A shares 3000 points 10 years ago, 10 years later or 3000 points, A shares have no investment value?

Mondo Finance Updated on 2024-02-10

Although it is a relatively stable investment method, under the current system, the interests of managers and the interests of the people are often inconsistent. Therefore, investors need to choose carefully** to avoid falling into the predicament of losing money.

Don't put all your eggs in one basket, but spread your money across different ** and industries.

In this way, even if something goes wrong with some**, the entire portfolio will not be affected too much. At the same time, we should also set the stop loss and take profit points, adjust them in time, and control the risk.

Money alone cannot bring us happiness, but it makes more sense to use it to provide for the needs of our family than to gamble on **.

No longer take chances, and realize that wealth needs to be earned through hard work.

Why is A-share value investing so difficult?

The value investment of A-shares is not much easier than speculation, because good companies are particularly expensive to speculate during the bull market, and it takes a long time to digest the valuation, which makes it easy to take over at a high level, and it takes a long time to untie the set.

When the bear market is undervalued, due to the loss of the right to speak by institutions, even if a good company falls to a high level of dividends, it cannot return to the normal valuation in time, and popular funds are immersed in speculation in theme concept stocks, and the result is that good companies with high valuations are difficult to fall, and good companies with low valuations are difficult to rise.

However, everything has a cycle, and A-shares are no exception, but the length of the cycle. Don't admit that in the past few decades, A-shares have launched an index-level bull market every few years, but it must be clear that due to the indiscriminate filling of a large number of companies under the registration system, it has little to do with you to buy junk stocks in the bull market in the future.

In any case, index investment is much better than ** investment, even if it does not rise for many years, the loss is limited. In short, the idea should be clear, for the index, we must dare to have the courage to reduce the cost of the bull market, and for the value of white horse stocks, **earn the band** eat dividends.

Tell me why China's ** lasted for 10 years and 3,000 points?

Is it China's ** that has not risen for ten years?

Let's take a look:

This is a chart of the Shanghai Composite Index in the past.

Graphically, what is the shape? - Pointed dome and round bottom. Translated into the language of the day, that is, - bull short bear.

What other trends are the peaks and rounded bottoms?

Just take a few pictures for you to see.

Are these three ** very similar to the trend of the Shanghai Composite Index?

The above three ** are:Sany Heavy Industry, Jiangxi Copper, Jinling Mining。It's all in the category of cyclical stocks.

Why do cyclical stocks move with sharp tops and round bottoms? When cyclical stocks are undervalued out of the cycle, they are valued according to PB; When the wind of the cycle comes, and the money begins to be full, it is valued according to PE.

Because it is a cyclical stock, once the cycle is reversed, the profit often increases by dozens or several times. But the windfall profit stage generally does not last very long, and soon the profits go down. So when the company came in the boom cycle, Davis double-clicked; When the boom cycle passed, Davis double-killed. So the company's share price is performing as a spire.

But when the company is in a continuous loss phase, the company's net assets are much less volatile when it is valued according to PB. Therefore, when the stock price falls below the net assets, it will reach a steady state, and then it will not fall. Because the net worth fluctuates very little. So the company's share price is a round bottom.

The reason why the Shanghai Composite Index has gone this way may be because there are too many cyclical stocks among the constituent stocks.

A** market is generally a short bull market duration, that is, the bull market is short and the bear market is long, and the bear market time is relatively long.

Use chips to judge the timing of the main pull-up

The first form: the volume breaks through the low single-peak intensive, and a round of rising ** begins.

* After a long period of sideways consolidation, at the low level out of the formation of a single peak intensive, when**volume breaks through the single peak intensive, it is the timing of the follow-up, there will be a round of rise in the later stage**.

* After breaking through the single-peak intensity, there will be a shrinkage ** action, single-peak density as an effective support, when the volume closes out a large white line, investors can boldly chase in.

The second pattern: the upper peak disappears, and the low level forms a new single peak intensive, bottoming out and stabilizing.

*Running in ***, if the upper dense peak disappears, and a new single peak dense is formed at the low level, then it means that ** will bottom out and stabilize, and it will rise ** in the later stage**.

However, if the upper peak is not fully consumed, and a single peak is dense at the low level, such a form will not rise, because there are still a large number of hedging disks above, and it is difficult to carry out the upward attack. Each of the upper peaks in the multi-peak is a strong resistance level, and it is not advisable to open a position hastily for the multi-peak.

Volume operation strategy

1. Technical analysis is inseparable from volume analysis

There are many factors that affect volatility, and it is not enough to analyze volatility from a single technical analysis and multiple techniques, and it is incomplete technical analysis without considering the trend of volume changes.

In the process of long-term practice of trading, people can deduce the development direction of the future market by observing some typical special graphs, and then combining with the changes in the corresponding trading volume, so as to guide their investment behavior.

2. Increase volume against the market**

When a certain ** does not follow *** or is also anti-falling, build a platform to finish. If the market suddenly falls sharply on a certain day, and thousands of shares turn green, but the stock turns red, this kind of ** is very eye-catching in the market on the day, at this time investors usually think that the stock is very strong and can buck the trend**;

Therefore, I boldly followed up, but I didn't expect that after 1-2 days of the attack, the stock began to rapidize, and the investors who entered the market on the same day were all imprisoned.

Investment insights

In a fast-changing market, we need to be keenly observant and act decisively, which requires us to see the facts, seize the moment, and dare to make decisions.

* The weakness of human nature needs to be overcome the most. No matter how much homework you do and have a deep understanding of the logic, you may be completely denied by the market, forcing you to admit your mistakes with trapping and stepping short.

After a ** is sold, it should be placed in the self-selection, and it is okay to take it to see if it was sold correctly or wrongly. Summarize the reasons for your missale, so as to improve your shareholding ability.

In this way, you can really be a ** dare to get double the space, in order to really make a lot of money.

* It is a very difficult road, and if you want to achieve financial freedom, then don't say anything about working hard, the road is long.

The above content is for reference only and is not intended as specific investment advice

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