Sun Tzu's Art of War said: You can't win against yourself, but you can win against the enemy.
This means that as long as you don't make mistakes, you can't be defeated by anyone - "undefeated" is something you can grasp. is controllable.
Victory, on the other hand, requires the enemy to make mistakes, and the enemy needs to give them a chance - victory depends on the opportunity and the opponent. It's uncontrollable.
Obviously, it's much easier to go undefeated. My middle school math teacher brazenly said in class many times: Even if I play chess, Nie Weiping can't win against me! Because I don't go down with him.
This is the application that cannot be won against itself. Only talk about it, and don't give your opponent a chance to win against you.
*The same goes for investments. As long as we don't make mistakes, it is difficult for us to lose money.
We only need to do the following to lose money very hard:
Spare money that is not used for a long time**
A fund does not need to be used for at least three or five years before it can be used for ** investment. This is the foundation of **.
Because sometimes a bear market may have three or five years, and the ** you hold may not make a profit for three or five years, or even be in the red for many years. At this time, if you have an urgent matter at home and need money, you can only sell it with tears in your eyes.
There are a lot of friends like this around me, and they are all in a hurry to cut meat with money**. As a result, it soon rose sharply, and I regretted that my thighs were swollen. Statistics show that the probability of holding shares for more than 5 years and finally making a profit reaches 92%!
If our ** funds may be used for emergency purposes at any time, then no matter how high our ** level is, it is impossible to have a good attitude.
As long as there is long-term spare money, we can keep the **, and we can afford to survive the years. Spare money is the cornerstone of **.
2 Only at **low valuation**
Mencius said: A gentleman does not stand under a dangerous wall.
We must stick to the bottom line when we vote - resolutely do not buy high-valued **, even if such a **daily limit.
*Hundreds of years of history have proven that low P/E ratios are less risky. The high-speed performance growth of listed companies cannot be the norm, but the low-speed growth is the norm. Therefore, in most cases, investing in low P/E ratio and low valuation is the undefeated investment magic weapon.
For example, when I invested in BYD a few years ago, its price-to-earnings ratio was only more than 40 times. Now BYD's price-earnings ratio has reached 275 times! I don't know if BYD can rise in the future. But I know that it is definitely much safer to invest 40 times BYD** than to invest 275 times BYD**!
At present, there are a variety of complex factors and variables inside and outside the field, and the medium-term development is full of uncertainties. At this time, we must firmly grasp the bottom line of not chasing high, only buying low valuation. This is the only way to protect our precious principal. At present, there are many in the consumer industry with only more than ten times or more than 20 times the price-earnings ratio. Investing in these** is obviously much less likely to lose money in the long run.
3 Establish a ** portfolio
When I talk about long-term value investing recently, some people always use PetroChina and LeTV as examples to illustrate that long-term price investing is useless.
I deeply regret the ignorance of these people in ** investment - in their eyes, value investing is to die for many years and not let go.
How ignorant this is!
Value investors never hold just one**. The world's investment masters' ** votes have always held a ** ticket portfolio. Graham, the originator of value investing, advocated that investors should hold at least twenty or thirty at the same time**. Warren Buffett, the world's investment guru, holds more than 90 stocks at the most** and 7** at the least.
Only when you know how to apply the best investment portfolio can you really enter the door of ** investment.
What if there are one or two PetroChina and LeTV in our ** portfolio? No matter how they fall, they can't fall into a negative number, but there may be one or two of the other ** in our group, several times or even a few.
Ten, hundreds of times. If the two are offset, the result must be positive.
As long as we don't make major mistakes when investing. If we don't give the market a chance to beat us, it will be difficult for us to lose money in the market.
General principles of intraday operations:
Follow the trend + low + do not chase high + stop loss
1。The so-called trending is to follow the intraday trend. The trend is the general direction, not the absolute direction, that is, it is approximate, you can make a rough estimate based on experience, fundamentals, and technical aspects, and correct it at any time in the process.
2。The so-called low point is for long, and the entry of the low point is the premise of making a profit for the long day.
3。The so-called not chasing high refers to controlling your emotions, chasing as soon as it rises, and the loss is just around the corner.
