip peak afterwards, such as looking at Feiling Kesi, you can find that the funds from September 12th to September 14th are basically cut off on September 18th and September 21st.
Because during this period of time, the turnover rate was not lower than 16%, and the lowest turnover rate was September 19, which happened to be the day when the stop K was formed.
Of course, this is an afterthought, but the same is true for the thinking and application of chips, and everyone can enjoy the product.
4. Emergency plan for ups and downs
We are no strangers to Zhangjiang Hi-Tech's ticket, because Lao Suo predicted its trend before, and on the same day.
So why did Zhangjiang Hi-Tech pass Friday, Monday to Wednesday in a row?This is what this friend asked.
Let's look back, before the new high of Zhangjiang Hi-Tech, in fact, the entire technology sector was in the first place. Then we can think of a fable that fosters the seedlings.
The market is liquid and at a time of positive feedback, then everyone's rally is very good. If you are plucked at this time, it looks like you are higher than the group, but in the end you can only **.
In fact, this can be regarded as an in-pattern error, that is, when buying and ignoring everything else, the next day it is lower than expected and the first to reduce the position.
There will be a mistake in any pattern, just like the recent hot Asian Games, the real master duel is also a test of who copes the best and who makes fewer mistakes.
And the way to protect yourself in ** isIf you don't make a mistake, you will be the first to reduce your position.
The faucet will not be *** all at once, and it will also make a comeback again by virtue of its popularity. In fact, now if you look at Zhangjiang Hi-Tech, in addition to shrinking its volume, its stock price has basically returned to its previous height.
5. How to judge whether the stock price is sideways or shipped?
We know that after each ticket reaches a high point, there will be a certain degree of sideways, and what will be followed by a sideways market is the choice of direction.
Down, or up, the core of it lies in whether the main force is going or not.
Whether the main force has gone or not, the focus is on the high sideways, which must shrink, and cannot stagnate in volume.
**The premise of a high-level sideways is that the heat on this side of the plate is still to be maintained and cannot be dispersed.
I used the way of peeling onions to explain to you here, and after reading these, you must also have a judgment ** After the sideways, go up or go down.
When encountering a high-level sideways, if you can think like this, then you must be able to repeatedly get the strengthening and Xi of logic, and finally, this "fishing" is completely learned.
6. Do some operations on T
This question comes from the Xi class, how can we do t to buy as low as possible?Sell at a high price?
This is the pursuit of all people, and it is also the core in the true sense. I'll talk about it one by one
First of all, the low position is added, when t goes out. Lao Suo talked about the idea in the article the day before yesterday, that is, when we do t, we must take into account the idea of quantification. And quantification is not an independent individual, they want to do t, there is an anchor.
To put it simply, the bot thinks that to earn xx profits, the risk has overshadowed the gains, then it will inevitably sell.
What is the time when the risks outweigh the benefits?For example, the index is unilateral**, the sector is unilateral**, the trend of leading stocks is very unsatisfactory, etc., these are counted.
We ordinary people can't do such a comprehensive consideration of quantification, and what is suitable for everyone is to protect the principal.
That is, on the premise of considering the handling fee, as long as you earn a higher income than the handling fee, you can take the lead in taking profit if there is any wind and grass.
We always know that it is our own money when we fall into the bag, so before we fall into the bag, no matter how greedy we are, we must warn ourselves that the risk is not far away.
Of course, we can't always buy at a low level, and when we do T today, but quickly**, breaking a new low, then what we have to pay attention to at this time is the problem of 60-minute consolidation K.
Not only falling, but always doing more selling operations, and going as little as possible.
As said a long time ago, the trend does not do t, and consolidation does.
The principles are all the same, and to truly cultivate one's own sense of execution, it is necessary to practice Xi repeatedly by oneself. Small money practice Xi, big money and other certainty.
7. Judgment of pressure level
Without further ado, let's get straight to the point, how is the pressure formed?
1. The high point formed in the past few months and years that has not been able to go up is called the psychological pressure level. For example, PetroChina's 4862, it's definitely super stressful.
2. After a certain pull up in the past, ** formed a chip band at a high level, and the amount has been shrinking ** behind it, and the pressure level is trapped.
3. For a certain company, the stress pressure level formed after repeated pull-up.
These three types are the main pressure levels of A-shares, and they are also what we need to predict according to the environment. Generally speaking, the pressure of the pressure level is greater than the stress pressure level and is greater than the psychological pressure level.
With the pressure level clearly distinguished, our response will be relatively simple.
That is, no matter how you go, first of all, you must pay attention to the amount of energy, there is no amount of energyAny small pressure level is strong and cannot be broken, while there is a lot of pressure level that you can try and error.
That is, the breakthrough of pressure is not called pressure, but a support level.
This reason is very easy to understand, I finally returned to my capital, and it is a pity to leave without making some money. Therefore, many stocks that break through the trapped pressure level can go higher later.
From the perspective of the main force, I dare to guide the breakthrough of this position, then I really don't care about these traps, so I can rush more later.
Others, updated in the future, will be talked about first.