Shanhai: **The bulls broke the high point again, and the non-agricultural data decision was strong!
Data showed an increase in initial jobless claims in the United States last week on Thursday, which put pressure on the dollar, which pushed gold prices stronger, coupled with the stimulus of the geopolitical situation, ** showed room for a big rise, breaking the previous double top of 2062 high. The current market uncertainty is on Friday's non-farm payrolls, while investors' focus now turns to Friday's US non-farm payrolls data for further clarification on the direction of interest rates. If labor market data is weak on Friday, gold prices could go further, as expectations of lower Fed interest rates now tend to favor non-yield assets. So let's do a good job of risk control and trade cautiously!
The U.S. dollar performed more strongly on Thursday than on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday, and the U.S. dollar was at 103 under the influence of Thursday's unemployment benefits data8 high out of the **, the lowest at 102The 8 low, compared to the other three transactions, the performance is weaker, but it can be seen from the intraday that although the dollar came out of the ** on Thursday, it did not break the previous high ** range, and remained at 1025 support on **, therefore, it is still too early to say that the dollar has weakened from a high ** to a bear, so the dollar will be in the current weak environment to see if the non-farm data will open the temporary range.
All roads, whether active or passive, are your choice, a certain period of life, there is only one taste, no matter how bitter your heart is, no matter how envious you are of others, you can only immerse yourself in this taste, either numb and sinking, or cheer up to save yourself. Don't say that there is no choice in life, in fact, there are thousands of roads, and it is not a road in Huashan at any time. When it's time to take it for granted, don't shirk responsibility, don't easily let complaining become a habit, and take regret for granted. Thursday**Prompt can be seen in the 2055 2030 range**, do high and low trading, actually** Asia and Europe opened and fell near 2050, the lowest in 2030, the U.S. market began in 2030**, the first wave of highs in 2050, the second wave of data under the influence of the rapid fall back to 2040, once again skyrocketed, and at midnight high** to 2065 highs, the first wave of 2031 more than a single success in a big profit, the second wave of the rise to be honest did not see, so, Missed out on this wave of deals**. Currently around 2055, the focus today is on after the non-farm payrolls data. **Also at 225 out of the space, Shanghai gold, Rongtong gold is at a high level, Shanghai silver is out of 5850 out of the big rise again, currently remaining near 5950, the same new layout waiting for the release of non-agricultural data!
The beginning of the day to give the direction and important points: Friday**focus on the non-agricultural data, the data is optimistic** in the 2062 2040 range, after the non-agricultural data, look at the data performance, the data is bullish, look at 2078 above, and look at 2030 below the data bearish! Thursday** at 2065 2030, although the review is relatively simple, but its actual trend is more complicated, Asia and Europe first near 2050**, the lowest in 2030, nearly down 20 US dollars, the US market is near 2030**, the first wave is the highest at 2050, the second wave is back to 2040 and then higher to 2065, to be honest, the first wave is easy to see at 2030, and the mountains and seas also gave a long order of 2031, However, it is more difficult to make an effective transaction after the second wave of sharp fall to 2040 and then soar again, unless you choose to chase orders brainlessly, but this is not in line with the style of mountains and seas, so the second wave is not bullish. After midnight back adjustment, the lowest at midnight is around 2051, at present**in 2055,**go here to determine two points first, first,**overall temporary is an absolute bullish trend, the early bullish for a month, finally reached the target point of mountains and seas ** 2062, second, above 2062, **absolutely do not chase long, brainless bullish, and immediately have the impact of non-agricultural data, so, wait for the non-agricultural data to be released and then look at the long and short, whether the strength of the effective conversion. From a technical point of view, after Thursday's sharp rise, the daily cycle is likely to appear unilateral, although the temporary performance is not very clear, but if the non-agricultural data is bearish, continue on Friday, then, the daily Bollinger opening, can form a unilateral rise, and then look at the previous high of 2078 2080 highs, but if the non-agricultural data is bearish, Friday adjustment out of the fall, the daily cycle can enter the temporary ** range range, the formation of the daily cycle of the closing state, below or look at 2030, therefore, For the time being, the technical side is not easy to say, ** it must be up or down today. The performance of the small cycle H4 is definitely strong, the ** at midnight on Thursday, forming an obvious unilateral, ** system support at 2048, 2040, and the low point of 2030, the above has also been emphasized, although the temporary bullish is clear, but this cycle should not chase long, so, continue to be bullish today, but also wait to fall back to the support point to do long. It is expected that the market is waiting for the release of the non-agricultural data of the U.S. market, therefore, the intraday Asian and European markets are not very volatile, and the effective range is optimistic about 2062 and 2040. As for the non-agricultural data, the previous value is 21w, the **value is 18w, if the actual data is close to the **value, it is bullish**, if the actual data is between the previous value and the **value, then the **may**sweep, the non-agricultural data Shanhai is optimistic about the actual data between the previous value and the **value, and the former bias is biased towards the previous value.
