Recently.
The Dongguan Municipal Bureau of Statistics released Dongguan's economic data.
The total annual GDP is 114381.3 billion yuan.
This is an increase of 2 over the previous year6%
If you want to describe it in one word.
That is: bottoming out and stabilizing.
At the end of the year and the beginning of the year, "the dragon raises its head".
From Dongguan economical.
There are four dimensions: "book", "market", "human face" and "back".
Feel the pulse and development trend of Dongguan's economy.
Look at the "books".
Stable in front, low in the middle, and rising in the back
The positive trend has been further consolidated
This list of achievements is hard to come by and gratifying. Under the impact of multiple external risks, Dongguan still survived. Liu Jinshan, doctoral supervisor of the School of Economics of Jinan University and director of the Investment Consulting (Research) Center, told reporters. "Although the growth rate is not high, 1.The total economic output of 14 trillion yuan is still very admirable in terms of scale, and it is an important growth pole in the province and even the entire Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. ”
In 2023, in the face of more complex and changeable international situations, insufficient demand is still prominent, and the production and sales of leading industries continue to be under pressure, this report card is not easy, which is the result of Dongguan's efforts to gather the city's strength. Experts told Dongguan reporters that from the perspective of various data, the accumulation of positive factors has increased, and the momentum of economic recovery has increased.
Dongguan adheres to the urban characteristics of "scientific and technological innovation + advanced manufacturing", and manufacturing is the economic lifeblood of Dongguan. Since June, Dongguan's industry has continued to recover, and industrial electricity consumption has gradually recovered, with industrial electricity consumption increasing by 3 percent year-on-year from January to December3%, an increase of 4 over the first half of the year7 percentage points, the growth rate of industrial added value has turned from negative to positive since August, and has maintained positive growth in a single month for five consecutive months. Among the "five branches and four special" industries, the leading industries continued to rebound, and the added value of the electronic information manufacturing industry increased by 17%, an increase of 3 over the first three quarters2 percentage points; The food and beverage processing and manufacturing industry increased by 100%；The chemical manufacturing industry grew by 41%。
Liu Jinshan said that in the case of slowing down or declining economic growth, the market share of food and beverage processing and manufacturing industry, as a necessity for residents, is also relatively stable, and it has the power to pass through the economic cycle.
Liu Jinshan said that the electronic information manufacturing industry is the pillar industry of Dongguan, and the double-digit growth in the fourth quarter is a big reason for the active promotion of Huawei, OPPO and vivo, commonly known as "three mobile phones". In particular, in September last year, Huawei Mate60 was born in Songshan Lake, Dongguan, which attracted global attention and greatly encouraged the confidence of China's smartphone manufacturing and Dongguan's electronic information manufacturing industry.
Bai Ming, a member and researcher of the Academic Degrees Committee of the Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, said that Dongguan's dependence on foreign trade ranks among the top in the country, and it is more directly affected by the global economy. In 2023, Dongguan's foreign trade will withstand the pressure, and the total import and export value of the whole year will reach 128 trillion yuan, continuing to rank fifth in the country and second in Guangdong Province. Among them, the fourth quarter was an increase of 77%, reversing the decline in the first three quarters. From a single month point of view, the growth rate of imports and exports has maintained positive growth for three consecutive months after turning positive from October, and increased by 11 in December5%, the growth rate reached the peak of the year, and its exports and imports increased respectively. 8%。"It's very resilient to stay in the top five! Bai Ming believes that Dongguan's foreign trade stamina is still sufficient.
Look at the "market".
"Fireworks" are back quickly
The market vitality is constantly increasing
Behind the big "account", there are not only industries and factory workshops, but also market merchants and thousands of lights. Each market entity connects the lifeblood of the economy, and it is also related to people's firewood, rice, oil, salt, three meals and four seasons.
Since the beginning of 2023, many Dongguan citizens have clearly felt the rapid return of the "fireworks" of the residential catering industry.
Under the epidemic, the accommodation and catering industry has borne the brunt, and the turnover of Dongguan's accommodation and catering industry will increase by an average of 2 per year from 2020 to 20225%, which is at a low operating level. With the smooth transition of epidemic prevention and control, the accommodation and catering industry has accelerated its recovery. Since the beginning of 2023, many Dongguan citizens have clearly felt the rapid return of the "fireworks" of the residential catering industry.
