Recently, various parts of the country have launched property market rescue measures, such as the cancellation of purchase restrictions and loan restrictions, the reduction of interest rates, and the introduction of "housing without loans", which has triggered heated discussions about the trend of housing prices in 2024.
Some people believe that under the stimulus of these favorable policies, we should take the opportunity to **, because the central bank implements a loose monetary policy, a large amount of money will inevitably flow into the property market, and the real estate of the country, as a pillar industry, will not allow it to collapse, and the confidence in buying houses has been boosted, and the property market has been retaliated.
However, another part of the population firmly believes that housing prices will be **, because the current housing surplus has shown the pressure of destockingChina's population is aging, the number of home buyers is decreasing, and during the epidemic, residents' incomes have declined and their affordability has weakened.
Analyzing the impact of favorable policies, we can see that relying on currency over-issuance to promote housing prices is not sustainable, which can only stimulate short-term hot spots, in case funds flow to other areas, the property market will lose momentum, secondly, real estate is an important industry, yes, but it can fluctuate sharply, and finally, the effect of various rescue measures is limited, and the trend of the property market is difficult to reverse. After the policy dividend, the market will still return to its essence.
Under the current situation, investors are advised to be cautious and seize the last opportunity to reduce their positions and stop losses. Because from the perspective of supply and demand, the phenomenon of overstorage is very serious, and the commercial housing for sale reaches 6400 million square meters, and China has entered the aging, just need to weaken, from the second-hand housing market, the number of listings around the blowout growth, indicating that the owners are pessimistic about the prospects, urgent shipments, from the perspective of social and economic conditions, during the epidemic income decline, the burden of buying houses increases, the market is difficult to support.
Looking ahead, it is expected that housing prices will continue to appear, and we must not take it lightly because of the immediate favorable policies. At present, it is at the beginning of the adjustment period, ** is still relatively high, and it is recommended to seize the opportunity ** property.
Next year and beyond, in the environment of accelerated affordable housing, weakened rigid demand, and increased pressure to destock, commercial housing will be difficult to sustain, and it will inevitably fall under pressure. At that time, the market has lost the best opportunity, and investors will face serious losses.
Therefore, for the owners, it is not appropriate to chase the layout in 2024, and should seize the policy dividend period to reduce positions and take profits. Under the superposition of various factors, housing prices are likely to show a slow downward trend and eventually return to a reasonable level. Investors should beware of high-level takeovers, be vigilant, and always maintain rational judgment.