Spot** fell first on Thursday, with a minimum of 22Around 5, there was another big rise, with a maximum of 232 nearby, the overall performance of **strong, although the mountains and seas clearly give the spot ** will be 226/23.2 range**, but there was no clear trading prompt for long on Thursday, so this wave of ** space was missed. The current price is around 23, and today ** will be a simple look, focusing on the non-agricultural data after the release, and the upper focus is on 235 gains and losses, break the position to see 24, below the focus on 225 support, if it falls below 22, wait for the data to be released and then give medium and long-term trading tips!
The international ** came out of a big drop on Thursday, with a high around 77 and a low at 73Around 8, ** close to 32 US dollars, Thursday Shanhai reminded that Thursday **may be**, and the target is near 74, this wave of ideas to keep up, do effective short orders, there is a good profit. Currently *** at 743. Obviously, this wave of **from the previous strong** has turned into a weak **, this wave of bears has not yet ended, in the process of **, cyclical or bearish to 70 lows, therefore, Friday can continue to be short, small cycle above the focus on 752. Suppress, wait for the end of the Asia-Europe market** to short.
*Aspect: 1: Shanghai Gold 2406 contract.
Shanghai gold on Thursday took a wave of strong **, the lowest near 481, the highest near 485, originally optimistic that Shanghai gold will not perform much on Thursday, will go a small **, so, this wave of ** did not do low long, missed the long profits. At present** near 485, here to emphasize two points, first, Shanghai gold as a whole or bulls ** trend unchanged, above do not guess the high, second, although Shanghai gold is bullish, but above 485 do not chase long, beware of sweeping*** Therefore, the current point in time and this price is not recommended to operate, keep a wait-and-see at the same time, see if this Friday's non-agricultural data can get out of the temporary bullish high ** range, and then give effective trading tips after the data.
2: Rongtong gold.
Rongtong gold on Thursday also went high in the slow rise of 483, this wave of ** trading did not give a trading hint, temporarily ** near 483, relatively speaking, Rongtong gold is stronger, certainly can not look at the **space, at the same time** there is no high point to guess, to rise may also rise sharply, but it is still to be emphasized that Rongtong gold should not chase high above 485, rather miss the big rise after 485 than do high trading. Today, let's look at the specific impact of the non-agricultural data, and then make an effective layout after the non-agricultural data.
3: Shanghai Bank 2406 contract.
Shanghai silver on Wednesday, Thursday**, down to the lowest at 5850, in fact, I want to do long at this point, this point is also the low point of the technical side of the H4 cycle, but because it is expected to go on Thursday, there will not be much fluctuation, so, Thursday did not give trading tips, I did not expect Thursday directly ** The highest is 5950, there is a profit margin of 100 points. If you miss it, you miss it, it doesn't matter, after all, today's non-agricultural data impact, if there is no big rise yesterday, there may be no orders. The current price is near 5930, today's **focus on non-agricultural data, Asia and Europe are not expected to be large, if the data is bullish, the upper focus is on 6000, or a sharp rise to 6120 (this is unlikely), if the data is bearish, the following is concerned about 5850, or 5800 low. Wait for the data to be released before giving a new layout.
4: Fuel 2406 contract.
After the fuel peaked to 3160 on Tuesday, Shanhai emphasized that fuel may fall back in this cycle, go to the first space, after Thursday's big fall, the lowest is currently at 3008, very obvious, after the early rise, Thursday's **, fuel has now turned weak, can continue to bearish, the following focus on the previous low of 2900, therefore, the trading can be shorted in the medium term, as for whether it can form a unilateral breaking trend, it depends on the actual changes in the near future.
5: Soda ash 2406 contract.
Soda ash continued to fluctuate slightly on Thursday, not much, at present**around 1915, Monday continued**, although Tuesday, Wednesday did not fluctuate much, Thursday fell slightly, but the overall is still in the **state, therefore, this cycle of soda ash high short orders, and increase short orders, can be held with peace of mind, patiently read this week, waiting for a larger **space below. In terms of technical performance, this week's soda ash bearish to 1800 target unchanged, there is no short single on the transaction Monday has been prompted to continue to be empty in 2030, and friends with short orders hold short orders in the early stage, waiting for the target. As for whether it can get out of the early stage of the mountains and seas ** fell below 1600, it is estimated that it will take a few years to come.
Written by Mountains and Seas.
The above article was originally written by Shanhai, **Please indicate the source. Shanhai warmly reminds that investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market. The above only represents Shanhai's personal views and is not used as a basis for operation, and the operation is at your own risk).