4。The so-called stop loss is for heavy positions, the direction is reversed, and the stop loss is immediately stopped, do not ask why, and there is no time to ask why.
As soon as it rises, it is very likely to step on the reverse beat, that is, buy at the high point and flat at the low point. One thought and one difference, the result is completely different, which has little to do with technology, level, and ability. Only open one hand, then the stop loss is a little slower, a little faster, a little bigger, a little smaller, it doesn't matter much. For heavy positions, you must strictly stop loss, even if you place three orders at one point, and there is no breakthrough, you must stop loss, one mistake, 9 times difficult to make up. When the fluctuation law of ** is in tune with your technique, in layman's terms, it is when the hand is smooth, you should take a heavy position, which is the secret of making profits run within the day.
"Eight Styles of Day Trading".
The first type of intraday trading: the low is not broken - buy
Condition 1: ** is in an uptrend. 2. Complete the oscillation after the opening.
The second type of intraday trading, buy sharply and buy slowly, buy slowly and slowly
On the conditional minute chart, there is an uptrend, or on the 15-minute chart, there is often a sharp break in the fall.
The third form of intraday trading, the tick line is in a zigzag shape, wait and see
Condition 1: The tick line has changed from the previous smooth pattern and is zigzag. 2. The tick line oscillates in a cluster.
The fourth type of intraday trading, don't rush the upper arc up, don't slow down the lower arc
Condition 1: The upper arc rises, and the volume shrinks when it rises. 2. The lower arc rises, and the volume shrinks carefully.
The fifth type of intraday trading, do not short if the rising channel is intact, and do not go long if the descending channel is intact
The channel formed on the conditional minute chart is intact. 2. ** has not yet formed a more obvious line.
The sixth type of intraday trading, the channel is closed by the side line, and the three lines are unified by the red line - buy
Condition 1: On the 3-minute chart, the descending channel is closed** has been flattened and is approaching the red 60**. 2. On the 5-minute chart, red 60** has begun to flatten, or has flattened.
The seventh type of intraday trading, the high point market is not bottomed, and the low point market is not topped. Backhand
Condition 1, ** has been weak, or ** has opened sharply. 2. **Fall, it is nearing the end, or**is in an upward trend, and it oscillates and falls after today's opening.
The eighth type of intraday trading, triple top, the fourth time to come up to the top - buy
Condition 1. A triple top is formed on the tick line, preferably parallel.
Any mode of operation has its applicability and risks, and it is absolutely impossible to have a method of operation that is neither risky nor can be significantly profitable. Although the operation can avoid the risk caused by stock price fluctuations in the fastest time, it does not mean that investors do not have a little risk when carrying out ** operations.
Recently, some friends have been complaining to me, saying that they can't find a good time to increase their positions
On the issue of adding positions, in fact, whether you increase your position or cover your position, what remains unchanged is to buy stocks. Adding a position is just a kind of buying stocks, adding a position is a kind of buying stocks, buying stocks requires a reason, this reason is different from the reason for buying clothes, buying clothes can be because you like it, and you can afford it, but buying stocks is not a subjective behavior, you must have an objective reason.
It is generally only recommended to increase positions (buy stocks) in two situations:
1. The momentum of the stock price is already very small, and all the ones that should be cut are cut, and there are only some people who lose money (observing the trading volume), at this time I will tentatively buy a small amount, generally no more than two positions.
2. The stock price is moving upwards and increasing positions along the way.
The first is a reason not to fall, and the second is to have an upward reason. Going back to the situation of the shareholder just now, what is his reason? The cheaper you buy, the more you fall, the more you buy, but you don't want to see the short-term, or even get the best returns, and you don't even understand the taboo, so you are so confused to make up the position, make up the position, make up the position, so if you don't **, who else is it suitable for?
Downward-flattening margin calls can be an instinctive reaction of human nature, and here are two tips to prevent this irrational behavior from happening
1. Suppose you don't own this stock, will you still buy it? This can make you think differently. Maybe then you will clearly see that it may still fall, and this is just the beginning!