The year-end accommodation and catering industry grew by 139%。Among them, the performance of key accommodation enterprises was outstanding, and the turnover of the top 50 enterprises in the accommodation industry increased by 337%, driving the cumulative growth of the accommodation industry above the limit by 212 percentage points; The catering service industry accounts for the largest proportion of the catering industry and has strong support, accounting for 40 percent of the city's catering industry0%, an increase of 192%, pull limit on the catering industry 79 percentage points.
This shows that Dongguan's 'fireworks' are accelerating their return. Wang Xianqing, chairman of the South China Business Think Tank of Guangdong University of Finance and Economics and president of the Guangdong Business Economics Association, said that a series of pro-consumption policies promoted by Dongguan last year have achieved results.
Online retail has become a new growth point for consumption in Dongguan. The online retail sales of units increased by 7% year-on-year7%, an increase of 6 percent over the first three quarters8 percentage points. The volume of express delivery business has grown steadily, and the volume of parcels collected and delivered in Dongguan from January to December increased by 19% year-on-year8%。In this regard, Wang Xianqing said that Dongguan, which dares to be the first, is good at seizing the e-commerce outlet to promote consumption, making online retail a new growth point for Dongguan consumption.
In addition, the demand for life and upgrades, which are closely related to the people, continues to be released. The total retail sales of basic living commodities in the city's units above the limit were 2514.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 95%, an increase of 4 over the first three quarters9 percentage points, pulling the limit of the society to eliminate 12 percentage points; The growth rate of upgraded consumption accelerated: the city's communication equipment category (1082%), cosmetics (136.).0%), Chinese and Western medicines (30.).4%), sports and entertainment (550%), gold, silver and jewelry (67.).2%), furniture (199%), and other upgraded goods achieved double-digit growth.
Wang Xianqing said that judging from the data, Dongguan City has achieved remarkable results in expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption. On the one hand, daily consumption represented by clothing, shoes and hats, knitted textiles and daily necessities has recovered and stabilized. High-end consumption, represented by high-quality high-end consumption represented by cosmetics, communication equipment, gold, silver and jewelry, has achieved significant growth. "This not only reflects the steady recovery of the scale of consumption, but also mainly reflects the huge changes in the consumption structure. Middle-class consumption is gradually dominant, and the trend of a new generation of consumption upgrading has basically been finalized. Wang Xianqing said.
In addition, with the transition of epidemic prevention and control, contact activities such as online education, tourism, and movie viewing industries are frequent, driving the rapid growth of the cultural, sports and entertainment service industry. From January to November 2023, the revenue of the culture, sports and entertainment industry increased by 16% year-on-year2%, an increase of 36 percent over the whole of last year4 percentage points, showing a rapid recovery momentum.
Wang Xianqing said that from the perspective of consumption content, the consumption of online education, tourism, culture and sports has increased significantly, indicating that the cultivation of new forms and new models of consumption in the early stage has achieved remarkable results, which is also a vivid embodiment of the continuous improvement of people's lives, the stability of the overall social situation, and the warm hearts of people's livelihood.
Look at the "human face".
People's livelihood indicators are generally stable
The people's sense of gain continues to increase
Modernization should not only look at the indicators and data on paper, but also look at the happiness and well-being of the people. Wang Xianqing said that the "city" is thriving, and the "fireworks" are returning, in the final analysis, it is still the people's livelihood.
