Trump is back on the stage, if he succeeds in the election? The impact on China may be limited

Mondo International Updated on 2024-02-16

About Trump's return to the United States ** and his impact.

Trump's re-election has raised concerns about the impact and concerns that his re-election will have on China. However, even if Trump is re-elected, the impact on China will not be significant. First, although Trump introduced a set of measures aimed at containing China and the United States at the beginning of his presidency, the results were not satisfactory. Obama's presidency ended with a record deficit between China and the United States, while U.S. imports to China fell 25 percent from a year earlier. This shows that Trump's ** policy has not changed the economic and political-economic relationship between China and the United States. Trump's China strategy has not completely closed off China, so China's development has not been affected by this.

Despite Trump's promise to boost U.S. economic growth through deregulation and tax cuts, his actions have not had a lasting effect. Although he has implemented some measures to increase spending, the US economy is still not growing as expected. Therefore, if Trump is re-elected, China's impact on his economy will be minimal. Mr. Trump has focused on internal problems, advocating a return to seclusion, and putting more money and energy into growing his economy and jobs. Therefore, Trump's election will have a huge impact on China without a significant impact on China's economy.

Trump is back in his own hands.

If Trump is re-elected, his new policy will focus more on his closed-door strategy and more on domestic affairs. Trump may be able to boost trust in the economy by increasing financial investment to reduce the burden of work, and strengthening the military and the military to drive out these illegal immigrants and provide more jobs for the people. Therefore, it is likely that Trump will implement a strategic downsizing of his new term, that is, reduce its combat forces abroad and focus more on his own work and efforts to advance its development.

Trump's self-isolation has also been reflected in the international community. If re-elected, he will abandon the Wall Street and oligarchy-dominated United States** to focus more on domestic industry and more control over illegal immigration. Trump's policy orientation may allow him to focus less on his allies and more on national development and employment. Therefore, the United States has every opportunity to adopt stricter ** guarantees to protect its own industry and jobs under Trump.

Trump leans toward diplomacy in the Middle East.

Trump, a key figure in the oil-dominated dollar, is highly likely to get more bailouts from the Middle East. There is a good chance that Trump will station troops in the Persian Gulf to ensure US control over oil prices. Trump could strengthen the Middle East's strategic importance by preventing the emergence of a great power or a political alliance in the region, thereby weakening the United States' ability to control oil prices, which in turn will hit the American economy hard. Therefore, it is highly likely that Trump will launch a large-scale military operation in the Middle East for the purpose of safeguarding the interests of the region.

After Trump takes office, it is highly likely that he will make the adjustment of his Middle East policy a priority. There is also a risk of relieving the situation to the situation before the 2003-2008 decade. However, we should also note that with the gradual decline of the influence of the United States in the international community, the rise of a rising power like China has brought about major changes in the global political and economic ecology. In the face of such a new international situation, the Trump administration may have to adopt a more flexible and pragmatic diplomatic strategy.

Overview. If Trump runs again, then his influence on China will be curbed in a sense. Trump could have adopted a more protective policy, retreating to the old path of closing off the country and focusing on his own economy and jobs. It is highly likely that he will stop providing support to allies and send more troops into the Middle East to safeguard U.S. interests in the region. It is worth noting, however, that the current global political and economic situation is much different from the beginning of Trump's presidency. In the face of the new international situation, Trump may need to adopt a more flexible and pragmatic diplomatic strategy to safeguard the national interests of the United States.

My Opinion, Insight, and Experience: As can be seen from the shock of Trump's re-election, the impact on China will be more focused on domestic issues. However, despite Trump's more conservative stance on China and his preference for protection, the economic, political, and security relationship between the two countries remains important as China continues to be globally connected. Therefore, regardless of whether Trump is re-elected, China and the United States must face various issues together through dialogue and cooperation to achieve a win-win situation. For China, building an open economic system and strengthening internal reforms and diplomacy can better prepare itself in the face of a changing world situation.

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