The end of the year is approaching, and the price increase is warned! Prices may increase for 3 types of items
Unlike in the past, this year, some basic products** that are closely related to people's lives have shown a downward trend. For example, pork** has recently fallen by almost 40% compared to the same period last year. In addition, the number of products such as fruits and vegetables has also dropped significantly. There is only one reason for this: overproduction and oversupply. As for why there is an oversupply, there are several reasons:
1. This year's residents' consumption has declined, and pork has not gone up, and the annual decline is relatively large, which has a lot to do with people's consumption. In a recession cycle, consumption of other products will decline in addition to food consumption. Theoretically speaking, pork is also considered to be a rigid demand, but the reason why there will be a price reduction not only shows that many people are currently in high debt and low income, but also some middle-aged and elderly people with low living standards are also affected by the economic downturn in reducing the consumption of meat products necessary for life.
2) Impact on production In the past few years, the domestic pork ** soared, stimulating related enterprises to inject capital, and finally the sow herd increased to a high level in the past two years. Many leading pork enterprises continue to expand their production scale, and the data of fertile sows has not declined significantly, but is still improving.
3.Climatic impact Winter is the onset season for domestic pigs, with a high incidence of animal diseases such as respiratory tract and diarrhea. Once a pig becomes ill, it becomes a plague pig, which is not only useless, but also a waste of money to destroy. Therefore, many farmers are worried about the risk of the epidemic, so they have accelerated the speed of slaughter, further increasing the market, resulting in a further downturn in pig prices.
4.Imported pork is not a recent thing, data shows that in the first 11 months of 2023, China imported a total of 1.46 million tons of pork, a year-on-year decrease of 63%；And the import amount totaled 2337 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35%。It is worth mentioning that in September 2023, China lifted the temporary 15-year ban imposed on Russia due to African swine fever! This means that Russian pork will be official"Offense"Our country.
There is also news on the Internet that the press service of the Russian Ministry of Economic Development also released news that Russian pork will begin to enter the Chinese market in the second or third quarter of 2024. In addition, Zhu Zengyong, a researcher at the Beijing Institute of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, said in an interview with this reporter that in 2024, China's domestic pork ** will still be relatively abundant, and pig prices will fluctuate in a narrow range. What this means, we won't go into specifics.
5.Online data shows that as of December 21, 2023, the number of cancellations of domestic catering enterprises has exceeded 12650,000, which is more than double the number of cancellation of catering enterprises in 2022, setting a new high for the cancellation of catering enterprises since 2020! Catering enterprises are not operating well, demand is decreasing, and the decline is inevitable.
However, some citizens are beginning to worry that as the Lunar New Year approaches, the ** of some goods may also rise during the festive season. For example, the price of the following three categories of goods may increase during the Spring Festival: First, seasonal foods, mainly including foods traditionally related to the Spring Festival, such as certain seafood products and fresh fruits and vegetables, may increase in price due to increased demand during the festival.
Third, special holiday staples Some staple foods designed specifically for the Spring Festival, such as limited-edition gift boxes and special holiday drinks, will increase in price around the time of the Spring Festival due to their uniqueness and limited edition**.
Based on supply and demand factors, it is recommended that ordinary consumers pay attention to the above three types of goods that may increase in price on the occasion of the Spring Festival, and reasonably plan their purchases in advance according to their personal needs to avoid the inconvenience caused by fluctuations during the festival. However, Tranquility also reminds everyone to consume rationally and avoid unnecessary waste caused by the festive atmosphere. Wan Zijing said: Every word of the article is typed out by me, click one"Nope"Let me know that you are also in life"Put the best foot forward"。