Vietnam's rejection of the United States, why insist
Despite its small size, Vietnam has huge ambitions, and whether it chooses the United States as an ally to enhance its international standing or China as a partner to boost its economic development, it will have a significant impact on the geopolitical and economic landscape of the surrounding region.
During Nguyen Phu Trong's visit to China, he made it clear that he would not allow any country to set up overseas military bases in Vietnam and would not join forces with any country to confront China, which led to a defeat for the United States on this issue.
Vietnam, the master of "multiple-choice questions", is a little confused in "subjective questions". After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Vietnam was able to navigate between China and the United States with its unique geographical location and choices at a critical time.
However, every time they collude with one side, the Vietnamese always find a mysterious sense of superiority and dream of jumping from chess pieces to chess players. The reason behind this is not only the mismatch between their own strength and ambition, but also the elusiveness of their external performance, which fully reflects the conceit and inferiority of the Vietnamese nation.
This "bizarre" character stems from Vietnam's long-standing status as a vassal state.
After 800 years of hard work, Vietnam expanded its territory from the Red River Delta to the Mekong Delta, but it has never been able to completely shake off the influence of the Central Plains Dynasty, and its founding still refers to itself as the "Southern Dynasty", which is written in the history books in an attempt to prove its legitimacy.
Vietnam, which has long been a vassal country, has an inferiority complex in its bones. This mentality reached its peak after World War II, when Ho Chi Minh quickly declared Vietnam's independence on the day it ended.
Just as the French had recovered from the "milk law", were in high spirits and eager to show their strength, Vietnam managed to attract the attention of the French.
The Vietnamese, with the tenacity of the Germans, once again defeated the French. Once colonizers in the Germans"Convince people with virtue"Under the teachings of the people, it was transformed"Six Weeks Resistance Fighters"。
France seems to have become accustomed to bowing to the strong, and after the French army was surrounded by Vietnamese troops, there was no suspense in the development of the story. The French were cornered, but unwilling to leave, and therefore supported the South Vietnamese regime.
Soon after, China, as a friend and ally, stepped forward as Vietnam's staunchest supporter, and the French withdrew from Vietnam for good. The defeat of the United States in Vietnam, called"Forgotten wars", which made them suffer, but in the face of the cruel boundary of 17 degrees north latitude and"Don't be unpredictable"The truth of the Americans, Americans do not dare to act rashly.
Over the past 20 years, China has been an important partner for Vietnam as a friend and ally, and at least for that time, Vietnam has supported China.
As Sino-Soviet relations deteriorated, friendly relations between China and the United States gradually warmed, and the Americans finally decided to withdraw from Vietnam in 1975, and they could not withstand the continued harassment of North Vietnam.
However, after losing the support of the United States, South Vietnam received a large amount of American-made equipment, but under the attack of the North Vietnamese army, this equipment became useless, and eventually South Vietnam was also eroded by the capital after the unification of Vietnam.
Under these circumstances, Vietnam has developed a distorted mentality, and they boast of being the third military power in the world, and they are in the limelight for a while. Vietnam is haunted by the friendly relations between the former "comrades and brothers" and the United States.
Driven by this distorted psychology, Vietnam became entangled with the Soviet Union and went further and further down the anti-Chinese road. However, Vietnam's strength could not match their ambitions, and they eventually jumped on the verge of being beaten, and finally ended it all with a beating.
Vietnam was jubilant with the support of the Soviet Union, and happy times were always short-lived, and the death of the eldest brother made Vietnam fall into contemplation. In the face of the United States and China, Vietnam wandered between China and the United States, and in the end, the Vietnamese believed that they had learned the essence of Chinese culture, adopted Fan Ju's theory of "distant friendship and close attack", and threw themselves into the arms of the United States without hesitation.
In 2009, Obama proposed a pivot to the Asia-Pacific region, only to find that none of the Southeast Asian countries had a base of their own. Uncle can bear it, aunt can't bear it, so Southeast Asia has blown a "Obama whirlwind", Thailand, Myanmar, Vietnam, the Philippines and other ASEAN countries are all within the scope of the United States.
Only the Philippines and Vietnam stand with the Americans, hoping for a piece of the pie in the U.S. Asia-Pacific strategy. In November 2015, Vietnam joined the Trans-Pacific Partnership, known as the "economic NATO," led by the U.S. in order to cooperate with the U.S. military's containment of China in the South China Sea.
Vietnam had welcomed U.S. ships to visit Cam Ranh Bay and sought to use the base to supply U.S. Navy vessels. However, after the standoff between China and the United States, the Philippines turned to China and Vietnam began to cause trouble in the South China Sea.
In contrast, China and ASEAN have jointly promoted the development of a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea, emphasizing a balance of interests for all parties, in stark contrast to the unilateral predation of the United States, which has won the appreciation of ASEAN countries.
Obama's "pivot to the Asia-Pacific strategy" has not made substantial progress except for rhetoric, and the United States has not increased its power in Southeast Asia, especially in the South China Sea. So when the Philippines turned to China, Vietnam was very anxious.
The Vietnamese began to realize that blindly playing for the Americans would only lead to their isolation on Indochina. The transformation of China's manufacturing industry has become an inevitable trend, and it seems that only ASEAN has the ability to take over the transfer of China's manufacturing industry.
Watching countries such as Cambodia and Laos enjoy prosperity along with China, it has gradually become clear to the Vietnamese that if they do not seize the opportunity quickly, they may miss out on all the benefits.
In the South China Sea, Chinese dredgers are reclaiming land in a day faster than Vietnam in a year. They can't beat China, and they can't count on the United States, so Vietnam has decided to put down its dignity and focus on economic development, constantly showing goodwill to China.
Under the pressure of the United States to oppose globalization, the world economy is developing in the direction of regional economies, and the relationship between China and the ten ASEAN countries is getting closer and closer, even the Vietnamese can see this trend.
The promotion of China's southward policy has become an inevitable trend. As a resource-poor country, lacking strategic depth and primitive capital accumulation, Vietnam's development of a foreign-trade-based economy is the main way for it to rise.
However, almost all of the global industrial chain is in the hands of China, and Vietnam can only rely on China's strong chain capacity and market to undertake the development of China's industry and gradually achieve industrial upgrading.
Therefore, Vietnam's economic take-off is inseparable from China's support. In addition, Vietnam's strategic depth is rather limited, and even a single artillery shot in the South China Sea can cover most of its area, so Vietnam is self-aware.
Therefore, one of the purposes of Nguyen Phu Trong's choice to visit China against the wind is to connect with China's railways, hoping to take the train of China's rapid economic development. If there is any omission, please correct it.
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