Putin, Navalny and Russia**: Intrigue and Change
Only a month before Russia**, opposition leader Navalny died at a critical moment, triggering accusations of "accountability" against Putin. What is the far-reaching impact of this incident on Putin and Russia, and who are the real losers?
On the eve of the campaign, the Russian opposition has joined forces in 40 regions, and candidate Nadezhdin has received 100,000 voter signatures in an effort to further secure his candidacy. The outside world believes that if he succeeds in running, he may become Putin's main rival. Even so, it is difficult to change the high probability of Putin's re-election. In addition to his charisma, Putin's abilities are also well known. While he also needs signature support, a Kremlin spokesman revealed that he has collected more than 2.5 million signatures, far more than the stated 300,000.
Although opposition leader Navalny was sentenced to 19 years in prison last year, his sudden death in prison on February 16 raised questions. Navalny was Putin's main critic and organized numerous opposition campaigns. The accusations of condolences in many NATO and EU countries are pointed at Putin, saying that he is fully responsible for Navalny's death. Is this really what Putin did?
From an objective point of view, Putin is a calm and pragmatic leader. Navalny poses no real threat to him, so his death is not an inevitable choice for Putin. The Russian side has said that it will investigate the cause of Navalny's death, but the concern of Western countries about this may be more to take the opportunity to attack Russia and Putin, which may have an impact on Russia.
Does this mean that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will take new changes? Probably not. Putin has instructed to use the Russia-Ukraine conflict as an opportunity to fully shift to the defense industry and promote the upgrading of Russia's overall economy. This has caused a lot of trouble for the EU, especially since Russia has not given in under 12 consecutive rounds of sanctions, but has put the EU in a difficult situation.
In the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the EU may be the real loser. Russia has the resources and strong influence, while the EU appears to be fragmented and blindly following the wrong policies of the United States. In the great power game, Russia is not so easy to defeat.
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