Kunpeng Project
The black iron age of real estate is coming
Twenty years ago, when real estate became popular, any house looked like it was going to be profitable, and it was seen as the beginning of the "** era".
But now, that was a long time ago.
Judging from the current situation, for a long time, the second-hand housing transaction volume in some cities has exceeded 200,000.
It seems that the "Black Iron Age" is just around the corner.
Correspondingly, many people own more than 2 dwellings.
In this development trend, with the continuous increase in the number of listings, they may determine three outcomes.
The first problem is that you can't buy it even if you have money.
To put it simply, housing prices will become higher and lower.
If you have a suburban property, you should understand what I mean. In a community, you can't sell many houses in a year.
When you buy a suite in the city, you don't need to be proud.
However, the decline was not very large.
But the reality is cruel, and if you really want it, there's a good chance you'll get a discount.
As for whether it will get better in the future, that's impossible!
After all, by 2023, there will only be nine million students, and if this continues, there will be no new students joining at all.
In addition, the property market for new homes is also continuing to adjust.
As early as last year, the relevant departments proposed to relax the building density in the suburbs, and maybe even in the cities.
To put it simply, the floor area ratio of newly built houses in the future will continue to decrease, and the living conditions will continue to improve.
In this case, a person who owns multiple houses can only face one problem in the end, that is, the house is too big for anyone to buy at all.
In addition, in a situation of instability, these would have been signs of property, but now they have become a financial burden.
To put it simply, property fees and interest rates on loans are calculated on a monthly basis, and such assets will bring a lot of pressure to a family.
There is also a bigger problem, which is the hidden danger of real estate tax, and this black rhinoceros is approaching.
After all, today's property market is unusually difficult, and there is already a considerable gap in the local finances.
So much so that civil servants, even teachers, in some places are owed salaries.
In this case, it may only be a matter of time before a property tax is levied instead of land sales.
This is not an exaggeration, but the fact is that in many large cities, land transfer fees, land value-added tax, and other real estate-related income, account for a considerable part.
If this continues, housing prices will get lower and lower.
Is there any other option than property tax?
So, for those who own more than one home, the property becomes a "hot potato", "It is to be expected."
In addition, due to changes in the property market, households with more than 2 houses will also face difficulties in renting and limited capital flow.
Especially in the big cities of the third and fourth tiers, the owners have a deep understanding of this, and there are fewer and fewer people on the streets.
Due to the large number of young people flocking to big cities in search of better employment and high-quality living conditions, vacant houses have become extremely prominent and difficult to rent out.
And, even if it is.
The future of renting is far from so good in large cities with relatively stable populations in the first, second and third tiers.
Due to the vigorous construction of low-rent housing and public housing, coupled with the prevalence of working from home, the range of housing options is becoming more and more extensive, and the pressure on rent is also increasing.
For example, a netizen who has been working in Shanghai for almost 20 years owns an old apartment just 2 kilometers from the center of Lujiazui, and the monthly rent at that time was as high as 6,500.
But now, the rent has risen to 5,500 months, and no one is willing to rent.
This situation is not unique, since the second half of last year, many homeowners in Shanghai have felt the depression of the rental market.
On top of that, this is just the beginning, and as the birth rate continues to decrease, so does the birth rate of babies, and it is difficult to rent out.
In that case, even if you put the property on yourself, it will affect your own cash flow, and from any point of view, it will be a feeling of powerlessness.
In short, judging from the current situation, it is not unreasonable that the Black Iron Age is coming.
However, in terms of the overall economic situation, real estate is gradually losing its investment value.
Therefore, people with "more than two sets" of real estate in China are advised not to buy any more houses, prepare early, and avoid really stepping into those endings.