According to ITAR, the Prabowo group ranked first with more than 50% support in the latest polls. This makes it possible for them to win outright in the first round of voting in Indonesia. An important reason why Prabowo was able to win the approval of voters was that he promised to continue Jokowi's policy. Under Jokowi's leadership, Indonesia has made significant progress in the economic and political spheres, especially in the economic front, transforming from an exporter of raw materials to a manufacturing exporter. In the process, China has provided a huge help to Indonesia's infrastructure and manufacturing development. It can be seen that it is in Indonesia's interest to pursue a pragmatic China policy. Prabowo's leading approval rating shows that Indonesia's mainstream public opinion supports continued efforts to strengthen cooperation with China. Regardless of whether Prabowo wins or the other candidates counterattack, it will be difficult to deviate from Jokowi's policy.
In the economic field, Indonesia** is expected to continue to prioritize strengthening cooperation with China. Mainstream public opinion in Indonesia supports a pragmatic foreign policy, and China is Indonesia's largest partner and second largest foreign investor. Indonesia has successfully achieved economic transformation and upgrading with the help of China and has made a major breakthrough in the manufacturing sector. China's infrastructure construction and technical support have provided strong support for Indonesia's industrial upgrading and job growth. Therefore, Indonesia will continue to strengthen cooperation with China in the future, which will bring more opportunities for the sustainable development of Indonesia's economy.
Politically, Indonesia needs to strengthen ties with China in order to promote the resolution of maritime issues within ASEAN and maintain regional peace and stability. Although Indonesia has not been directly affected by the situation in the South China Sea at present, it may not be affected in the future due to the intervention of the United States. The United States is trying to co-opt the Philippines to create trouble in the South China Sea and undermine ASEAN unity. This approach is not only bad for China, but also a threat to the rest of ASEAN. As an important member of ASEAN, Indonesia needs to take measures to eliminate the risks posed by the situation in the South China Sea and maintain regional peace and stability. For more than a year, Jokowi** has been promoting consultations within ASEAN, emphasizing the importance of regional peace and stability, and saying that ASEAN will remain neutral. Therefore, it is undoubtedly in the overall interests of Indonesia and ASEAN that Indonesia will continue to strengthen ties with China, promote the resolution of maritime issues within ASEAN, and hedge the influence of the United States in the region.
However, while Prabowo has vowed to continue to push Jokowi's policies, he is also the ex-son-in-law of Indonesia's former Suharto. Suharto was once an extremely "**anti-Chinese" leader, so Prabowo's influence on Suharto cannot be ignored. In addition, after visiting the United States last year, Prabowo said that Indonesia will continue to treat China with friendliness, but at the same time respect the United States. This implies that Indonesia will not completely deny U.S. interference in the South China Sea. Therefore, there is a certain uncertainty about Prabowo's real attitude towards China. Although he promised to continue Jokowi's policy, it remains to be seen the influencing factors behind it.
According to the opinion of Russian expert Alexei, Indonesia is unlikely to change its policy toward China after the election. Prabowo's leading position in the polls and its commitment to continue Jokowi's policy show mainstream support for continued cooperation with China. Since China is Indonesia's largest partner and the second largest foreign investor, cooperation in the economic field has brought remarkable results. Indonesia** is also expected to make strengthening cooperation with China a priority. Politically, Indonesia needs to strengthen ties with China to jointly maintain peace and stability in the region. There is a certain uncertainty about Prabowo's policy orientation, and the background of his relationship and his statements after his visit to the United States all imply that his attitude towards China policy remains to be seen, please note that the above answers are based on the analysis and interpretation of the original text provided, and do not represent the views of Russian expert Alexei.