2. Determine how much space there is from the strong support below, if the space from the strong support is very small, with the above way of thinking after getting the answer is also to buy, then you can add a position, but you must pay attention to the nature of the position.
Long-term operations focus on quality rather than potential, and operations are just the opposite. **Operation skills are important but not quality. So what are the *** operation skills? Here are the 18 ticket trading tips for you.
1. "Attack tipping point".
*When attacking the neckline of the technical pattern in a large amount, when the attack volume can be effectively amplified, but the neckline is still below 3%, this is an excellent buying point.
2. "The amount of heaps is rising and rising".
* is on the way up, when its trading volume can not be continuously amplified, it will achieve the purpose of exceeding the maximum amount of the previous high by accumulating the volume energy for several days in a small ** range, forming a lasting upward channel with the largest amount of crests gradually decreasing, and it happens to be strongly supported by the parallel upward daily ** system. The lower band of the ascending channel also happens to be the zero deviation position of the 13th**, which is an excellent entry point for the short and medium lines.
3. "Pulling onions on dry land".
*After continuous**or**, when** or the first white line of the reversal is the price limit board or more than 9 large white lines, there is often more than 10% of the ** space in the market outlook, and the first white line price limit attachment is the best entry point.
4. "Stagnation of Xiaoyang volume".
When the continuous volume of the attack, only close out of the continuous cross of the small white line, this is the bulls strong upward attack blocked performance, after the shrinkage momentum, there will be a wave of opportunities to continue to attack a new high, after the volume of shrinkage**, this is the best entry point.
5. "The light boat crosses the ten thousand mountains".
* Rising from a stage low, in the case of a small cumulative increase, effectively break through and stand firm with a hand rate of less than 3%, after the annual line (233 days**), the position of the annual line is an excellent entry point in the medium term.
6. "The end of the bears".
When the 13th negative deviation of the stock price reaches about -20% (except for the stock and the spacing stock), it is an excellent entry point.
7. "Short undertaking".
*Under the counterpressure of the emergence of the ** appeared fast**, as the ** approached the lowest point, the rise appeared, the more the volume fell more and more amplified accompanied by the decline of the smaller and smaller yin line when there was a shrinkage of the yang line overshadowed the last and at the same time the largest volume of the black line empty body, the highest point of the shrinkage yang line near the best point is the best entry point.
8. "* Buy point".
* From the mid-term nadir in a row? The white candle (at most one or two **small black candlesticks) is uninterrupted**, and when the cumulative rise reaches more than 30% and peaks, it falls back to the first wave with a continuous positive candle. The 618** dividing level is the land, which is an excellent entry point for **. You can buy boldly in batches.
9. "False negative line".
* After closing out a price limit, the next day to continue to increase the volume of more than the limit board can attack the important technical pressure level, ** blocked fall, only to close out a long upper shadow line of the rise in a point or so of the cross small black line, this is the main force of the strong long resistance performance, the next day will often continue to attack, the cross yin line near the price is the best entry point.
10. "The amount of neckline is excessive".
* When the volume of the amplified volume has exceeded the maximum amount of the previous neckline highs, but the stock price has not broken through the neckline, it is an excellent entry point when it shrinks under the neckline.
11. "Straight through the long line".
Relying on the parallel 45° upward trend, the acceleration of the upward movement drives the steep upward movement on the 13th, and the sudden rapid U-turn is continuous, and it falls below the 13th, which is still on the upside, when it is close to the 34th.
12. "See the sun through the clouds".
When the MACD and DIF lines in the MACD indicator are accompanied by the amplification of the red bar, from the 0 axis down to the O axis, when the MACD red bar shortens for the first time above the O axis, and even emits a green bar, but does not wave the O axis, it is also an excellent entry point for the ** closing line.
13. "High-level and massive hand turnover".
* When running on the parallel upward day, suddenly close out of a continuous huge amount of negative line, but the negative line does not break the 13th **, and the decline of the huge negative line gradually decreases, as long as there is a shrinking positive line on the 13th ** covered by the body of the huge negative line, the price of the negative line near the price is an excellent entry point.
14. "The daily and weekly lines are in the same place and 0 obedient".
