German media Mr. Putin s winter offensive failed!

Mondo International Updated on 2024-02-01

If a person's information source is relatively single, then he will form such an understanding of the current Ukrainian battlefield - the Russian army is using the advantages of soldiers, ** and ammunition to launch a fierce offensive on the entire front of Ukraine, and is invincible and advancing in Kupyansk in Kharkiv and Avdiivka in Donetsk. And the Ukrainian side is tragic: first, there is no hope for the assistance of the international community, second, there is not enough ammunition, third, there are not enough soldiers, and fourth, the Ukrainian army on the front line has suffered heavy casualties and is retreating. ......

So what is the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine now? With this problem, the reporter of the German newspaper ** recently braved the fire of war to the battlefield to make on-the-spot observations, and he came to the following conclusions:Mr. Pu's winter offensive failed!

He said that the Russian army did launch a large-scale offensive in Kupyansk and Avdiivka, but did not achieve any significant results other than heavy losses, and the entire front was almost unchanged - Russian losses included at least thousands of soldiers and more than 400 pieces of military equipment. The Ukrainian army does have the problem of insufficient shells, but they skillfully use drones to make up for the lack of shells, killing the attacking enemy in front of the positions one after another. The journalist observed the battle for a day in a trench. During this day, all enemy attacks were repulsed, leaving behind a number of corpses and damaged chariots, and not a single Ukrainian soldier **.

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW), an American war think tank, commented that in recent months, the Russian army has faced a lack of coordination in several areas of the front line, and can only launch a "costly and chaotic offensive" with no signs of improvement. The think tank's article did not analyze the reasons for this situation. I think there are two reasons: first, this is a congenital flaw in the top-down command system of the Russian army, and every fighter is a pawn passively accepting orders, without subjective initiative. Second, there are too many middle- and lower-level officers killed in the Russian army, and there is a lack of a large number of experienced lieutenants and non-commissioned officers - as we all know, non-commissioned officers at the grassroots level are an important asset of an army. And the first veterans of the Russian army have been killed and wounded, and now the battlefield is basically composed of mobilized soldiers who lack combat experience and are not fully trained - this is also the reason why the Russian army can only use crowd tactics. In fact, judging the winning and losing trend of the Russian-Ukrainian war, we don't need to pay attention to the dynamics of the battlefield and the changes in the battle front, but only need to look at one factor - whether the international community decides to abandon Ukraine. As long as the international community does not give up and continues to provide economic and military assistance, there should be no doubt about the determination and courage of the Ukrainians to pursue victory. So far, there has been no indication that the international community is ready to accept Ukraine's defeat – and despite the murmur, it is by no means mainstream. Because it is clear to the vast majority of people that the victory of Ukraine is the victory of the world.

On January 9, Foreign Policy magazine published an article titled "Ukraine Has a Path to Victory" by Ross Gottmoller, a lecturer at Stanford University and former deputy secretary of NATO Secretariat, and Michael Ryan, a former deputy assistant secretary of defense for European and NATO policy. The article argues that Ukraine can truly move towards victory as long as it establishes a temporary window of local air superiority, provides massive firepower and mobile forces, and combines technology, information and tactics in a more dynamic way. Specifically, three key elements are included: first, the use of UAVs for real-time reconnaissance to coordinate artillery attacks, secondly, the suppression of enemy air defenses with armed UAVs and the deterrence of enemy pilots with medium-range surface-to-air missiles, and finally, the use of unmanned vehicles to break through and clear mines. In addition, some military observers believe that if the Ukrainian army accurately destroys Russia's main military targets in Ukraine - including the Kerch Bridge and other logistical infrastructure - then when the approximately 450,000 Russian soldiers in Ukraine no longer have a rear safe haven, Mr. Pu will withdraw his troops from Ukraine. For now, it seems that Ukraine and its donors are on this path. Zelensky previously announced that Ukraine will build 1 million drones in 2024. Yesterday, France announced that it would deliver 85 Scarp cruise missiles to Ukraine, which is actually the French version of the British Storm Shadow cruise missile.

A few days ago, the new British Foreign Secretary, veteran politician Cameron, once again publicly stated: Britain and its allies are ready to provide assistance to Ukraine for many years, and clearly show this to **. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz called on the United States to hand over ** ammunition to Ukraine. For the foreseeable future, the international community will continue to assist Ukraine. Just as this article was being written, there was a piece of news: Spain announced that it would send six additional sets of MIM-23 Hawk air defense systems to Ukraine, and the Hawk missiles were once the mainstay of the front-line air defense of the United States, with more than 40,000 units produced. Now tens of thousands of Hawk missiles are still in storage!

It won't be long before Ukraine's air power will be stronger than the enemy's.

I remember that when the Kazakh-Israeli war broke out in October 2023, I said in an article: Therefore, the forces that want to defeat Israel are not capable of defeating Israel, and only when Israel's allies tie its hands and feet will it fail. By the same token, Russia's army is incapable of defeating Ukraine on the battlefield, and it will only fail if Ukraine's allies abandon it. And, even if it fails, it will not give in.

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