Personally, I believe that A-shares at this time have reached the most bearish moment in history.
Someone must have come out to refute it, now it's just constantly, but it's stronger than the previous moments such as the thousand-share drop limit and circuit breaker.
Yes, let me add to you, in the past, during the bear market, there were stocks that appeared in the top 10 lists of the day.
No matter how bad it is now, there are some limit stocks every day.
Why is it that now is the beariest time?
I have two main reasons:
1. Lack of a larger level**.
The three major indices of the Shanghai Stock Exchange, Shenzhen Stock Exchange and ChiNext have been in the negative for six consecutive months, which is an unprecedented situation in history.
At the same time, the Shanghai Composite effectively fell below the 20-year annual line.
The point of this technology is that a lot of money thinks that something hasn't happened in our capital markets for 20 years.
In 08, it fell from 6124 points to 1664, miserable, right? But there is also a monthly level in the middle;
15 years have been miserable, and there are large ** in the middle;
In the whole year of 2018, there will also be ** months.
The psychological activity of the bear market is actually that there are some funds that still have hope for the future, and they think that other funds are the same, so at the extreme, when the management has a rescue action, most of the funds are temporarily agreed, and there is not much selling pressure.
So every time a big bear market is close to the limit, almost all of the market is close to the limit.
At that time, although the leeks also complained and ate noodles, they had fire in their hearts, but whenever they gave some concepts, a little story, and a little stabilization, their hearts began to move.
And this **bear market, there is no similar big**, and it has been six consecutive months of negative closing.
The two quarreled, dropped things when they were emotional, and demolished their homes, but in fact, there is also the possibility of easing. But if you ignore anyone for half a year or even a year, it is estimated that you will be divorced.
Heart death is the most terrible.
2. "Expectations" are weak.
* It is to speculate on expectations, and we can colloquially say "expectations" as stories.
Others are greedy and you are afraid, and others are afraid of you are greedy" is actually poisonous chicken soup, because "others are afraid" is not a sufficient and necessary condition at the bottom.
Don't look at the most pessimistic moments of the market in the past, which often ushered in the bottom, in fact, "market pessimism" is not the main reason for the reversal, but in the past, there were official bailouts and a "big story" began to circulate at such moments.
The annual equity division reform, 4 trillion yuan in 09 years, two financial integration in 15 years, and the Chinese dream ...... in the year (small bull market).
Appropriately increased liquidity, effective bailouts at the top, and the "story" that everyone believes in are the conditions for the bottom.
And now, there are many bailout actions, I don't know if it is effective, the market will judge;
Also, what is the "big story" of the future?
I don't know, what do you say?
I hope that when the first quarterly report arrives intensively, there will be fewer "ghost stories".
This year, we can only hope that the country on the other side of the sea will cut interest rates, and if there is, we will definitely **.
Every time I talk about this, someone will say how to solve it?
In the long run, it is ...... to choose a real market economy, emancipate the mind, and seek truth from facts
In the short term, there is only a moratorium on the IPO.
A patient lying on the hospital bed with tubes all over his body, if you don't give him "major surgery", that is, you don't want to make big changes to the A-share investment environment, but he is in this situation, you can't let this patient donate blood every day.
I know this can't be either.
So how to solve it as an ordinary person?
I've said the same old saying so many times over and over again last year:
If you've left completely, don't come back because of anything.
If you listened to me last year, you would have lost a lot less money this year.
The funny thing is: in the last two trading days of 2023, the market gave two "red envelopes", that is, I said that everyone tacitly does the market value together, and the summary of various institutions is easy to write.
But because of these two shrunken "red envelopes", some people also attacked me on some platforms and said that I didn't come back after listening to my words, and as a result, I missed the ** of these two days....
It's not a counterstatement, it's a real dissatisfaction and attack.
I didn't hesitate and happily blocked it.
If there are red envelopes** before the Spring Festival, please don't come back because of this.
* Don't come back for a month and hold on to your money until the overall environment is fundamentally improved.
Happy New Year, what is the filling of your dumplings tonight?
Is the South celebrating the New Year tomorrow?