When the daily system and the weekly system are both in the bullish operation state of 45 equal upward movement, when the stock price adjusts back to the O deviation position of *to 13 weeks**, if the stock price is also back to the O deviation position of *13 days**, this point is an excellent entry point in the short and medium term.
15. "Crossing the watershed".
*Long-term operation under the downward 55 days**, when the first time from the medium-term bottom volume break through the 55 days that represent the watershed of long and short strength, it crosses the 55 days ** for the first time after returning to the 55 days ** is the ground, is the best entry point.
16. "Pulling onions on dry land" and "thick accumulation".
* When the neckline of the technical pattern is attacked, there is a sideways trend of continuous stagnation at the critical point of the neckline, which is a signal that the dealer is ready to go, and when the volume is sideways back to the point close to the 13th, it is an excellent entry point.
17. "Turning things around".
* From the stage low point after the continuous U-turn upward, if the body of the first positive line of the rebound overshadows the body of the last negative line, and the volume is more than double that of the last negative line, then the volume is called the reversal volume, this positive line is the reversal of the positive line, and the reversal of the positive line is an excellent entry point near the price.
18. "The edge of the sword sharpens itself".
*Running on the way above the 13th**, when after a wave of continuous **back* to the 13th**, when it is again increasing from the 13th** to the upward attack, but encountering heavy selling pressure, **leaving only a long upper shadow line, when there is no increase, the 13** vicinity is ** an excellent entry point.
**Seven taboos to share with everyone, hope to learn more:
A taboo of greed:**There are many opportunities to make money, greed is the weakness of human nature, earn 1,000 yuan, and want to earn 10,000 yuan, 100,000 yuan, or even more, greed makes people never satisfied. At the end of a wave of **, there are always so many greedy failures, the stock index has risen to 6000 points, and is still looking forward to a high of 8000 points. Don't you know that ** suddenly plummeted, not only did you not get the profit that could have been earned, but even the old capital was lost, which made you miserable. There is also a kind of greed, but it is hoped that **constantly**, to pick up cheaper chips at the bottom, and the real bottom escapes in greed. Obviously, greed is the biggest enemy in the minds of investors.
Two taboo fears:Fear makes people retreat too much, and it's normal to go up and down. When the stock price just rose, it rose and rose, and when I saw that the stock price was high, I was afraid of chasing into the trap, and then the more I was afraid, the more it rose, and the strong were always strong. Many shareholders are short at a low level, at a high level, the stock price is continuous, and the risk is released in the process, and they are afraid to see the ** in their hands continue to fall a few boards, not only do not dare to **, but cut the meat on the floor price and lose the opportunity.
Three taboos blind obedience:If everyone believes it, they don't believe in themselves. Others buy what they buy, a typical follower, and the result is counterproductive. Even if you follow, understand why**.
Four taboos of pride:**The situation is changing, and there are many dangers. If Xiaosheng is complacent, thinking that ** is nothing but this is not a big deal, and thus relaxes his vigilance, he will inevitably fail. Especially in the context of gradual global economic integration, there are more variables. There are no winning generals on **. Humility does not necessarily lead to progress, and pride inevitably lags behind. It's not uncommon to lose all the games if you're not careful.
Five taboos are impetuous:Have a normal mindset. Preventing risks always comes first. Both losses and profits should be calm. Otherwise, the previous error will be repeated.
Six taboos are full:In war, it is rare to use all the troops, and there are often mobile units to respond. No matter how good the battle plan is, there will always be mistakes, and adjustments will be made after the battle begins. ** funds are like fighting troops, if all of a sudden all of them go into battle and make a desperate bet, it will often lead to passivity or even defeat.
Seven taboos do not learn:The sound of the wind and rain, the sound of reading, stories are happening every day; Family affairs, national affairs, world affairs, ** every day there is a daily limit. **Not learning is a "wonderful method" that cannot be done at all and cannot be done for a long time. Don't believe rumors like the illiterate old lady **has become**king. Whether it is foreign or domestic, the best ones are very professional, and some of them have undergone special training. If you are smart or a fool, you will sleep on the hot kang and be strong when you are lucky**, even if you are lucky enough to make a profit, you will lose money in the future. Remember, remember.