2024 Chinese New Year outlook
According to the Associated Press and Reuters, on February 6, local time, the U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan vote by an overwhelming majority (92 votes to 5) to confirm the "China expert" Kurt Campbell as deputy secretary of state.
Campbell, 66 years old, currently serves as the White House senior assistant for Asian affairs, ** committee "Indo-Pacific affairs coordinator", this person has deep political qualifications, as early as the Obama administration, he was the top diplomat in charge of Asian affairs, the United States**'s "return to Asia" policy is this person involved in the formulation, and Campbell is involved in almost all matters of Biden's Asia policy, and he himself is considered a "China expert".
Judging from his words and deeds, Campbell is undoubtedly a hard-line politician on China, and according to reports, as early as 2016, Campbell elaborated on his attitude towards Asia in his own book. Believing that China's rise would threaten U.S. hegemony, he advocated that the U.S. should strengthen its existing Asian alliances and establish closer relations with countries such as India and Indonesia in order to contain China's rise. In recent years, the United States has launched a series of policies against China, such as the United States launched a war against China in 2018; organizing the "Quad Alliance" of the United States, Japan, India and Australia; Campbell has been involved in the formation of the AUKUS Group and so on.
In fact, judging from the current domestic political environment in the United States, whoever is appointed to this post will not have much impact on Sino-US relations, because now that "anti-China" has become a kind of political correctness in the United States, US politicians are competing to see who can speak more ruthlessly about China and who can undermine Sino-US relations more, and the politicians who can speak harshly and undermine Sino-US relations will be the most popular. In such an environment, no matter who serves as the deputy secretary of state of the United States, the anti-China actions of the United States will become more and more frequent and more dangerous. Under these circumstances, we cannot ask the US side to take the initiative to recognize the reality and return to the right track of Sino-US friendship, but we do not need to be too pessimistic, in fact, we only need to seize two opportunities to launch an effective counterattack against the United States.
First, if the U.S. national power continues to weaken, the U.S. will have to adjust its China policy. The reason why the United States is able to run amok and hegemon in the world is fundamentally dependent on the powerful comprehensive national strength of the United States, especially the military strength of the US military. But with the continuous decline of the United States' national strength, the U.S. military is no longer "invincible", and now in the Russian-Ukrainian war, with the full support of the United States and 31 NATO countries, Ukraine is still defeated by Russia and lost its territory. This has made many countries in the world question the United States.
Meanwhile, in the Middle East, U.S. forces in Syria and Iraq have been attacked 168 times since October last year, killing 146 people**. In the Red Sea, the US military's powerful aircraft carrier battle group has been fighting back and forth with the Houthi armed forces, nicknamed the "Slipper Army," which shows that the United States' overall national strength, especially its military strength, has declined sharply. When the United States can no longer cover the sky with one hand, naturally more and more countries will begin to seek to develop friendly relations with China, and this is also the best time for us to launch a counterattack against the United States.
Second, as the Chinese saying goes, "to strike iron, we need to be hard." In order to effectively restrain US ambitions, we still need to vigorously develop our own economic and military strength, and only when we are so strong that the United States does not dare to underestimate it can the United States truly calm down and cooperate with us. After all, "what you can't get on the battlefield, you can't get at the negotiating table."
However, it should be pointed out that this year is also the first year of the United States, so although Campbell can be elected deputy secretary of state with a high vote, how long he can sit in this position is still a question, after all, once Trump wins in **, then the entire United States will face a "big change", so for such a deputy secretary of state who may be fired at any time, we really don't need to pay too much attention, but should focus more on ourselves, as for how Americans want to toss, Just let them toss!