February** Dynamic Incentive Program
After the war in northern Myanmar finally came to an end, it was announced that China had played a key role. After nearly three months of conflict, China's mediation helped the Three Brothers Alliance reach a formal ceasefire agreement with the Myanmar military in Kunming.
According to the latest information, the peace talks, which took place from 10 to 11 January, have made significant progress towards reaching an agreement. In addition to agreeing to an immediate cessation of hostilities, it is critical that both sides make a solemn commitment to protect China's border people, as well as the safety of projects and personnel in Myanmar. The peace agreement dates back to a temporary ceasefire agreement brokered by the Three Brothers Alliance and the Myanmar military early last month. Despite disagreements in the second round of negotiations** in mid-December, which led to renewed fighting, in the weeks that followed, the Kokang Allied forces captured Lao Cai and succeeded in inducing the Tatmadaw to retreat.
On January 4, China's Vice Minister Sun Weidong visited Myanmar and held emergency talks with the Myanmar side. At the same time, the defenders of Lao Cai also announced their surrender on the same day, which created more favorable conditions for negotiations. Then, on January 6, the coalition forces safely repatriated some 4,000 Burmese troops and their families to Tatmadaw-controlled areas, a move that demonstrated the shared sincerity of both sides for peace.
During the negotiations, there was a significant reduction in military action by both sides, laying the groundwork for a future peace process. In the coming week, the two sides are expected to make military adjustments in northern Myanmar to ensure a safe and orderly retreat and continue negotiations. China** said that it will continue to play a positive and constructive role in this process and make efforts for regional peace and stability. The success of this peace negotiation will bring hope for long-term stability in Myanmar and the surrounding region, and also provide valuable experience and reference for resolving similar conflicts.
It is unclear whether the two sides reached a truce agreement only on northern Myanmar or whether this ceasefire covers the entire Myanmar border. What is certain, however, is that high-level officials will be at full rein in to control the ranks of the military to ensure that there is no threat to the security of key Chinese investment projects such as the China-Myanmar oil and gas pipeline. The end of this conflict does not mean that peace will return to the overall situation in Myanmar immediately. With the joint efforts of the international community, all parties in Myanmar are expected to gradually stabilize the situation.
With the end of the conflict in northern Myanmar, China will shift its focus and begin to focus on the overall layout in Myanmar. Border areas like Kokang could move towards de facto independent self-government. These areas, such as important border crossings such as the Qingshui River, will require new cooperative arrangements to ensure stability and development.
In addition, there may be foreign influence behind certain forces in Myanmar. China needs to continue to use its influence to ensure the safety of its citizens and the protection of its legitimate interests in Myanmar. This requires sustained dialogue and cooperation with all parties in Myanmar to resolve possible problems and play an active role in regional stability.