The real estate industry has gone down after nearly two years! It is expected to usher in a recovery in the second half of this year! After a few months of recovery, the volume and price will gradually stabilize and even rise!
Some people may be dismissive and still believe that there is still a lot of room for price reductions in commercial housing, and even conclude that housing prices will return to before 2016, and even more believe that they will return to before 2009. Such an interest rate is extremely small, real estate is a commodity, ** is just its market attributes, stabilization is a matter of time, and it is expected to be the second half of this year.
The reason why some people insist on the view that housing prices will continue to decline is nothing more than these reasons: (1) **On the theory, the ** of commercial housing is far greater than its cost value, which is not worthy of the name. (2) The theory of excess, our per capita area is more than 40 square meters, close to the developed countries, and there is a serious surplus. (3) Population theory, the population has been negatively growing, looking at the population for a long time, the population is not growing, and the house will be the price of cabbage in the future, and no one wants it. (4) The theory of economic downturn, saying that the current economic environment is not good, everyone generally has no money, and purchasing power is declining. (5) Bubble wheel, foam wheel is almost everyone's consensus, saying that real estate is a balloon that is constantly inflating for a short time, and sooner or later it will be punctured. (6) Sober theory, saying that now everyone is smarter, and will no longer be fooled by developers, and everyone will not buy.
In fact, there is a certain amount of truth in the above views, but each point of view cannot fully prove the argument that real estate continues to decline.
Real estate is an extremely complex industry, involving a wide range of industries, the real big data we simply can not grasp, from many times at the top of the meeting, has been very clear: our real estate industry, in the extremely rapid development of urbanization today, has just met the transformation of people from no house to live in a house, and will be from a house to a boutique house, high-end housing in the future.
It can't be clearer anymore, real estate will change in the future, there will be everyone to live, to everyone has a high-end house to live, how big the space is!
Look at the relatives and friends around you, how many live in large flats, how many people live in high-end communities with more money, and how many live in bungalows.
Food, clothing, housing and transportation, the four major needs of life, eating better and better, dressing more and more high-end, going out to drive more and more high-end cars, are improving, is everyone willing to live in an ordinary community, or even an old community? Large flats, high-end communities with separate flow of people and vehicles, bungalows, villas, don't you want to? Choose your neighbors! Choosing a house to live in, choosing a city to live in, a residence for migratory birds, and a cunning rabbit in three holes are the requirements of life.
As mentioned above, everyone generally agrees that housing prices will drop by six. I said that none of them is a proof of support for the decline in housing prices, and I will analyze the reasons one by one in the next article, hoping that there are interested friends who will pay attention to the next decomposition.