Introduction: The mystery of revenge in "Rain of Missiles".
The sixth cannon of the new year sounded in the sky of Ukraine, is it true that Russia is only targeting civilian buildings? Or is this a kind of merciless revenge for the incident with the Black Sea Fleet of the Ukrainian Navy "Kurnikov" the day before yesterday?
On February 15 alone, Russia carried out strikes on several locations in Ukraine, including Tu-95MS air-based cruise missiles, Iskander ballistic missiles and large-caliber cruise missiles.
The Russian ship was sunk: the counterattack of the Magur**5 drone.
Ukraine claims that it is using an unmanned water vessel called Magur**5, built at the Gdansk shipyard in Poland and put into production in 1986, when a delivery work was underway, while Kuniko military fans were on a voyage.
Magur**5 is a stealth "assassin" that has caused many damage to the Russian**, and its combat range of 800 km and high maneuverability make it a very difficult danger to detect in the oceans.
Although it is difficult to find and eliminate this small drone at night, Ukraine has successfully completed the mission, so much so that many military experts believe that Russia's counterattack this time is not a simple punishment.
Intentions for both retaliation and armistice.
Some analysts believe that although the purpose of this Russian air strike is to target civilians, it is likely to send a strong signal that they will fight back against all challenges.
The current situation between Russia and Ukraine is deadlocked, and Russia wants to maintain the current situation in order to advance the truce process, because the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions have fallen into the hands of others.
The Ukrainian side is naturally reluctant to admit that this "special operation" is a serious violation of its territory.
The difference in power in the game of great powers and their constraints.
While Russia appears to have entered a protracted war with Ukraine, the deeper problem is that both the ability and scale of Western countries to help in this war are constrained.
Military enthusiasts note that despite the continued help of the United States and Europe to Ukraine, so far they have not delivered the most advanced **, such as F16 fighter jets or ballistic missiles.
There are also speculations that if Europe and the United States really do this and give Russia a hundred F16s and dozens of fifth-generation aircraft, it will be troublesome. But what is really worrying is that Russia's huge nuclear ** stockpile is like an invisible trump card that makes them throw a rat trap.
Ukraine's predicament and the laws of survival of resource countries.
Russia is able to maintain its hegemonic position in the world primarily because it is a country with nuclear ** and has a lot of natural resources. As some critics have pointed out, Russia, without its "stinger", is likely to have been swallowed up by the forces of Europe and the United States long ago.
Moreover, as a country between Russia and Europe and the United States, Ukraine will be considered a sign of cowardice if it remains neutral, because if it takes sides, it will be suppressed by other countries.
Ukraine is in trouble, and people are beginning to think: "What kind of war is it going through to survive this war?" In fact, due to its historical relationship with Russia and the territorial dispute between the two countries, it is difficult to avoid the contradictions between the two countries.
Operational details and performance evaluation.
Judging from the latest Russian air strikes, although the number is not as large as expected, Russia has used various types of missiles, showing a more comprehensive means of attack.
According to figures released by the Ukrainian army, the Ukrainian army has intercepted more than half of the rockets launched. It is worth mentioning that the Russian news agency previously reported that Russia won a big victory with unmanned aircraft, but this time, not a single drone was seen.
Although Iran has acquired a drone** to Russia, its current use is still very low in the overall combat system, which is one of the reasons for Russia's limited manufacturing capacity.
At the same time, the widespread perception is that Russia is not willing to attack Ukraine with all it has, and only wants to maintain the status quo with a small amount of money.
The final chapter of the board: the game and development of the three.
Today's situation is like a complicated game, Russia has the "four 2s", Europe and the United States have a king bomb, in order to avoid triggering uncontrollable consequences, both are cautious.
For its part, Ukraine looks like it is doing its best for the war, but it is still pinning its hopes on finding a way through its own resistance and international aid.
Russia's missile attack in Ukraine reflects the multiple and complex influences of retaliation, strategic balance, resource competition and great power competition between Russia and Ukraine.
Both sides are balancing and testing each other, seeking a way to protect their rights and interests and minimize their harm. What kind of far-reaching impact this contradictory development will have on the future world situation is an issue that everyone who is concerned about international issues needs to ponder and discuss.