The recent news has been like a huge bomb for the Gaza region: Hamas's Gaza chieftain, Sinwar, was "beheaded" by Israel's Mossad. While the exact details are yet to be confirmed, the news is unprecedented** for Hamas.
The life and death of Sinwar, a core member of Hamas, is closely linked to Hamas's mental state and their strategic direction. If this information is true, it will be an absolutely devastating blow to Hamas. Sinwar's "disappearance" not only deprives Hamas of a key leader, but also has the potential to provoke a scuffle within the bloc and make it compete for power.
Sinwar's Doom: Escape in the Cave.
The Israeli military released a video on February 14 showing Sinwar dying in a cave in Gaza. In this video, the once-imposing Hamas leader looks so panicked that he hasn't even had time to take the millions of dollars in the safe and seven bottles on the table. All these subtleties clearly depict Sinwar's dilemma between life and death.
After the video was made public, Hamas's spirit was greatly shaken. This not only confirms that Sinwar has "lost contact", but also shows Hamas members how powerless and weak their leaders are in the face of a huge threat from Israel.
The two parties remain silent: undercurrents clash with each other.
So far, neither the Israeli side nor Hamas has responded to this issue. And behind this quietness, I am afraid that there is an extremely tragic secret battle. There is no doubt that the Israeli side wants to use this to deal a bigger blow to Hamas, which must stabilize internally as soon as possible, find a new leader, and reformulate its strategy.
In particular, if Sinwar was really "beheaded" by Israel's Mossad, it would undoubtedly be a great success for Israel's intelligence services. This will not only demonstrate Israel's tremendous ability in gathering information and special operations, but will also profoundly change the direction of the development of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.
Speculation on the impact of the accident and the development trend.
Sinwar's "beheading" will be a new uncertain factor for the Palestinian-Israeli situation. First of all, Hamas needs to stabilize the domestic situation as soon as possible and avoid turmoil and disagreements caused by the change of leadership. At the same time, they need to find a new leader with the ability and prestige to lead the company wherever it goes.
Second, it is likely that this situation will provoke a strong counterattack by Hamas against Israel. In order to save face and boost morale, Hamas is very likely to launch a series of terrorist attacks against Israel, which will certainly further escalate the contradictions between Palestine and Israel.
But in the long run, the conflict will also be an opportunity for Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Hamas, after a change of leadership, may reflect on its tactics and objectives, and Israel may recognize that the problem cannot be completely resolved by force. Under such circumstances, the two sides of the strait may resolve their differences through dialogue and consultation.
In any case, Sinwar's "beheading" was an important historic accident. This incident will have a profound impact on Hamas and Israel, and will also change the direction of the development of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. In the coming days, we will continue to monitor the development of the situation and hope that Palestine and Israel can find a peaceful way to resolve this dispute through a peaceful path.
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