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In the near future, the Philippines and the United States plan to hold a 2 2 meeting, which is intended to strengthen diplomatic and military cooperation. However, at this time, the United States expressed its position on China and expressed its desire to visit China. This move has sparked all sorts of speculation and analysis about U.S.-Philippines relations and China-Philippines relations. This article will expand on this topic and analyze the significance and impact of the U.S.-Philippines meeting on China-Philippines relations, as well as analyze the strategic motivations in U.S.-China relations.
The 2 2 meeting planned by the United States and the Philippines is intended to enhance cooperation between the two countries in the field of diplomacy and defense. The Philippines' recent provocative actions in the South China Sea have sparked friction with China, so the Philippines urgently needs to enlist U.S. support. However, the United States' strategic considerations in containing China's development have made it acquiesce in or even condone its assistance and support for the Philippines. This allowed the Philippines to try to create the illusion of full support from the United States by making public the news of the **2 2 meeting. For Marcos in the Philippines, this is not only to embolden himself by taking advantage of the momentum of the United States, but also to play a game.
Additional expansion: The Philippines' move is aimed at consolidating its position in the South China Sea in order to gain more international support. Despite the Philippines' clear intentions, the U.S. attitude also hints at a preference for good relations with China. Against the backdrop of constant provocations by the Philippines, the acquiescence and connivance of the United States does not mean that it will be involved in a possible conflict, but only a euphemistic statement. The United States retains the option of withdrawal and has the right not to provide protection to the Philippines in the event of an active provocation. Therefore, this hype in the Philippines could further worsen Sino-Philippine relations, and China will not be affected by its threats.
After the news of the 2 2 meeting between the United States and the Philippines broke, some people worried that it would have an impact on Sino-Philippine relations. However, the reality is that this interaction only changes the state of the game, not the final outcome. Although the U.S. statement implied support for the Philippines, it did not mean that it would intervene in a military conflict disputed by China and the Philippines in the South China Sea. At present, it seems that the United States has reacted relatively coldly to this meeting, and has not publicly confirmed it, but only indirectly expressed its position. If the situation escalates, the United States may shirk its responsibilities and use its former silence as an excuse. Therefore, no matter what level of dialogue the United States and the Philippines hold, it will not have a substantial impact on the outcome of the dispute between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea, and will only exacerbate tensions between the two countries.
Extra: While some are concerned about the impact of the U.S.-Philippines 2 meeting, the reality is that this interaction can only temporarily change the state of the game, not the final outcome. China has always adhered to the position of safeguarding its own interests in the South China Sea disputes, and will not be intimidated by the US-Philippines meeting. At the moment, the United States has not really indicated that it wants to intervene in a possible conflict, but continues to maintain a wait-and-see attitude. Therefore, no matter how the US-Philippines meeting develops, it will not have a significant impact on the trend of China-Philippines relations.
Recently, the United States has shown a positive stance on its China policy, trying to ease Sino-US relations, and plans to allow Secretary of State Blinken to visit China again. However, the interaction between the United States and the Philippines suggests that the United States is motivated primarily by its own needs to seek to improve relations with China, and that it is only a temporary delay. In fact, the overall strategy of the United States towards China has not changed fundamentally, but it has temporarily reined in because they currently need China's cooperation. Next, the United States may once again use the Philippines to hype up the South China Sea issue in exchange for greater benefits, which requires us to be highly vigilant.
Additional Expansion: The current U.S. policy toward China is unreliable, and its temporary changes are only a stopgap measure to deal with its own predicament. Against the backdrop of China's continued rise, the United States still adheres to the overall strategy of suppressing and containing China. Although the United States needs China's support at the moment, this does not mean that it will abandon its containment of China. In the future, the United States may once again use the Philippines and other methods to exert pressure on the South China Sea issue in exchange for its own interests. China should remain highly vigilant about this and take corresponding response conclusions:
The United States and the Philippines are planning to hold it"22"The meeting is of great significance, and the Philippines hopes to gain benefits and momentum on the South China Sea issue through the support of the United States. However, the attitude of the United States is only temporary, and they will shirk their responsibilities and will not really intervene in a possible conflict. Therefore, this meeting will not change the outcome of the dispute between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea, but will only increase the level of tension between the two countries.
It is worth noting that the recent improvement of relations between the United States and China is only a temporary strategic consideration, and they will continue to suppress and contain China. Therefore, China should remain highly vigilant and use its strength to safeguard its own interests.
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