Employment is the biggest livelihood project - data shows that in 2023, 11 new urban jobs will be created in the city70,000 people, the scale of residents' income has risen steadily, and the disposable income of Dongguan residents is 6570,000 yuan, an increase of 29%, an increase of 02 percentage points; The urban-rural income ratio is 144, a decrease of 001 percentage point. The fiscal revenue has increased steadily, and the city's general public budget revenue is 804800 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 51%。In the city's general public budget expenditure, the municipal expenditure in the field of people's livelihood accounted for more than 70%, of which the housing security expenditure increased by 141 percent, and spending on education increased by 8 percent7%。
In the context of the overall economic pressure, Dongguan can also ensure that the scale of residents' income is stable and rising, which is not easy. Bai Ming said that the disposable income of Dongguan residents has basically synchronized with economic growth, and even slightly higher than the economic growth rate, which is a positive reflection of the macroeconomic growth effect on the income side of residents. "In addition, the 'lion' of public budget expenditure is given to people's livelihood spending, which is a manifestation of adhering to the people-oriented approach and improving people's livelihood and well-being. After all, the education and support of children, the employment of young people, and the medical treatment and pension of the elderly are all matters of people's livelihood, which are family affairs and national affairs. ”
Not only has people's livelihood improved, but residents' consumption** has also tended to be generally stable - in 2023, the city's residents' consumption ** index (CPI) will decrease by 01%。The eight categories of goods (services)** index showed a trend of "four rises, one flat and three declines". Other supplies and services**17%, educational, cultural and recreation**14%, daily necessities and services**10%, Health Care **11%, food, tobacco and alcohol were flat, and housing decreased by 02%, and clothing decreased by 07%, and the transportation and communication category fell by 23%。
The index of eight categories of commodities showed a trend of four rises, one flat and three declines, indicating that the integrated market economy was stable and orderly, stable and improving, the quality consumption rebounded, and the daily life consumption declined slightly, which is a scene of residents living and working in peace and contentment. Wang Xianqing said.
Look at the "back".
Business investment confidence continues to recover
The "fundamentals" of economic development that have been positive for a long time will not change
After reading the "book" of the economy, the "market" of the factory workshop, and the "human face" of the lights of thousands of homes, let's take a look at the "back" of Dongguan's economy - what is the development momentum of Dongguan's economy after bottoming out and stabilizing?
Again, look at investment first - investment represents the development of stamina, but also represents confidence in the future. In 2023, the city's fixed asset investment will increase by 27%, higher than the provincial average, of which the investment in advanced manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing industry has a good growth trend, and the city's investment in advanced manufacturing has increased by 5% year-on-year8%, faster than the city's fixed asset investment of 31 percentage point, accounting for 26 percent of the city's fixed asset investment0%, an increase of 07 percentage points.
The investment is very stable, and you can see more confidence when you look closely. In Dongguan, the "investment year", the "Dongguan speed" of project construction has been constantly refreshed - a total of 136 industrial projects with more than 100 million yuan have been delisted throughout the year, an increase of 462%, 16 projects were delisted and started, and 49 projects were signed and landed in the same year. "As these investment projects continue to land, the supporting role of the real economy will continue to be strengthened. Liu Jinshan said.
There is another value that can observe the development potential of Dongguan's economy, that is, the growth of Dongguan's market players, in other words, how many people are willing to become "Dongguan bosses". Judging from the release, this set of data is gratifying: 31 new market entities were added throughout the year30,000 households. It shows that Dongguan's market vitality is still the same, and the innovation and entrepreneurship environment is good. Liu Jinshan said.
The reporter also noted that since entering 2024, Dongguan's leading indicators have fully demonstrated that investors' confidence is continuing to recover.
As of the end of January, the city's electricity consumption increased by more than 90% year-on-year, and industrial electricity consumption increased by more than 120% year-on-year, even compared with the same period of the lunar calendar, it also increased by more than 10%; It is estimated that the amount of industrial procurement will increase by about 35% year-on-year, and the amount of industrial invoicing will increase by about 40% year-on-year; Market Entities 173540,000 households, a year-on-year increase of 102%, ranking first among prefecture-level cities in the province.
Step through the thorns, and you will meet flowers. At the beginning of the new year, Dongguan clearly put forward the manufacturing industry as the foundation, the "millions of projects" as the leader, the "investment year" action as a breakthrough, and the city's first "No. 1 document" in the form of a new type of industrialization, a set of combination punches, undoubtedly to enterprises and investors to eat a "reassuring pill". With the increasing resilience and stamina of Dongguan's economic development, it is believed that this year, Dongguan will continue to maintain good "fundamentals" and usher in new development in 2024.
*: Dongguan + Editor: Zhong Xinling.
Proofreader: Li Xiuying.