Shanhai: **The adjustment did not continue unilaterally, and the gains and losses of 2005 were paid attention to in the day!
The data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in January, rising by 3 year-on-year1%, up from 2 percent of economists surveyed9%。Traders are now pricing in three rate cuts of 25 basis points in 2024, in line with the Fed's dot plot released in December, after the market expected four cuts. The Fed may wait until June to cut interest rates. Investors will now focus on the US retail sales and producer price index (PPI) data due on Thursday and Friday, respectively, as well as the Fed's speech, which will have at least five Fed speakers this week.
There was no bright news in the market on Thursday, so the dollar, ** did not fluctuate much, of which the dollar continued Wednesday's rally, there was room for adjustment and fall, the highest at 1048 down and down, the lowest at 104Near 5, after a trading day of changes, the dollar is no longer so strong, but strong in the need to adjust, so, Thursday, Friday, the dollar may appear to fall space, below the focus on 104 low support, after falling below 104 is likely to enter the high ** range again.
If you want to get the best things in the world, you have to let the world see the best of you. Time, every day is new. From today onwards, give yourself more new possibilities: wave goodbye to the impetuous, careless, negative, and slack self. Turn your face to the sun and there will be no shadow in front of you. Determined to change, life will surely give you a new beginning. Defeating oneself is the saddest defeat, and defeating oneself is the most precious victory. Wednesday** in the 1993 1985 low range slightly**, although Shanhai in Wednesday clearly put forward the bear**, but the actual best short point was not given, so, Wednesday did not have the opportunity to short, but at the low 1988 two long are profitable, current**in 1993 nearby, today continue to look at the low ** at the same time, to see the gains and losses of the **high.
At the beginning, we will first give the direction and important points of the intraday: **Maintain weak shorts, but pay attention to**strength, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the 2005 highs above! Wednesday's main force is still empty, but the actual bearish continuation is not very strong, after three sets of *** process, the highest in 1993, the lowest in 1985, the whole not more than 10 US dollars, but the very obvious weak performance is 1993 after many tests have not broken, so, Wednesday** The main performance is still short, but not unilateral, after midnight digestion, ** near 1993, the daily line closed at a low level of small doji, For the time being, this doji is not enough to indicate that it can form a low bottom or **, but at least it shows that after two days of **, it may be weak for the time being, or it may continue** and get out of the relative high. Therefore, the core idea of Thursday and Friday is to maintain both bearishness and prevent effective strength. From a technical point of view, in addition to a little change in the daily line, the H4 cycle has also formed the basis of Lianyang ** at a low level, and destroyed the unilateral *** suppression effect on Tuesday and Wednesday, the current 5th **, 10th ** are glued at the low point, and may form a reversal hook head upward, therefore, there may be an effective ** space in the **, above or see the H4 Bollinger middle rail suppression point near 2005, therefore, even if you are short in the day, you must wait for ** to short at the 2005 high, and in the small cycle interval, After confirming the lows, it is possible to continue to try long lower in 1986. The key point is to pay attention to the impact of the U.S. market data.
The spot ** move is completely different from the ** walk, the front spot ** fell sharply, the spot ** fell slightly, and did not form a unilateral, Wednesday spot **low**, but the spot ** came out of the strong**, the highest** to 224, much more than the low ** expectations, therefore, compared to **, ** reflects the strength, but also reflects the **demand, then, Thursday, Friday spot ** at least can not continue to bearish, the probability is to go low**, the range returns to 22 232. If you want to trade, you can make medium and long-term transactions according to this range.
The international ** continued on Wednesday ** after a sharp decline, with a maximum of 787 fell back, and the current ** price is at 76Near 2, after this week's Monday, Tuesday's**, Wednesday's**, temporary long and short conversion, Thursday, Friday may continue to continue the weakness to continue to decline, below or again to the 72 low. Then, on Thursday and Friday, the trading was dominated by high-altitude, and within the technical side, the daily line closed in the negative on Wednesday and remained below the upper Bollinger band on the daily line, and the small cycle suppression point was focused on Thursday at 772 nearby, Asia-Europe ** to 77After 2, you can short bearish, and wait for the U.S. market ** space, below or see 745 lows.
*Aspects: The major traders have been suspended and closed, no longer update trading ideas during the Spring Festival, and everything is normal after the opening after the holiday, everyone keeps short positions and spends the New Year with peace of mind!
Written by Mountains and Seas.
The above article was originally written by Shanhai, **Please indicate the source. Shanhai warmly reminds that investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market. The above only represents Shanhai's personal views and is not used as a basis for operation, and the operation is at your own risk).