Today is the first day of the Lunar New Year, I wish all pig farmers a happy new year! Since the beginning of the new year, domestic pig prices have ushered in sustainability**! Especially after the beginning of the Spring Festival, the mainstream purchase price of grassroots pigs has reached about 1 yuan per kilogram compared with before, and now the mainstream purchase price of live pigs in individual areas has even exceeded 9 yuan per catty! According to the current market trend, in the next few days, the domestic pig price will most likely continue to maintain a steady and positive future! For us pig farmers, we must know more about the following 3 things!
The first thing: after the Spring Festival, pig prices will enter the seasonal consumption off-season;
After the start of the Spring Festival, grassroots pig prices have fully recovered! This is mainly due to the meat consumption brought by major holidays, but we should note that once the Spring Festival holiday is over, the grassroots pig market may once again enter the seasonal consumption off-season, and the sluggish consumer demand is difficult to provide strong support for pig prices, and the risk of pig prices in mid-to-late February is still large!
The second thing: **1 document releases a heavy signal;
In the first document officially issued this year, a package of blockbuster policies has been formulated for the pig industry! In 2024, the pig production capacity control mechanism will be fully optimized to ensure the stability of pig production capacity! In a nutshell, if the pig farmers' pig income cannot be guaranteed, and the enthusiasm of the pig farmers is impaired, how to ensure the final pig production capacity? The macro-control level may be more intensive in 2024 than in 2023!
Dynamic incentive plan in February The third thing: pig price** suggests that pig farmers choose the opportunity to sell pigs;
Now the domestic pig price has continued, the mainstream purchase price of grassroots pigs has increased by nearly 10% year-on-year, and the pig-to-grain ratio has remained at a level of more than 6:1! For us pig farmers, if we keep choosing to cover the fence and carry the price, it is very likely that we will end up in a passive situation again! Taking advantage of the current stable pig prices, pig farmers choose the opportunity to sell pigs is the most rational!
The fourth thing: corn and soybeans do not have the basis for a big rise after the year;
Judging from the feeding cost of pig farmers, corn and soybean meal after the Spring Festival may usher in a new round of trends! Corn and soybean meal do not have a basis for a big rise in the future, and there is a high probability that they will run weakly in the **! The cost of pig breeding is relatively controllable, and selling pigs at an increase in price can maximize the benefits of their own pig earnings!
Let's pay attention to the overall national pig price on February 10!
Shanghai 80-8.4 up Shandong 78-8.5 Ping Anhui 79-8.5 draws.
Zhejiang 82-8.6 up Jiangsu 84-8.9 up Fujian 75-8.2 up.
Jiangxi 72-7.7 up Hubei 76-8.0 Ping Henan 76-8.2 up.
Hunan 73-7.7 Ping Guangdong 71-7.6 Ping Guangxi 68-7.2 draws.
Hainan 78-8.2 up Beijing 81-8.5 up Tianjin 81-8.5 up.
Shanxi 73-7.8 up Hebei 77-8.2 Ping Jilin 70-7.4 draws.
Liaoning 70-7.5 up Shaanxi 73-8.0 up Gansu 71-7.6 draws.
Chongqing 74-7.8 up Sichuan 73-7.8 up Yunnan 65-7.0 up.
Guizhou 71-7.4 Ping Xinjiang 60-6.3 Ping Heilongjiang 69-7.2 up.