On February 1, 2024, the three major A-share indexes collectively bottomed out and rebounded, and finally the Shanghai Composite Index still fell by 146%, but still managed to hold 2700 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index fell 224%, $GEM index $ fell 243%。Today, there are 384 stocks in the two cities, 26 companies have a limit, and there are 4764 companies that have a limit of 107, and the number of companies that have fallen limits has begun to increase compared with yesterday, indicating that there are still more meat cutting plates fleeing. Today's trading volume is 805.7 billion, compared with 102.7 billion on the previous trading day, and the net inflow of northbound funds is 23600 million yuan, with a net outflow of 471 domestic funds$2.8 billion. Today** once fell below 2700, although the end of the market pulled back a lot, leaving a long lower shadow, how will it go next week? In terms of sectors, $CSI liquor $ fell 069%, the performance is very bearish, what will happen next week? Will there be a **? With these questions in mind, I would like to briefly share some of my own opinionsPlease help like it, friends who like my article remember to pay attention, don't get lost if you have attention!
First, the overall trend analysis: today's ** morning rush was weak to turn down, accelerated in the afternoon to catch up with the bottom, the lowest fell to 266633 points, a new low in the stage. From 2:24 p.m., large funds began to enter the market to pull up the index, and the index quickly rebounded, leaving a long lower shadow, and finally closed down 146%, back above the January 23 lows. Last night, when I reviewed the market, I said that yesterday's green doji was not a reliable stop signal, and today it really continued to move downward again along the 5-day **, out of the five-day yin. Today's long lower shadow I think is a stage low, and the index will have a ** move next week. Combined with the current ** pattern, it is likely to come out of the structure of the head and shoulders bottom. January 23 is the bottom of the left shoulder, today's long lower shadow line is the bottom of the head, and the future ** after stepping back again to form the right shoulder bottom. If it is really as I expected, then today's low will be the low of this wave of **, and it will be the low for a long time to come. Of course, many people may laugh at me for being too optimistic, after all, the market is now full of all kinds of pessimistic remarks, such as snowball liquidation knock-in, financing liquidation liquidation, equity pledge liquidation and forced equality. These factors do exist, but I also believe that A-shares will not end there. I believe that after the storm is over, everything will return to peace, and then everything will still be calm and light.
2. Judging from the daily line of the CSI Liquor Index (399997), today closed a small green **, the upper shadow touched 5 days and 10 days**, and the lower shadow line hit a new 1058231 points, a drop of only 069%, outperforming a lot, the performance is very bearable. From the point of view of technical indicators, the KDJ three-line is about to stick to the alloy fork at a low level, and the MACD double-line is a dead fork, but the green column has not increased significantly. It shows that the power of the long and short sides is relatively balanced, and the index shows signs of not moving. Today, the volume of liquor is 18330,000 hands, compared with yesterday's volume is very obvious, and it also greatly exceeds the 5-day and 10-day average, indicating that there is real money entering the market today. With this, I will boldly **next Monday liquor to regain 5 days**.
3. Liquor related**: 1I don't hold pure liquor**$ China Merchants CSI Liquor Index (LOF)A (OTCFUND|161725)$ Penghua Liquor Index A$, and there is no allocation of blends that are biased towards liquor consumption**, such as $Invesco Great Wall Emerging Growth Blend A$, etc., for this direction, I am currently holding a wait-and-see attitude.
Fourth, I hold the top three yields**:
1.$CUAM NASDAQ Biotech ETF Initiation Connection (QDII) CNYC (OTCFUND|).017895)$, yield 726%, I made a perfect reduction a few days ago, and I am also considering continuing to take it back.
2.$CUAM Global Mobile Internet Hybrid (QDII) RMB A (OTCFUND|).001668)$, yield 481%。
3.$ Tianhong Vietnam Market** (QDII) C$, yield 323%, this ** is up 051%, a good performance. I found that this ** does not rise much every day, but it can rise a little every day, slowly rising, the rhythm is very good, and I also plan to continue to increase my position to long.
5. P.S. All the views in this article only represent my personal views, only for everyone to exchange and learn for use, not as investment advice, all operations please consider clearly, your own responsibility, right or wrong to friends to bear their own responsibility.