PeanutsThe market has always been volatile, especially recentlyLuhuaDriven by the acquisition of oil mills in the marketPeanutsThe market's first stop falling has stabilized, and the enthusiasm for replenishment in producing areas has also increased. This article will provide a review of the currentPeanutsThe trend of the market is described in detail and its subsequent trend is analyzed. In addition, the article will dig deeperPeanutsThe influencing factors of the market, providing corresponding recommendations for growers and market dealers.
At present, the main producing area of Shandong is a unified goodsPeanutsRice ** was 8,900 9,000 yuan, an increase of 50 yuan compared with last week. Henan, Hubei, Guangdong and GuangxiPeanutsThe market has also seen varying degrees of **. This is mainly due to:LuhuaThe acquisition of major oil mills such as oil mills has stimulated the enthusiasm and motivation of the market.
However, different oil mills have different acquisition standards, which makes there be certain differences. For example, ShijiazhuangYihai KerryOil mill and YanzhouYihai KerryOil mill contracts** are little changed from last week; Fee CountyCOFCOThere have also been no significant changes to the contracts for oil mills**. And Shandong Yuhuang Oil Factory,The Deep StateLuhuaOil mill, fixed potteryLuhuaOil mills andXinyiLuhuaThe mainstream transactions of oil mills are all in the range of little change, and they are relatively stable.
RecentlyPeanutsThe volatility of the market is mainly due to the uncertain acquisition trend of major oil mills. On the one hand,LuhuaThe acquisition of major oil mills such as oil mills has stimulated the market and driven the follow-up effect of other oil mills. On the other hand, the return rate of major oil mills is relatively high, and the transactions of some oil mills are unsatisfactory. This has led to renewed weakness in the market**.
However, with Laiyang, Xiangyang, Zhengyang, etcLuhuaOil mills have entered the market one after another, the acquisition indicators have been relaxed, and the enthusiasm for replenishment in the production area has heated up again. Therefore, it is expected that in the short term domesticPeanutsThe market will maintain a stable and strong trend.
In the short term, domesticPeanutsThere are several main reasons why the market will maintain a stable to strong trend. First of all, New Year's Day and the Spring Festival are approaching, and the traditional stocking season will bring a certain demand for replenishment. At present, the inventory of all links is generally empty, which also provides conditions for the market. Secondly,LuhuaThe full opening of the oil mill will boost market confidence in the oilPeanutsThe consumption of rice is expected to accelerate. Finally,PeanutsAfter experiencing many overfalls, farmers find it difficult to accept the current situation and are more willing to wait for a higher level to sell, which further raises the price.
However, in the medium term, domesticPeanutsThe market remains under pressure. The surplus volume in the production area is larger than in previous years, and the demand side has not changed significantly. At present, the market sales volume has not improved, and inventory shipments are relatively slow. In addition, there is a certain risk of price reduction acquisition of oil mills in the later stage, which may lead to the cessation of acquisition of some oil mills. In addition, the sales of downstream products continue to be sluggishPeanutsThe price difference between oil and soybean oil reached nearly 8,000 yuan tons, which was squeezed to a certain extentPeanutsoil market share, whilePeanutsThe volume of trading in the meal market is still modest.
In short, taking into account the current long and short factors, domesticPeanutsIt is highly unlikely that the market will rise or fall significantly in the short term. As a result, the market is expected to maintain a slightly ranged** trend. It is recommended that growers and market dealers look at the current market rationally, pay attention to the consumption progress and surplus volume of goods in the production area, and then decide the next step after integrating all factors.
PeanutsThe volatility of the market is a challenge for both growers and market dealers. Based on the foregoing analysis, we can draw the following conclusions:LuhuaOil mills and other major oil mills are acquired on the marketPeanutsThe market has had an impact; The market has benefited from the improvement of the enthusiasm for replenishment in the production area; It is expected that the market will maintain a stable and strong trend in the short term. It is recommended that growers and market dealers maintain a rational attitude, pay attention to the actual needs and conditions of the market, and make wise decisions. In addition, it is also necessary to pay close attention to the terminal sales volume, the replenishment and stocking of food factories and roasting factories, and importsPeanutsFactors such as the arrival of rice, the acquisition trend of oil mills, and the weather, hold an appropriate amount of inventory, and operate steadily to cope with changes in the market.