Migrant workers in Guangzhou, two points and one line, in addition to wages, eat and sleep, are most concerned about commuting.
Especially the commute on Line 3 is so "exciting" every day that it is not worth being surprised and gossip even when you hear about a fight.
But speaking of Line 3,The progress of its eastern extension has reached 97%.This year's opening is probably a sure thing.
In our previous article: All flash, the highlight of the Guangzhou Metro, about to begin, there have been many discussions on whether the opening of the east extension of Line 3 can alleviate congestion, mainly divided into two schools of view:
Pessimists - the congestion of Line 3 will be more brutalThere are also bluntly said that "crowding becomes odd and even number restrictions" (exaggerated haha).
Optimists - don't panic, other subway lines will eventually step on the colorful auspicious clouds to save Line 3!
So, with the imminent opening of the eastern extension of Line 3, can the "Death Line 3" be alleviated?
Or will it make matters worse?
Pessimist:
Line 3, which is already crowded
To add insult to injury, squeeze on squeeze
Let's take a look at what the pessimists have to say.
In fact, there are only 4 stations on the eastern extension of Line 3, so why is it so frightening?
Among the 4 new subway stations, judging from the distribution of surrounding real estate, the most concentrated stations are Haipang, Panjiang, Shiqi South and Haichong Road. For example, the two stations of Shiqi South and Haichong Road are mainly used by industrial companies, industrial parks, primary and secondary schools, etc. Among them, the residential area around Shiqi South Station is about 1 straight line distance from the subway station8km away.
Relatively speaking, there are more new and second-hand properties at Panjiang Station and Haibang Station, and the supporting facilities and living atmosphere of the sector are also relatively mature, namelyAfter the opening of the east extension section of Line 3, the new ** is mainly gathered in the two stations of Haibang and Panjiang.
For example, near Panjiang Station, that is, the Panyu Passenger Station plate, the new properties currently on sale, including Longfor Gemdale Tianfeng, Poly Langyu, **Donghuzhou Garden, Golden Coast Garden and other residential areas are not far from the subway station. Haibang Station is the famous ** Asian Games City in Panyu. Look back at the subway ridership. At present, although the terminal station of Line 3 in the southern section of Panyu Square is not restricted, the penultimate station of Shiqiao, and the flow restriction in the morning rush hour on weekdays is the norm. When the subway runs from Panyu Square Station to Shiqiao Station, the carriages are basically full, and they are already in a very crowded state. In other words, from Panyu Square to Tiyu West Road, the southern section of Line 3, in addition to the transfer station that can achieve a large number of ** getting on and off, other stations can only sporadically squeeze one or two people in the morning rush hour. After the opening of the east extension of Line 3, the workers in the two sectors of Asian Games City and Panyu Passenger Station will go to work in Zhujiang New Town, and Line 3 will be the first choice.
From this point of view, the congestion of Line 3 in the morning rush hour will most likely not be alleviated, and it is very likely to intensify, and it will indeed be "crowded" as the fan message said.
Optimist:
Not everyoneThey all went to work in Zhucheng
In the future, there are many lines to relieve the pressure
In fact, not only fan messages, but also our editorial department has different views on whether the opening of the east extension of Line 3 can alleviate the current congestion.
For example, the optimists hold the view that "the opening of the eastern extension section can alleviate the transportation pressure of Line 3", and there are two main arguments to support it:
The first is the station of the east extension section, which has a relatively larger number of riverside and seaside stations, that is, the residents of the Panyu passenger station and the Asian Games City plateNot everyone works in Zhujiang New Town.
The reason why Line 3 is congested is that the center of Guangzhou is in Zhujiang New Town, which has a ripple effect on the surrounding areas, but with the development of multiple centers of gravity CBD such as Baietan, Pazhou, Financial City, Wanbo, etc., it will gradually divert to other key economic areas.
Well, assuming that half of the people in Panyu have to go to work in Zhujiang New Town, we don't panic.
Isn't there also a speed express line 18, which only takes about 22 minutes from Panyu Square to Zhujiang New Town CBD.
The key economic circles connected by Line 18 cover Wanbo-Chimelong, Pazhou and Zhujiang New TownThere is a high overlap with Line 3, which greatly relieves the transportation pressure of Line 3.
That is, the people who need to take Line 3 to commute in the east extension of Line 3 are not as "as scary" as everyone imagined.
Second, there was originally a line 4 diversion at the Haibang Station of the Asian Games City, which connected the commuting range of key sectors such as the International Innovation City, University City, Pazhou, and Financial City.
That is,For residents around the Asian Games City to commute, there is not only Metro Line 3 to choose from, but also Line 4 to Panyu, Haizhu and Tianhe key CBD.
Throughout the entire Line 3, the north-south main line plus a branch line, that is, the "Y" shaped intersectionThe congested sections are mainly concentrated at the stations from the north and south sections to Zhujiang New Town.
In addition, the train in the direction of Tianhe Passenger Station has broken down the capacity of the northern section, and the departure frequency of the northern extension of Line 3 is not as dense as that of the southern extension.
Line 10 (Xilong-Shipai Station) currently under construction is a new line that can "solve the urgent needs of Line 3" in the short term, and will be connected with the branch line of Line 3 (Tianhe Passenger Station-Shipai Station) after completion, and will be dismantled and merged into Line 10 in the future.
At that time, Line 3 will no longer need to bear the capacity in the direction of Tianhe Passenger Station, and will only focus on the north-south main line operation, and the traffic density of the northern section will be the same as that of the southern section of Panyu Square, which can relieve the huge pressure on Line 3.
In the plan, there is another one that is the sameLine 26 of the north-south arteryOn the way, he shouldered the important task of "rescuing Line 3 from dire straits".
So,In terms of the new subway line in the future, the terrible congestion of Line 3 can be alleviated. However, for the time being, I personally think that Line 3 will still be congested in the short term, after all, Line 10 is now about 80% progress, and it will be opened for operation in 2025 at the earliest.
Until then, Line 3 still needs to continue to operate the three lines of the "Y" interchange, and a new east extension has been added, and the passenger flow pressure is estimated to still be under pressure, especially at the central transfer station Tiyu West Road.
But! In addition, it is uncertain whether Line 10 will be opened to traffic in sections, and "stepping on colorful auspicious clouds" in advance to alleviate the capacity of Line 3 and save the workers who are crowded every day.
The congestion of Line 3 will always usher in a crack day!
What do you think?