The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is about to be fought for two years, and after a tragic level in 2023, Ukraine seems unwilling to continue to be passively beaten, and chooses to look for opportunities to fight back; Budanov, director of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, told ** a few days ago that the current offensive of the Russian army will be exhausted in the early spring of this year, when the Ukrainian army will launch a "new round of **".
Now hearing that the Ukrainian army "** will remind people of last year's "spring, summer, autumn and winter", many people also doubt whether Ukraine now has enough personnel and equipment to launch **. From last year to now, Ukraine has consumed too many NATO-standard tanks and infantry combat vehicles, and even the probability of "Leopard-2A4" appearing on the scene is becoming less and less.
But there is still good news for NATO at the moment, just two days after Budanov announced that he was going to ** news, the EU also seemed to have played chicken blood, forcibly choked Hungary's hands, and then passed a commitment agreement to provide Ukraine with 50 billion euros, so that the Kiev authorities will not worry about funding problems in the short term.
Of course, the EU is not paying all at once, but paying in installments over four years to make up for Ukraine's fiscal deficit in the next four years; After the European Union took out this 50 billion, Ukraine also called on the United States, hoping that the US Congress would pass the $60 billion aid to Ukraine as soon as possible, and many military and political dignitaries, including senior US generals, were also persuading Congress that the aid to Ukraine should be passed as soon as possible; If Ukraine can finally get this $60 billion, it will be even stronger than the "determination to resist" of the Kyiv authorities.
Undoubtedly, this Sword plan is not good news for Russia. The longer this conflict drags on, the greater the risk of uncertainty. Just two days ago, the unfortunate Black Sea Fleet was bombed into a "Poisonous Spider" class missile boat by Ukraine with a suicide unmanned boat; Although the loss of 1 500-ton missile boat has almost no impact on the situation on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, it is not a way for the Black Sea Fleet to continue to lose like this. But when we compare Russia and Ukraine, there is one thing that must be considered, that is, Russia has its own ability to make blood, while Ukraine can only rely on blood transfusion from the outside world, which is Russia's biggest advantage.
On the battlefield, the loss of Russian equipment is not small, tanks and armored vehicles are often destroyed by the Ukrainian army, but Russia can currently produce 150 tanks a month, and there are a sufficient number of armored vehicles to cope with the losses ahead; But the Ukrainian army can't, with the destruction of the main military-industrial system, the technical equipment of the Ukrainian army is highly dependent on NATO.
The same is true economically, the Ukrainian economy is de facto bankrupt, and without a Western blood transfusion, Kyiv's finances will collapse in a very short time; Russia, by contrast, has turned to the East, and is far from being economically exhausted, and has even grown.
The reason is that in fact, everyone knows that it is really good to enjoy the cool weather with the back of a large eastern country, not only there is no serious shortage of domestic production and commodities, but also to continue to vigorously develop **; Recently, the head of the Central Bank of Russia, Elvira Nabiullina, said that the yuan has become the main currency of Russia's overseas economic activities, and not long ago reached 55 cooperation projects with China for 13.6 billion yuan in Shenyang.
Therefore, Western aid can temporarily stabilize Ukraine's economy and finances, but this blood transfusion, compared with Russia, which can make blood, the balance of initiative is actually more in favor of Russia.