**: A share pseudo-interpretation.
2024-02-06 14:57:55
Disk analysis] U.S. stocks are still the rhythm of the highest trend, which has also led to an obvious historical high trend in the peripheral financial market, and most valuations have reached new highs. Under the trend of 3,000 shares, A-shares continued to open the mode of pulling up the index, but there were always less than 2,000 red plates on Tuesday, which means that more than half of them are **, and the number of falling limits is still hundreds, and more than thousands. The main funds opened on Tuesday to use the ChiNext and Shenzhen Stock Exchange Component Index to stabilize the trend of small-cap stocks, and then pulled up the Shanghai Index to turn red, and the northbound funds entered the market to participate slightly, but the funds were not enthusiastic, which is related to the recent "liquidation line" of the company, and there was a pessimistic situation in the index on the disk.
Riding a bull and watching a bear found that the large consumption sector fell with **, the market pessimism fermented to lead to the mud and sand, some tourism stocks are obviously good, in just 3 weeks** more than 40%, people exclaimed that "value investment" is a gimmick to deceive me into the market. CSI Consumer PE is 243x, CSI optional PE is 148x, all below the level of minus one standard deviation since 2015. Leading companies in the segment with large market capitalization are more concentrated, and generally have the characteristics of high dividend yields. The Spring Festival holiday kicked off, ice and snow tours, and cold travel are heating up in an all-round way, and the number of passenger trips in traditional commercial transportation, including railways, highways, civil aviation, and water transport, is expected to reach 1.8 billion, and the remaining 7.2 billion people travel by car, a record high.
The three major indexes collectively opened low, and the two cities opened directly with a thousand shares falling to the limit, and suddenly there was a feeling that the opening was the first, and the theme plate banking, electricity, wine and other sectors performed strongly, and the shell resources, new towns, aquatic products and other sectors performed poorly. The new quality productivity continues to be strong, Kelai Electromechanical 4 boards, Zhongzhong Technology, Fenglong shares and other shares of the daily limit, recently "new quality productivity" has become a hot word. As the key to achieving industrial transformation and upgrading and high-quality development, accelerating the cultivation of new quality productivity is ushering in the intensive deployment of the first to the local level. In terms of policy guidance, many places have given specific plans for accelerating the development of new quality productive forces in their work reports.
Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, LONGi Green Energy, and Curtin University in Australia cooperated to manufacture crystalline silicon heterojunction solar cells with high flexibility and high power-to-weight ratio for the first time in the world. The researchers say the crystalline silicon cells they developed are thinner than A4 paper, can be bent into a roll, and thinner than thin-film cells, making them more efficient than traditional crystalline silicon cells. Rare earth permanent magnet plate fast**, China rare earth led the gains, Northern rare earths, China security and others followed, rare earths ** may have bottomed out and are expected to be later this year**, due to demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and wind power, and China, as a major producer, is expected to remove expanded production quotas.
The CPO sector bottomed out and rebounded, optical library technology rose more than 12%, Zhongji Innolight, Huagong Technology, etc. rose more than 5%, and Nvidia's U.S. stock rose to 5% overnight, continuing to hit a record high, with a total market value of 171 trillion dollars. According to Yole's data, from 2022 to 2028, the CAGR of the market size of silicon photonic chips will reach 44%, of which Datacom optical modules account for more than 90% of the silicon photonic chip market, which is the main application scenario. Technology giants such as Nvidia, Intel, TSMC and Broadcom are vying to deploy silicon photonics technology in areas such as optical interconnection, and breakthroughs are imminent. **Pharmaceutical concept** rebounded, Lepu Medical rose more than 12%, Salubris, Livzon Group and other top gainers, Novo Nordisk's major shareholder Novo Holdings announced that it would acquire the U.S.-based biopharmaceutical contract manufacturer Cantrent in an all-cash transaction.
GEM:
*Prediction] The Shanghai Composite Index opened low and went high on Tuesday, rising nearly 4% intraday, and was counterattacked by bears near 2 o'clock in the afternoon, which also drove some funds to rush up and reduce positions. At this stage, the market index has risen too fast, and the strength is small, even if you open with a falling limit, it has risen slightly by 1%, and it seems that the amplitude has reached 11%, but in fact you only earn 1%, which is also the most uncomfortable place for investors. The CSI 1000 Index was once **8 in the afternoon1%, the largest one-day increase in history. Next, pay attention to whether the Shanghai Composite Index can stabilize above 2750 points.
The ChiNext index rose nearly 7% intraday on Tuesday, and the two cities have indeed experienced a lot from the opening 1,000-share limit to the 100-share limit. It's just that the day before more than 3,000 ** down limit, today there is not even a 300-share limit, most of the disks are just blood, if you want not to lose money this week, the index must continue to rise in the next 3 days, otherwise everyone is still watching a lively look. At present, there is no main direction for the theme plate to rise, and it is still dominated by ***, it depends on who is "flipped" by big money. Next, pay attention to whether the GEM index can stabilize above 1630 points.
Every trading day, from 8 to 10 p.m., write out my plan for the next day, update the day's lunch review from 12 noon to 1 p.m. the next day, and update the plan for the previous night.
Gold Rush Plan].
The recent trend is similar to that of 2015, with liquidity difficulties for small and medium-sized companies. The China Securities Regulatory Commission said that it will severely punish the manipulation of the market and maliciously short, and effectively maintain the stable operation of the market, but the policy slogan has a substantial alleviation of the market, and it is still necessary to increase efforts in the market. "It's hard to change the mood of the current bear market with such a mentality. The good news is that there are still 3 days left for the Spring Festival, so you don't need to look at the market!
The concepts of medicine, vitamins and chemical fiber in the theme sector are the main participating sectors in the net inflow of funds, and the concepts of shell resources, aquatic products, and property management are relatively large sectors with a relatively large net outflow of funds. In terms of big consumption, the PE (TTM) of the A-share food and beverage industry is in the 27th percentile (227x), the lower sub-sector quantile is dairy (0%, 18.).3x), beer (0%, 231x) and nutraceuticals (0%, 173x）。
According to Ctrip's data, travel-related orders during the Spring Festival holiday increased by more than 7 times year-on-year, of which the number of orders for ice and snow travel products increased by more than 10 times year-on-year. According to Tongcheng Travel data, the holiday tourism popularity in Harbin, Mohe, Baishan, Yanji and other places increased by more than 100% year-on-year.
According to Fliggy's data, outbound travel bookings during the Spring Festival holiday increased by more than 15 times year-on-year. The outbound travel policy has catalyzed the recovery of flight capacity, and the performance of outbound tourism is promising. With the continuous optimization of visa-free and outbound policies, the expansion of the number of countries and regions for outbound group tours for the third time, and the further recovery of international flight capacity, travel agencies and platforms related to outbound group tours are expected to be the first to benefit.
The popularity of domestic ice and snow tourism has hit a new high, and the search volume of ice and snow entries on the official website of Zhongxin Travel has increased by 500% year-on-year. In terms of travel distance, according to Ctrip data, in 2024, only 25% of the province's peripheral travel will be traveled, and 75% of inter-provincial long-distance travel will be during the Spring Festival. In terms of outbound travel, with the continuous recovery of international flight capacity since 2023 and the continuous facilitation of destination visa policies, outbound travel is expected to accelerate its recovery.
Every trading day, from 8 to 10 p.m., write out my plan for the next day, update the day's lunch review from 12 noon to 1 p.m. the next day, and update the plan for the previous night.